BRSno Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 GFS is ugly for BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 is there really a deformation area with this?/ I think it not a classic comma head CCB storm. Semantics aside, I was making a point. Whatever....jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 GFS is ugly for BOS Pretty warm aloft south of the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 GFS is ugly for BOS 128 cf FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Yeah - very warm. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 GFS is an absolute furnace in the low levels....totally at odds with the RGEM/NAM depiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Pretty warm aloft south of the pike. That is a worry that we have always had, so no backpatting...just back pleting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 yeap 128 corridor battleground on the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 GFS low levels are usually too warm anyways, but furnace aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 That was an interesting run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 That is a worry that we have always had, so no backpatting...just back pleting. You are close to pelting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 @33hr for my area 1000 1.9 1.5 97.3 975 1.1 0.8 97.7 950 0.2 0 98.8 925 -0.6 -0.8 98.6 900 -1.2 -1.6 97.1 850 -2.1 -2.6 96.2 800 -2.7 -3.1 96.8 750 -2.2 -2.4 98.8 700 -1.7 -1.8 99.5 650 -1.3 -1.4 99.4 600 -3.9 -4.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I never even consider Jack's here, Rarely if ever they happen, But typically on good years, I will see anywhere from 25-35 events in the winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Thumper the dumper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 84 is the battleground in CT on gfs while rgem says 95 is... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 You are close to pelting. Inconsequential, really....damage done. I'd trade that for the cf near rt 128. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Does today's warmth have any play in it? Seems mild for the day before a snowstorm without any strong CAA other than dynamic cooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Everyone local to this blog-sphere, to the national and social media circuits, and back, everyone is unilaterally missing an extraordinary aspect about this 24 to 30 hour period to time, beginning now and ending sometime Wednesday evening. Maybe it's just a given? Perhaps this type of ordeal has become so commonplace over the last two decades that it's, "Meh" ?? I can recall circa 25 years ago ... a weather phenomenon of this magnitude would never 'slip under the radar' (all puns intended), as it is now [apparently]. Tom Brokaw would lead the nightly news with headlines pertaining to it! Only after beating that aspect in marvel would he then discuss the snow its self. The whole world is pre-occupied by snow: snow, snow snow, snow! For those on this site, it's fearing pinger this, and seeking pat-on-the-shoulder-for-raining-this, the absurdity that I love best: congratulating?! As they anyone had anything to do with the outcome... Anyway, the aspect that is missed is that it is 62F on average across the region, less west of course... and 24 hours from now, it is supposed to be between 30 and 32F with blinding snow. 30F, summer to winter, and this is not the Front Range of the Rockies, where k-winds do that per course. This is synoptic scaled weather sensibly washing two disparate seasons across the region, in literally ... one day! THAT is the story here. For me .. I could care less is Mt Tolland get's 10" while Will up there in ORH gets 20" ... The fact that it could even do that when we set as we set at this hour, in just one day, that USED to be the type of story line that drove media to a frenzy. I guess these sort of whiplash events have become just so common place that folks just accept that the world doesn't have four seasons any longer; it has two seasons, and then a nebular array of utter chaos. Transition seasons can be fantastic for changeability -- that part is notwithstanding. But what's coming over the next 30 hours pushes that aspect beyond the pail. And folks are not even talking about it. Maybe that in its self is a red flag? What if the models bust too cold unilaterally. Fascinating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 You are close to pelting. I have figured that the pike region...perhaps ORH to Ray's area would kiss the pelting line at some point...but this seems to occur pretty late in the storm. Euro has been showing it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Inconsequential, really....damage done. I'd trade that for the cf near rt 128. CF won't move much past BOS. Unless it comes even closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Thumper the dumper Is that IJD? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I have figured that the pike region...perhaps ORH to Ray's area would kiss the pelting line at some point...but this seems to occur pretty late in the storm. Euro has been showing it too. I know..I'm just teasing him. Damage is done for the most part. I;ll take the inv trough signature later Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 GFS is crap in the lower 1,000ft. 950 0C to near ORH. Nope, we toss. It's all about the upper levels near and NW of 128. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 It always does that. Tweak to lower level NAM temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Everyone local to this blog-sphere, to the national and social media circuits, and back, everyone is unilaterally missing an extraordinary aspect about this 24 to 30 hour period to time, beginning now and ending sometime Wednesday evening. Maybe it's just a given? Perhaps this type of ordeal has become so commonplace over the last two decades that it's, "Meh" ?? I can recall circa 25 years ago ... a weather phenomenon of this magnitude would never 'slip under the radar' (all puns intended), as it is now [apparently]. Tom Brokaw would lead the nightly news with headlines pertaining to it! Only after beating that aspect in marvel would he then discuss the snow its self. The whole world is pre-occupied by snow: snow, snow snow, snow! For those on this site, it's fearing pinger this, and seeking pat-on-the-shoulder-for-raining-this, the absurdity that I love best: congratulating?! As they anyone had anything to do with the outcome... Anyway, the aspect that is missed is that it is 62F on average across the region, less west of course... and 24 hours from now, it is supposed to be between 30 and 32F with blinding snow. 30F, summer to winter, and this is not the Front Range of the Rockies, where k-winds do that per course. This is synoptic scaled weather sensibly washing two disparate seasons across the region, in literally ... one day! THAT is the story here. For me .. I could care less is Mt Tolland get's 10" while Will up there in ORH gets 20" ... The fact that it could even do that when we set as we set at this hour, in just one day, that USED to be the type of story line that drove media to a frenzy. I guess these sort of whiplash events have become just so common place that folks just accept that the world doesn't have four seasons any longer; it has two seasons, and then a nebular array of utter chaos. Transition seasons can be fantastic for changeability -- that part is notwithstanding. But what's coming over the next 30 hours pushes that aspect beyond the pail. And folks are not even talking about it. Maybe that in its self is a red flag? What if the models bust too cold unilaterally. Fascinating. I mentioned that this morning. 62F at midnight to snow 24hrs from now. Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 CF won't move much past BOS. Unless it comes even closer. Tic tic tickle tickle... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 GFS is crap in the lower 1,000ft. 950 0C to near ORH. Nope, we toss. It's all about the upper levels near and NW of 128. I knew I liked you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 That's a nice little dumping near the Cape Thursday Night. Go figure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Is that IJD? Chaplin CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 It always does that. Tweak to lower level NAM temps. Yeah always a good idea. The warmth from 850-650 is more concerning though especially since the Euro is pretty close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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