Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 GFS looks warm for the BL even with it ticking SE. Hmmm.really because my soundings were colder especially at 6-7 h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 really because my soundings were colder especially at 6-7 h I'm going off of the panel view, still waiting for soundings on twisterdata. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 0z at 18z: http://goo.gl/YzFWd1 18z at 18z: http://goo.gl/zbeQGP 0z definitely looks colder above the surface but right at the surface it still pretty toasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Grasshoppers, wasted cold should be a term you retire for a while, 3/4 winters in a row now many preached pattern patience.You may not eat the fruits until they ripen but remember the seed from which it came. This is going to be special for Novie. A foot in some areas is special for DEC-JAN-FEB-MAR too OT - really sad with what's going on in Ferguson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I'm going off of the panel view, still waiting for soundings on twisterdata.weather.cod.edu is much faster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 GFS and NAM have inverted trough for Thursday night into Friday morning of this week. Could spell a few inches from HYA to CHH and Provincetown, MA given that we miss out on the snow fall with the nor'easter. About .25 to ,50" of QPF for this timeframe, its clearly induced over the ocean. Wind direction will be key to impact of OES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Hard to believe it's going to snow here about 36 hrs from now when it's 66 degrees at 11:45 pm. Like a summer night out there. ..amazing!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Uncle shifted East Incredible 0z suite for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Although western areas may start having QPF worries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Uncle shifted East Incredible 0z suite for SNE la la la loc.....um not quite yet. Looks great thou for 128 corridor and inside. currently 60 F still amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Uncle shifted East Incredible 0z suite for SNE Really?? Even the GFS which has been best for us had the 850 almost up to Northern RI now so I owuldn't say incredible suite. Not feeling that confident. NAM is of course giving me 18" haha. But with 35* Temps during it, it won't accumulate well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Uncle shifted East Incredible 0z suite for SNE For now, the good Dr. will have to follow suit to seal the deal. How much of an east shift? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Really?? Even the GFS which has been best for us had the 850 almost up to Northern RI now so I owuldn't say incredible suite. Not feeling that confident. NAM is of course giving me 18" haha. But with 35* Temps during it, it won't accumulate well. The NAM doesn't have temps at 35F that is more what the GFS has. Besides RGEM, which statistically does better than the NAM is way colder. Edit: Here is what the NAM has for Providence for temps. http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=RI&stn=KPVD&model=nam&time=2014112500&field=2meter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 UK much drier than 12z. Not sure what to make of that. But bottomline this far out: 0z NAM/GFS/21zSREFs/RGEM/UK have all held or shifted east, good trend for eastern SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 GEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 0z Ukie ack to tip of NS track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 GEM? Sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Ukmet sucks. Wild swings run to run. It's our crazy uncle. Euro likely won't move much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 GGEM just SE of benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 BOX looks like they went colder/snowier on these maps Has Boston 50% now of 6" or greater! http://www.weather.gov/box/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 what happened to their accumulation map? BOX looks like they went colder/snowier on these maps Has Boston 50% now of 6" or greater! http://www.weather.gov/box/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 GGEM track unchanged from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Qpf down on all the modeling from 18z here in the ct river valley without the heavy precipitation rates its harder to change over and accumulate as quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 SucksId rather it suck se, than nw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Looks like highest percentages are for 4-8" here. Wonder if they expand watches tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Id rather it suck se, than nw. It sucks no matter where it is, honestly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Ukmet sucks. Wild swings run to run. It's our crazy uncle. Euro likely won't move much. Big dump for many, accumulating snow to the coast, Max totals W of 495 belt to N ORH Co. E Slope of the Berks do well. No complaints here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 BOX looks like they went colder/snowier on these maps Has Boston 50% now of 6" or greater! http://www.weather.gov/box/winter It was like that when I checked a few hours ago, too. I thought it was curious that they had an official 1-2" in Bos but give it 50% chance of 6+"I'm generally feeling good about their ~60% chance of 6+ in my hood, particularly with tonight's developments so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 BOX looks like they went colder/snowier on these maps Has Boston 50% now of 6" or greater! http://www.weather.gov/box/winter Good sign for us down here too on Long Island-that wind direction and coastal front either burns us or hopefully buries us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 The ageostrophic component is very north now on guidance...this is going to really increase the odds that the city of BOS itself sees significant snow accumulation...there still may be some issues for at least a little bit right on the water at Logan and points like Hull, but the profile definitely looks colder now with that much more northerly component. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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