CT Valley Snowman Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 On the Para it looks like the northern stream energy low acts like more of a kicker than allowing a complete phase as well. You can see the jog east after it's initial heading is more north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 The gfs looks really good for Kevin, ginx, up to NW Rhode island. Good for most still though. Actually seems like a toned down version of 12z a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Is there any reliable way to tell if the GFS sw interaction is more likely based on current atmospheric conditions, or are we really in a wait and see what the euro says kind of situation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 Is there any reliable way to tell if the GFS sw interaction is more likely based on current atmospheric conditions, or are we really in a wait and see what the euro says kind of situation? It's still too far out to really know other than waiting for the Euro to see how it trends. It's a complex setup and we aren't close enough to really make an accurate assessment of the atmosphere outside of what the models say it will look like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Where does one find the Para GFS output? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Where does one find the Para GFS output? I've been seeing it on WxBell, it was on tropicaltidbits for free but that site's been having issues recently so IDK where else you can find it without going to a paid service. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 The GFS is an epic travel disaster Wed aftn. Man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 I've been seeing it on WxBell, it was on tropicaltidbits for free but that site's been having issues recently so IDK where else you can find it without going to a paid service. Any reason it's not available on the NCEP site? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 I can think of numerous occasions where we have had backlash snows in the BOS area.... It isn't something that happens often per se. However, usually associated with a big storm a remaining ULL after it departs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 That couldn't be timed worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 I've been seeing it on WxBell, it was on tropicaltidbits for free but that site's been having issues recently so IDK where else you can find it without going to a paid service. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=namk&MODELL=gfs25&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prec&HH=3&ARCHIV=0&PANEL=0&ZOOM=0&PERIOD= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 GFS text output ranges from about .6 in PSF to over 1.2 in BOS, about .93 at BDL and 1.05 at ORH doing the quick math. Stays mainly snow with the more favorable track, obviously better ratios and colder in the high terrain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Close to a MAUL on the soundings at 00z Thurs too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 The GFS is an epic travel disaster Wed aftn. Man.Nice little active trough Turkey day morning for wind whipped squalls too. Pure winter holiday on the GFS, get out your sleighs for the trip over the river and through the woods to grandmothers house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Where does one find the Para GFS output? It's currently free on WB http://weather.graphics/gsm/ygfs_region.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 GFS is basically an utter travel nightmare from DC to BOS. Just terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Can anyone help me out with a good site for gridded data other than this one http://leonardo.met.tamu.edu/Weather_Interface/index.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 How does the Euro respond now? We've seen the GFS tick back east and the Para come west to come into somewhat better agreement. The Nam is still out to lunch but I did see some improvement particularly earlier in the run and the RGEM looked flat. Have we possible seen the end of the extreme west solution and we are heading towards consensus and do we have to worry about an eastward trend or more ots solution out here in the 91 corridor? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 0z GGEM is a benchmark hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 What is the perfect track? Over Ack or between ack and MV? In one of those scenarios where does the rain/snow line get to? Would everyone benefit from that type of track? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 0z GGEM is a benchmark hit Good news. Thanks for the update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 What is the perfect track? Over Ack or between ack and MV? In one of those scenarios where does the rain/snow line get to? Would everyone benefit from that type of track? a track near 40N/70W is considered the benchmark track for SNE, Perhaps your climo favors something a bit NW of that. However, this is a general term. We have seen storms much smaller track near the outer Cape and bury SNE, and storms travel near the BM and dryslot areas of SNE. It depends on the storm size and evolution which is dictated by the mid level disturbance intensity and orientation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 GFS text output ranges from about .6 in PSF to over 1.2 in BOS, about .93 at BDL and 1.05 at ORH doing the quick math. Stays mainly snow with the more favorable track, obviously better ratios and colder in the high terrain.Run KBED please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 is that an inverted trof/norlun friday on the para gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Run KBED please? It looks like around 1" for that area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 GFS jack, Para Jack, GGEM Jack , holding 3 Jack's and knowing that European dude has 2 aces and has 2 cards left to draw,not a comfortable feeling but the heart is pumping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 GFS jack, Para Jack, GGEM Jack , holding 3 Jack's and knowing that European dude has 2 aces and has 2 cards left to draw,not a comfortable feeling but the heart is pumping. I don't think the concern is will euro come east... more or less.. how far east it comes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 is that an inverted trof/norlun friday on the para gfs?yep , Tippys NJ nuke, develops too late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 It looks like around 1" for that areaThanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 GGEM snowmap has 6+ for the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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