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Thanksgiving Weekend Weather (Wed-Sun)


ORH_wxman

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GFS didn't lead the goddamned way. Euro had the storm and finally the rest of the suite. Back 6-7 days I think.

 

It's refreshing in a sense that there is no one model that we can absolutely rely on all the time. 3 years ago the GFS would have had no storm up until today while the Euro had something and in the end the Euro would have been the easy winner.  Now it's more storm by storm.

 

Looks good for the interior folks, what a start to the winter!

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Not until 12/3.

 

Keep in mind we were over 48 hours out overnight. With the uncertainty I'm guessing the decision was made to hold off one more shift. These are definitely early watches, mostly for the travel impacts. You wouldn't typically see this kind of lead time.

 

 

So wait, which counties are being taken over by GYX?

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Glad to see one's own insights pay off...  We were suspect of the Euro's west runs yesterday, and tho nothing has verified so we shouldn't be counting chickens...true, it does appear as though this is 12z was a bit of a honing interval amid the various operationals.  Clearly this is looking like an 72W'ster

 

Also, holding my call for 12-14" in the ORH hills...  I haven't frankly seen anything in the last 24 hours to dissuade me from that thinking.  

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