ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 Euro looks like it held serve...a bit faster though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Euro is warmer than the GFS, and a tad bit east from the 12z run (and I mean tad) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Looks ever so slightly cooler with the overall thermal profile. Also agree with Will about eastern Mass/Boston area getting in on the thumping based on the wind trajectory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Timing will change, speculation at best. In reality because of what appears to be a change over is a function of nowcasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Euro out through 54 looks almost dead on from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 The sfc definitely is colder on the Euro than the 12z run..but the other features are not that different. It still sends sleet pretty far...around ORH at the height of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Euro looks like it held serve...a bit faster though.Comparing the last four runs of the Euro, the trend appears to be a bit faster. You can also see the precip shield pinching smaller and smaller. (Lighter amounts back to the far NW interior) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Will does euro show n drain for boston at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 Will does euro show n drain for boston at all Yeah, its def colder in the low levels...but not as cold as runs like the NAM/RGEM...which makes sense since the Euro isn't quite as far SE as those models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 700mb 0c drives into se nh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 Euro has weenie snows for E MA Thanksgiving and even into Friday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 700mb 0c drives into se nh.sure it's not 650 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 How much QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 700mb 0c drives into se nh. How dare you. Oh my what does that mean. Sarcasm, I know....possible IP combined with an E wind oh-oh. Such a Debbie. Switch mode to the reliable Meso's for details henceforth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 How much QPF? Plenty to go around...over an inch for all of SNE with more like 1.5 BOS-PVD. The whole 95 corridor gets over an inch down to VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Plenty to go around...over an inch for all of SNE with more like 1.5 BOS-PVD. The whole 95 corridor gets over an inch down to VA.you in ORH Wednesday afternoon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 RGEM soundings seem to imply a paste bomb for BOS. Right near 33-34 throughout and no taints aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Bookmark it for those who have not: http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 you in ORH Wednesday afternoon? Probably not that early....have to work in BOS...I will leave as soon as I can, but probably not until late afternoon. Might end up with good snow out the window anyway in BOS based on the trends...but I'm sure I'll see a pretty interesting changing scenary going west later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 It would be great if the coast does better than expected but with marginal temps it's going to have to snow hard to accumulate with the ground being as warm as it is (was) for the past few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Some below zero temps on Sat morning in spots VT/NH/ME. EURO pretty darn wet with .5" QPF up here. Warm at 700mb with this storm...heavy pelting at the height points south and east of ORH. GC to Dendrite bombed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 It would be great if the coast does better than expected but with marginal temps it's going to have to snow hard to accumulate with the ground being as warm as it is (was) for the past few days.That doesn't matter much if it comes down hard enough. Especially once the sun goes down. Then BOOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 That doesn't matter much if it comes down hard enough. Especially once the sun goes down. Then BOOM. Yeah I know if the rates are good enough, but isn't this supposed to happen mostly during daytime hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Some below zero temps on Sat morning in spots VT/NH/ME. EURO pretty darn wet with .5" QPF up here. Warm at 700mb with this storm...heavy pelting at the height points south and east of ORH. GC to Dendrite bombed. Euro is alone with the high 7 h temps, NAM is the 2nd warmest. I'd trust RGEM profiles starting tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 That doesn't matter much if it comes down hard enough. Especially once the sun goes down. Then BOOM. Ground temps mean nothing if it's 1/4 mile snow and near freezing. I've see it easily pile up when the day before it was 60 and in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Ground temps mean nothing if it's 1/4 mile snow and near freezing. I've see it easily pile up when the day before it was 60 and in March. I remember getting 3 inches of snow the day after it reached 70 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 We've only had plowable snow here on the coast before Turkey day maybe 3 times in the last 25(?) years that I can remember and those were preceded by fairly cold days. Not saying it won't happen but I have feeling this will still have trouble getting past two inches here. Of course if it stays cold on Wednesday night what falls and sticks will be frozen so salt trucks will go out anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 WSW out now. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 300 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014 NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY- WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE- EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER- EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-BENNINGTON- WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD... TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE... LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS... HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS... CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN... ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH... PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON... ARLINGTON...PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS... AMENIA...MILLERTON...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE... BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS 300 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...WESTERN NEW ENGLAND AND THE EASTERN CATSKILLS...CAPITAL DISTRICT...TACONICS AND MID HUDSON VALLEY OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW AND SOME DRIFTING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 16 INCHES WITH THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE TACONICS AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. * MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATES...1 TO 2 INCHES AN HOUR. * TIMING...SNOW WILL SPREAD FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE AREA BEGINNING WEDNESDAY MORNING REACHING THE CAPITAL DISTRICT BY MID MORNING. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVIEST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS WITH THE SNOW TAPERING OFF LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...THIS STORM WILL SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT HOLIDAY TRAVEL... MAKING DRIVING DANGEROUS AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITIES. * WINDS...NORTHEAST TO NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 6z NAM just as juicy as 0z but ticked west, warmer... less favorable for eastern SNE, huge hit for central-western SNE into VT/NH/ME 3z SREFs also ticked west, plumes still average ~ 10.5" in Boston small bounces around a relatively tight cluster, but these bounces will make a huge difference for folks in eastern SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.