40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 It was like that when I checked a few hours ago, too. I thought it was curious that they had an official 1-2" in Bos but give it 50% chance of 6+"Its because they are hedging the forecast snowier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 3rd snow event and it's not even Thanksgiving. Epic. I like this colder trend should be a great event for many of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 The ageostrophic component is very north now on guidance...this is going to really increase the odds that the city of BOS itself sees significant snow accumulation...there still may be some issues for at least a little bit right on the water at Logan and points like Hull, but the profile definitely looks colder now with that much more northerly component. If that continues Will this could be one of those deals where it snows pretty heavily just a few miles...maybe 10? to my west pretty much anywhere due west of Hull south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 3rd snow event and it's not even Thanksgiving. Epic. I like this colder trend should be a great event for many of you. Eh' in central NE it's really the first some what significant snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 The ageostrophic component is very north now on guidance...this is going to really increase the odds that the city of BOS itself sees significant snow accumulation...there still may be some issues for at least a little bit right on the water at Logan and points like Hull, but the profile definitely looks colder now with that much more northerly component.Pete Bouchard is terrible. Going on about a wind off the water limiting snow in e MA early in the season. Im thinking, can't you see the ageostrophic component?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 Pete Bouchard is terrible. Going on about a wind off the water limiting snow in a MA early in the season. Im thinking, can't you see the ageostrophic component?? Well it depends what track he is buying...if he's still going close to the 12z Euro, then the coast will see plenty of issues...but these more recent runs are turning the wind more like 020 to even 010 at BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Pete Bouchard is terrible. Going on about a wind off the water limiting snow in e MA early in the season. Im thinking, can't you see the ageostrophic component?? He has a raging affection for the eMA ocean taint theorem. He's had some major blunders tossing guidance to rely on that principle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Its because they are hedging the forecast snowier. As they should as confidence increases, but let's face it, in November go low until it's time not to. Big ballz to hug what the models have been showing and kudos to those on this thread who called a decent thump for areas inside I-495 becuase it's tough this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Qpf down on all the modeling from 18z here in the ct river valley without the heavy precipitation rates its harder to change over and accumulate as quickly. Not on the NAM... Big step up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thomasnh Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Will, how dowes this affect Southern NH around Amherst still looking for first Snowfall this season. Does it now stay further south which is great for Boston? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Is this a case where mets kind of have to go high? I meAn it looks likely now that most areas will see accumulating snsnow. I think on the busiest travel day of the year its better to bust high than call for a slushy coating and get half a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Is this a case where mets kind of have to go high? I meAn it looks likely now that most areas will see accumulating snsnow. I think on the busiest travel day of the year its better to bust high than call for a slushy coating and get half a foot I'm not a met, but as a forecaster to the public, that definitely went into being a little more bullish than I might have been otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I'm more interested in the Thursday night into Friday inverted trough, especially with a strong 500mb energetic disturbance diving way to our south, highlights potential inverted trough setup closer to Cape Cod then SE ME. However I will be traveling to BUF on Wednesday so I hope the snow stays south until we are out of MA Then if model confidence grows on an increasingly bigger event than currently modeled with the trough in place, then I will get worried we might have to come home sooner than anticipated, but temps this time of the year are still very high in the surrounding waters, but with northerly to northwesterly winds at the surface, temps will crash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FSUIZZY Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 He has a raging affection for the eMA ocean taint theorem. He's had some major blunders tossing guidance to rely on that principle. Well, that explains a lot then actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I'm more interested in the Thursday night into Friday inverted trough, especially with a strong 500mb energetic disturbance diving way to our south, highlights potential inverted trough setup closer to Cape Cod then SE ME. However I will be traveling to BUF on Wednesday so I hope the snow stays south until we are out of MA Then if model confidence grows on an increasingly bigger event than currently modeled with the trough in place, then I will get worried we might have to come home sooner than anticipated, but temps this time of the year are still very high in the surrounding waters, but with northerly to northwesterly winds at the surface, temps will crash. start a thread on it , say hello to the crickets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 start a thread on it , say hello to the crickets Stingers rarely sting. Big inland hit en-route though. Going to be some good snowcover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Sorry if this has been talked about (though I doubt it cause we are all amount huggers haha) but what is the timing of this system? Start as rain at ____ change at ____ last until midnight? Heaviest precip. at ____? I have 2 superintendents in RI that rely on me more than the TV mets haha. Haven't looked into exact timing yet as I usually do that within 24 hours being a musician where going to work doesn't exist . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Sorry if this has been talked about (though I doubt it cause we are all amount huggers haha) but what is the timing of this system? Start as rain at ____ change at ____ last until midnight? Heaviest precip. at ____? I have 2 superintendents in RI that rely on me more than the TV mets haha. Haven't looked into exact timing yet as I usually do that within 24 hours being a musician where going to work doesn't exist . Definitely call off school for Wednesday. Timing is perfect for no school.Starting 7a ending 9p. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Start 7-9 am flip by 11am end around midnite for Ri Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Honestly gfs was done by 8p in RI. Timing has moved up big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Definitely call off school for Wednesday. Timing is perfect for no school. Starting 7a ending 9p. Timing is perfect for kids stuck in school all day and going home in snow covered roads and S+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Timing is perfect for kids stuck in school all day and going home in snow covered roads and S+Yup. A lot of kids are off anyway, but anyone with school scheduled would be idiotic not to cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCHurricane Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 He has a raging affection for the eMA ocean taint theorem. He's had some major blunders tossing guidance to rely on that principle. You should have seen him forecast the Blizzard of 2005. Called for 8-16 inches of snow for Cape Cod due to a lengthy changeover for that exact reason. He remained steadfast in his call even after we on the Cape had surpassed 20 inches. Long story short we ended up with 36 inches and he failed to acknoledge our snowfall totals on their broadcast the day after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 But I LOVE Him!! And there is this which showed his fun personality Best - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BIF3aK6PsBE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Careful on that timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Careful on that timing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 ?accumulating stuff is later than those posts indicate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Hopping on wxbell. Gonna be euro go time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 accumulating stuff is later than those posts indicateAgreed 7a-11a will be minimal accumulation. But after that 12-8 looks like heaviest. Post 8 I don't see much, but I guess we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Hopping on wxbell. Gonna be euro go time. 70% it is colder for Emass and slight east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.