TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 It's pretty marginal for awhile, but you will have a 33F paste job for a few hours I think before it cools off. Your longitude early in the season helps. You and I might not be too different. Edge to you. Yeah, being as far away from the water as possible certainly helps early in the season. Could be fun for a lot of folks if it shakes right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 You have a link for that? Pretty cool site. http://dendrite.somas.stonybrook.edu/CSTAR/Ensemble_Sensitivity/EnSense_Main.html I advise reading the "Learn How to Use This Website" link before diving too deeply into it. I needed a couple read throughs before I got a hang of it. I think this could have some interesting utilities, especially if there is some feature that you can coherently trace back to initialization. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 1-3 or 2-4 in lower valley at best. Antecedent air mass is nothing to write home about. too conservative unless this shifts pretty far east. Less than than the surrounding hills, most certainly but I wouldn't go that low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 People aren't ready for snow....and having to shop for turkeys and shovels will cause mass hysteria in stores. Get your birds early. The bread, milk, and turkey storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 The bread, milk, and turkey storm LOL. Nary a can of cranberry sauce remaining on the shelves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I would think the Euro op makes a small jog eastward more towards the ensemble mean but who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 LOL. Nary a can of cranberry sauce remaining on the shelves.NOT our first Turkey day rodeo,we will survive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I think the euro is going to tick east this run. Majority of ensemble members were east of OP at 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Gfs snow maps show a plowable event for anyone off the cape cod canal. I wouldn't buy into that exactly, but you get the idea what this could do just off the coast if it plays out right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I was at Wegman's last night....loaded with cranberry sauce. I don't think euro makes a move of any significance at 12z and for that matter all the way to game time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Still too early for me to throw out amounts, but looks like a Burrilville/Taunton/Foxboro jackpot to me A couple of days ago I thought zero threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Still too early for me to throw out amounts, but looks like a Burrilville/Taunton/Foxboro jackpot to me A couple of days ago I thought zero threat You are in a great position this time (and many others) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 15+ in my hood on the GFS and that's not from a clown map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Still too early for me to throw out amounts, but looks like a Burrilville/Taunton/Foxboro jackpot to me A couple of days ago I thought zero threat I hope you're right, but this area is getting nothing if the euro is right. Hopefully the gfs scores a win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Still too early for me to throw out amounts, but looks like a Burrilville/Taunton/Foxboro jackpot to me A couple of days ago I thought zero threat I'd pick you for a jackpot...1,000ft, no QPF or temp issues in the column, dry powder, you're golden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I think the euro is going to tick east this run. Majority of ensemble members were east of OP at 0z It really has no where to go but east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 15+ in my hood on the GFS and that's not from a clown map You and Kevin are in a great spot for this. Non clown maps seem to be favoring you up to Kevin and orh over to attleboro. Nothing to sneeze at outside those areas though. On the edge here, but good luck there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 New Euro trough looks sharper. Slightly west through 66h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Euro is not budging it appears, This run will deliver a monster. Out to 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 You and Kevin are in a great spot for this. Non clown maps seem to be favoring you up to Kevin and orh over to attleboro. Nothing to sneeze at outside those areas though. On the edge here, but good luck there WXBELL weenie maps have close to a foot straight to the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Yeah if anything it's coming west. Throw out the other guidance, euro is locked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Def west of 0z through 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 New Euro trough looks sharper. Slightly west through 66h Surprised you are awake at 1pm to see the 12z Euro. How are the upper levels compared to 0z. Colder or warmer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Euro is gonna come west. 15+ cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 23, 2014 Author Share Posted November 23, 2014 Euro might cut through new england this run. This is going to be massively amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Yikes at this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Euro can stop trending west now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 At 72 I'm concerned The Euro doesn't pull a bit more west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Surprised you are awake at 1pm to see the 12z Euro. How are the upper levels compared to 0z. Colder or warmer? Day off tomorrow so I sleep normally haha. And looks warmer so far. Only out to 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 540 thickness line hundreds of miles inland in New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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