ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 Ok sorry, I am relatively new to the forums and I posted a map from weatherbell and asked if it was ok to do so and the reply I got was yes. Should have asked the mods, my apologies. Well, you posted WSI maps there...those are def not allowed. If a map is public somewhere else, it is ok to post usually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Ok sorry, I am relatively new to the forums and I posted a map from weatherbell and asked if it was ok to do so and the reply I got was yes. Should have asked the mods, my apologies.It was fine by me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 It looks like the western ridge was a bit flatter this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Looks similar to the ukie, probably a bit west. Good trend east though. Keep that at 12z tomorrow and we may have something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Wxbell snowmaps are pretty much a foot or more for most of sne to bad they are junk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Well, too tired to stay up any longer, but the westward trend has clearly stopped with this 00z suite. Looks like the upper levels started acting less phased where the 2nd shortwave acts more as a kicker rather than an amplifier. Key point here... the clipper shortwave and subtropical shortwave are clearly more separated on the 00z model suite. The leading shortwave that will be digging into the deep south the next 48 hours has now made landfall over British Columbia. Its certainly possible that the 00z model suite sampled this feature better as it emerged over a more dense radiosonde and aircraft network. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Well, you posted WSI maps there...those are def not allowed. If a map is public somewhere else, it is ok to post usually. Got it, it won't happen again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Euro definitely appears a lot colder than 12z... verbatim it looks like mostly snow for northern CT and areas NW of here. (I think via stormvista) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Wxbell snowmaps are pretty much a foot or more for most of sne to bad they are junk 6+ also down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Wxbell snowmaps are pretty much a foot or more for most of sne to bad they are junk Yes they are even more robust than the 12z run for obvious reasons but still way overdone. How can there be a foot of snow when the sfc low is tracking nearly overhead with temperatures warming above freezing throughout the column, ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Euro definitely appears a lot colder than 12z... verbatim it looks like mostly snow for northern CT and areas NW of here. (I think via stormvista) Tracks just east of Montauk instead of over Islip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Elbow to Ack with a lean on ACK It was fine by me lol I did not mind even though i already saw it on SV.......lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 All this focus on the storm, I completely forgot it was going to rain tonight/tomorrow with temperatures in the 60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Tracks just east of Montauk instead of over Islip. Must bend to the east it nears the south coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Yes they are even more robust than the 12z run for obvious reasons but still way overdone. How can there be a foot of snow when the sfc low is tracking nearly overhead with temperatures warming above freezing throughout the column, ridiculous. The surface low is tracking over the outer cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Euro has another weak disturbance impacting SNE for Dec 1 but that's way too far out to even start considering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 The surface low is tracking over the outer cape. I know, that's why I said Nearly overhead...the sfc low goes over the outer cape and there's a foot of snow in far SE MA with those wxbell weather maps. They're fun to look at but the axis of heavy snow should be much father N and W with a low going over the cape. And looking at the H925 H85 H7 temps all warm above freezing for most areas that it puts out that much snow..makes no sense. Not sure what kind of algorithm they use or what. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 goal posts are narrowing, high probability of slp track between 40/70 and KCQX (chatham) it looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 I know, that's why I said Nearly overhead...the sfc low goes over the outer cape and there's a foot of snow in far SE MA with those wxbell weather maps. They're fun to look at but the axis of heavy snow should be much father N and W with a low going over the cape. And looking at the H925 H85 H7 temps all warm above freezing for most areas that it puts out that much snow..makes no sense. Not sure what kind of algorithm they use or what. The Euro's thermals are mad warm, especially the lower levels, relative to the track of the low. At 72 hours the low is off the NJ coast by 75-100 miles, and yet the 540dm thickness contour is all the way back into the Poconos and Catskills. This seems a little unrealistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcwx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Anyone know the timing of this storm for Logan? I live in LA and am flying in Thursday night, but wanted to standby on an earlier flight on Thursday. Fear is they might cancel Wednesday flights and people will get bumped. Think this will be shut down airport worthy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 I'm sorry but the column looks cold at BDL on the latest Euro with 1.39 of precip that is serious stuff. I don't know how DT can go online and say that the Euro holds serve and all of CT changes to rain and how it is possible to reconcile his maps with what the text output is showing. This is one heck of a tough forecast and with millions of people watching the meteorologists and many of my family and friends asking me for projections I am starting to feel stressed and I'm not even a met. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 I'm sorry but the column looks cold at BDL on the latest Euro with 1.39 of precip that is serious stuff. I don't know how DT can go online and say that the Euro holds serve and all of CT changes to rain and how it is possible to reconcile his maps with what the text output is showing. This is one heck of a tough forecast and with millions of people watching the meteorologists and many of my family and friends asking me for projections I am starting to feel stressed and I'm not even a met. LOL.yeah that's a crush job in NCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 6z nam shifted west one more shift like that and alot of us are good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Wow at the winter storm watch for the berkshires 9 or more inches of snow with rates up to 3 inches an hour nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 The fout southern counties of southern ct with a watch now im guessing box will do the same shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 And there we have it first winter storm watch of the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Euro is all snow for most of CT save far SE sections.. Overamped FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 40 percent probs of 12 plus here not bad for the day before thanksgiving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Euro is all snow for most of CT save far SE sections.. Overamped FTL With 552 thicknesses? A good dose of sleet maybe. The 850 maps are interesting...as the 850 reaches us the difference between +4 and -4 temps is about 40 miles at most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Perfect track for here on the ec op/ens. They're both near ACK now. There's still a bit of model disparity though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.