ROOSTA Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Give some love to MAX possible. Highly unlikely but then again there's still a chance. Look 10.1" in the harbor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 62F at midnight here to a lot of snow tomorrow. Who said New England isn't extreme? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 h7 low continues shifting east ..Dollars to donuts it ends up tracking very near PVD 00Z MODEL SUITE HAS TRENDED SLIGHTLY EASTWARD WITH SURFACE LOW TRACKING OVER OR NEAR THE 40N/70W BENCHMARK...WITH H85 CIRCULATIONMOVING ACROSS CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS AND H7 LOW DEVELOPING ANDTRACKING OVER BDL-ORH-MHT LINE. 00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Joe Furey is backing down on the Connecticut River Valley and the lower elevations, still holding the 6 to 10 inches for the hills especially above 800 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 h7 low continues shifting east ..Dollars to donuts it ends up tracking very near PVD 00Z MODEL SUITE HAS TRENDED SLIGHTLY EASTWARD WITH SURFACE LOW TRACKING OVER OR NEAR THE 40N/70W BENCHMARK...WITH H85 CIRCULATION MOVING ACROSS CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS AND H7 LOW DEVELOPING AND TRACKING OVER BDL-ORH-MHT LINE. 00 Is it still east of the sfc low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 incredible bust potentialI on one of the heaviest travel days of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 h7 low continues shifting east ..Dollars to donuts it ends up tracking very near PVD 00Z MODEL SUITE HAS TRENDED SLIGHTLY EASTWARD WITH SURFACE LOW TRACKING OVER OR NEAR THE 40N/70W BENCHMARK...WITH H85 CIRCULATION MOVING ACROSS CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS AND H7 LOW DEVELOPING AND TRACKING OVER BDL-ORH-MHT LINE. 00 Check out the 6z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 00z did not trend east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 62F at midnight here to a lot of snow tomorrow. Who said New England isn't extreme? Per coastal storm SOP, you are going to get crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Check out the 6z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 BOX upped bos's probability of 6+" to 60%, closer to 70% just off the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 BOS is tricky. Could be 1-2 at Logan and 6 at Brookline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I have little hope at home. Sucks everything went NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I don't know why that crap is tweeted out. Useless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Mike whined his way to a foot, Overnight trend certainly helped your cause LOL. I hadn't said a word. I'm riding the ALY map (why are their amounts so much higher than BOX?) and the 06z GFS/NAM rain. Choo-choo! I still think the real winners will be the HubbDave-Dendrite areas. Congrats them. It's horrible out there this morning, 54.4/47 off a high of 56.1 and a midnight low of 52.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Quick hitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Quick hitter Fortunatley, that quick-hitting also means an earlier arrival. Less time for dramatic changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Any power issues for certain areas with heavy paste..or just scattered around region wide? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 GFS is a pastebomb int SE MA into 128 area it seems. Could be issues there for tree/outages Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 GFS is a pastebomb int SE MA into 128 area it seems. Could be issues there for tree/outages I was thinking even here up to ORH we might stay 30-31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I was thinking even here up to ORH we might stay 30-31 Yeah it will be a wetter snow now even there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Yeah it will be a wetter snow now even there. Even up here, it's forecast to be in the lower 30's tomorrow. So, what comes down then will likely be pretty dense, cutting down on accumulations. We dip into the 20's for the evening edition of snow, so that should be better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Even up here, it's forecast to be in the lower 30's tomorrow. So, what comes down then will likely be pretty dense, cutting down on accumulations. We dip into the 20's for the evening edition of snow, so that should be better. It's plenty cold aloft there, you'll be fine.You may waste .05" for compaction in wet snow to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 It's plenty cold aloft there, you'll be fine.You may waste .05" for compaction in wet snow to start. Well, there are three more sets of models for us to track. The NW tick that happened at 06z is just as likely to shift back east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Paste to fluff up here as we cool fairly quickly depending on model of choice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Nah, the NW tick is real I think. At this point, whatever happens is noise, but has implications for ern MA esp near BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Here is a figure from a study on ice crystal growth regimes (Bailey and Hallett 2009). It's interesting to see what the snow growth environment looks like on this mornings 06z GFS, which seems to be in better agreement with the Euro. For ORH at 21z Wed, the greatest lift is forecast to be just above 700 mb (white curve; lowering from ~550 mb at 12z Wed). Temperatures are around -5C in this region which corresponds to the needles/columns for higher ice supersaturation, which is present due to the profile being nearly saturated with respect to liquid. At ALB for the same time, the greatest lift is around 550 mb due to the farther northwest position relative to the coastal low (and thus the maximum frontogenesis occurs at a higher altitude). While omega is not as negative as at ORH, this maximum lift occurs where the temperatures are near -13C. This is where dendritic crystals are favored to grow, again based on the diagram. However, you can see that the dew point is slightly lower than temperature in these regions, meaning that the ice supersaturation is less than at ORH. Therefore, the huge dendrites that might be seen at liquid water saturation will probably not be present. However, the modest-sized dendrites will tend to aggregate more efficiently than needles and those produce a greater proportion of lower density aggregates. This effect by itself will tend to lead to greater snow ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Paste to fluff up here as we cool fairly quickly depending on model of choice I just saw your 5.5"-to-date in your signature. Good chance you'll be riding atop the leader board come Thanksgiving morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Nah, the NW tick is real I think. At this point, whatever happens is noise, but has implications for ern MA esp near BOS. What makes you think that when there was what seemed to me a shift (outside of EC and to a lesser degree GFS) eastward of other models last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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