dryslot Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Deep interior gets crushed on this run. Getting crushed at 03z thurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 WAA thump. Damn that is a thing of beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Jeezus loaded with qpfNot tossed. Glad I'm not in Ferguson right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 lol the clown map should be fun.. widespread 10+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On the phone...how's it look for Princeton? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Not tossed. Glad I'm not in Ferguson right now. 1.25-1.50" all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On the phone...how's it look for Princeton? Snowy and good banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On the phone...how's it look for Princeton?Like heaven. Heavy thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 In a perfect world, that NAM run would have a legitimate chance of verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On the phone...how's it look for Princeton? Close but you're on the right side of the line, warning level snows there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 In a perfect world, that NAM run would have a legitimate chance of verifying. To bad we don't live in one, If it could be right once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 cut by 1/3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Just checked a few soundings in SNE. I can't recall the last time 650mb was the warm layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Snowy and good banding. Snowy and good banding. Excellent! Wish it were not the nam. I'll be home soon to feast eyes.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 cut by 1/3 We slice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Just checked a few soundings in SNE. I can't recall the last time 650mb was the warm layer. GFS had this too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Wow at the nam thats easily 10 plus for alot of people if the gfs shows the same this place will be booming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Wow, that would be close to a foot in Greenfield if that verified. I'll get excited in the morning if there is some model consensus on a similar solution but a NAM/GFS/Euro blend is looking good for a lot of SNE peeps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Just checked a few soundings in SNE. I can't recall the last time 650mb was the warm layer. 12/8/2007 in southern CT. 3/17/2007 may have been close . Otherwize, the Blizzard of 96 in Baltimore and Washington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Just checked a few soundings in SNE. I can't recall the last time 650mb was the warm layer. what is the significance of this, ratio's or pelting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 GFS had this too.I was on my phone all day so I couldn't see soundings. I figured it was the usual H75-H8 torch. Date: 45 hour Eta valid 21Z WED 26 NOV 14 Station: 41.73,-72.18 Latitude: 41.73 Longitude: -72.18 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 0 1000 103 SFC 996 138 -0.1 -0.9 95 0.8 -0.4 10 12 273.4 274.0 272.9 283.1 3.59 2 950 512 -2.8 -3.3 96 0.5 -3.0 21 32 274.3 274.8 272.8 282.9 3.14 3 900 940 -2.8 -3.5 95 0.8 -3.1 37 35 278.6 279.2 275.5 287.8 3.27 4 850 1394 -2.5 -3.2 95 0.6 -2.8 40 34 283.5 284.1 278.4 293.6 3.56 5 800 1873 -4.7 -5.3 95 0.7 -4.9 64 26 286.2 286.8 279.3 295.4 3.21 6 750 2376 -7.7 -8.4 95 0.7 -7.9 93 33 288.2 288.7 279.6 296.1 2.70 7 700 2919 -3.0 -3.2 98 0.2 -3.1 152 52 299.2 300.0 286.1 312.1 4.32 8 650 3511 -0.1 -0.1 100 0.0 -0.1 178 77 308.9 310.0 290.8 326.9 5.85 9 600 4150 -2.4 -2.5 99 0.1 -2.5 196 86 313.3 314.3 291.7 330.0 5.29 10 550 4837 -6.4 -7.0 96 0.5 -6.7 206 87 316.4 317.2 291.6 329.7 4.13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Jerry looks like tight gradient that straddles I95 through Jersey... you're good for a least several inches The NAM should undergo drug-testing prior to each run. This is warmer but omega through the roof with warning criteria for most of SNE except for far southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Just checked a few soundings in SNE. I can't recall the last time 650mb was the warm layer. yeah, it's a screwy setup on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Just checked a few soundings in SNE. I can't recall the last time 650mb was the warm layer. snow growth issues? what is the best temp to maximize? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 This Nam run was run from the bear den in dendrites back yard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 45hr sounding imby Pressure(mb) Air Temp© Dew Pt© Rel Humidity 1000 -0.4 -0.8 97.5 975 -1.7 -2.2 96.5 950 -2.7 -3.2 96.2 925 -3.4 -4 95.5 900 -3.9 -4.7 94.4 875 -3.4 -4 95.5 850 -2.9 -3.5 95.8 825 -3.9 -4.6 94.9 800 -4.7 -5.6 93.9 775 -5.7 -6.6 93.6 750 -7.2 -8.2 92.6 725 -8.4 -9.3 93.1 700 -7.3 -8 94.6 675 -5 -5.3 98 650 -3.9 -4.1 98.9 625 -3.9 -4 99.3 600 -4.6 -4.6 99.3 575 -5.4 -5.6 98.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 The deep lift is probably good for marginal areas because it will override the crap in the lower 800' or so. Sometimes the deep lift and convection closer to the WCB can be a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 what is the significance of this, ratio's or peltingTough to say. You really want -8C in the cloud to get nucleation. Maybe some salt nuclei will help lower that. It's a bit of a messy profile even though most people here are below 0C. Hopefully there's enough lift for the marginal peeps to overcome those temp issues. I'll defer to the more experienced guys here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 45hr sounding imby Pressure(mb) Air Temp© Dew Pt© Rel Humidity 1000 -0.4 -0.8 97.5 975 -1.7 -2.2 96.5 950 -2.7 -3.2 96.2 925 -3.4 -4 95.5 900 -3.9 -4.7 94.4 875 -3.4 -4 95.5 850 -2.9 -3.5 95.8 825 -3.9 -4.6 94.9 800 -4.7 -5.6 93.9 775 -5.7 -6.6 93.6 750 -7.2 -8.2 92.6 725 -8.4 -9.3 93.1 700 -7.3 -8 94.6 675 -5 -5.3 98 650 -3.9 -4.1 98.9 625 -3.9 -4 99.3 600 -4.6 -4.6 99.3 575 -5.4 -5.6 98.9 We thump! Can you run 48 and 51? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Worcester County gets croaked running northeast from there. Everyone run to HubbDave's house for the jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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