CT Valley Snowman Posted November 21, 2014 Share Posted November 21, 2014 only about 7 hours to the Euro lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2014 Share Posted November 21, 2014 Good to see the massive shifts in the GFS continue in the new and improved version. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 21, 2014 Share Posted November 21, 2014 new dog, same old tricks!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Good to see the massive shifts in the GFS continue in the new and improved version. Yup thought the same thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Yup thought the same thing I mean luckily it's far out, but Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 old GFS still clips us, the new GFS is a further out to see but a little stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Euro? Anyone? Bueller? Bueller? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Euro tracks from OBX to Cape Cod. Sub 992mb over Cape Cod. Mega hit interior, heavy rain immediate coastal plain. See NYC forum for full PBP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Euro ensembles are nowhere near the op, but have the low close enough. Probably some good members in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 GFS and Euro cannot be any more different. I would hold off on any excitement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Just plan on some snow OTG for the holiday...but don't get too excited on a big storm just yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Just plan on the possibility of some snow OTG or air for the holiday...but don't get too excited on a big storm just yet Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 The Canadian and GfS operarational look similiar with a progressively OTS look on Wed- Thu. Is there anything outside of the European suite of modeling that is indicating a major hit? How do the Gfs and Canadian ensembles look?. And what about secondary models like the Ukmet and JMA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 The Canadian and GfS operarational look similiar with a progressively OTS look on Wed- Thu. Is there anything outside of the European suite of modeling that is indicating a major hit? How do the Gfs and Canadian ensembles look?. And what about secondary models like the Ukmet and JMA? Euro is on its own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Euro is on its own. Back in the day when it was on top of its game, that alone would be cause to celebrate. At this point, I really want some solid agreement and a much narrower window of time before establishing any type of expectation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Back in the day when it was on top of its game, that alone would be cause to celebrate. At this point, I really want some solid agreement and a much narrower window of time before establishing any type of expectation. Well it has ensemble support, but that doesn't mean much so far out. Don't get invested yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Well it has ensemble support, but that doesn't mean much so far out. Don't get invested yet. I don't see anything significant to keep this from going benignly OTS. Of course, I'm not well-versed in such things. 16.0/12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Well it has ensemble support, but that doesn't mean much so far out. Don't get invested yet.More caution flags than an NFL game.That's the weeniest run of the season up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Why would anyone care about what the GFS shows? Have you not learned? Plan on some snow..Amounts TBD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Why would anyone care about what the GFS shows? Have you not learned? Plan on some snow..Amounts TBD Awful post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 I think what we'll probably see is models go back to the 2 wave idea..a Weaker wave that maybe drops 1-3 or 2-4 interior areas Wednesday into Wed nite and then a slightly stronger wave Fri or Sat that even gives the coast snow..instead of one big storm. 2 events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 I think what we'll probably see is models go back to the 2 wave idea..a Weaker wave that maybe drops 1-3 or 2-4 interior areas Wednesday into Wed nite and then a slightly stronger wave Fri or Sat that even gives the coast snow..instead of one big storm. 2 events Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Why? Because with a lack of blocking chances are you're not going to see one stemwinder..but rather weaker waves riding along the stalled front offshore. Same kind of thing that brought us a couple inches last weak. There's a couple pieces of energy, but chances are they're not going to stemwind.....but the waves should generate enough lift and qpf to give many folks a white T giving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 I am excited , I like the Euros run, it is a modeled great storm. maybe it doesn't pan out at noon, last nights run was fantastic and made me weenie happy. The Ens look solid for something that brings snow. Bring on the 8-12 the euro shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 I am excited , I like the Euros run, it is a modeled great storm. maybe it doesn't pan out at noon, last nights run was fantastic and made me weenie happy. The Ens look solid for something that brings snow. Bring on the 8-12 the euro shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 TK getting serious Tim Kelley NECN @SurfSkiWxMan 2h 2 hours ago time to get serious on New England TDay Wx. ECMWF is serious. Here's 24 hours snowfall ending early Thanksgiving Day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Meh, it was a fantastic run. We can enjoy it , you can go on and on about a 2 day warmup if you would like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Meh, it was a fantastic run. We can enjoy it , you can go on and on about a 2 day warmup if you would like I shall. Someone has to control the weenies. The euro op is not going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 I honestly think TK has lost it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 with any luck the Euro keeps advertising this and the GFS doesn't then the Mets have to really earn their keep on the busiest travel day of the year, oh the humanity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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