CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 3:06 AM, Max said: Can you get sleet with a warm tongue above 700mb. Isn't that going to be above the cloud layer where the snow crystals are growing in? If there is moisture aloft and falling through it, it melts into droplets. If it's dry above it, obviously it won't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 3:06 AM, Max said: Can you get sleet with a warm tongue above 700mb. Isn't that going to be above the cloud layer where the snow crystals are growing in?Sure...why not? Snow crystals can grow at any height in the cloud with upward motion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Princeton 42 hours: I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 3:06 AM, CoastalWx said: The main lift looks to be between 700-500mb. Looks to be that way from this vantage point. http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=CT&stn=KBDL&model=nam&time=current&field=omeg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Thundersnow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 3:09 AM, dendrite said: Sure...why not? Snow crystals can grow at any height in the cloud with upward motion. Physical Met was not my strongest class so hence the question. Kind of need a refresher. Probably should look through the old notebook again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 2:51 AM, moneypitmike said: I think Powderfreak must be suddenly emerging from some ski shop in Stowe with a grin on his face. Lol for a quarter inch of QPF on the NAM? The track didn't change from other guidance, it just got moist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 2:59 AM, CoastalWx said: Most of the lift is actually east of the low with TREMENDOUS warm air advection. That changes as it tries to close off on SNE for peeps further north. Don't obsess about the H7 low. I saw that. It doesn't look like a classic type of setup. Almost seems like best lift modeled is under h7 or just west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 3:12 AM, cpick79 said: Your referencing the H7 low in beginning of that comment right. Oh yes, sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 2:45 AM, moneypitmike said: Worcester County gets croaked running northeast from there. Everyone run to HubbDave's house for the jackpot. Just stop. lol You are going to end up getting croaked under E Slope deform band. Just off the elbow track maybe what is coming and that bodes well for the interior SW/CW NE folks. W CT up through us and Dendrite look primed right now. Break out the shovels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 3:09 AM, weathafella said: Princeton 42 hours: I'll take it. image.jpg 650mb warm layer usually means good 650-400 lapse rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 3:03 AM, moneypitmike said: When do the GGEM and UK come out? GGEM around 1115-1130, UKIE used to be around 1045 but now we have to wait for Meteocentre which is around 1145-midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 3:12 AM, powderfreak said: Lol for a quarter inch of QPF on the NAM? The track didn't change from other guidance, it just got moist. My bad. I thought you were up to .5" on that. Maybe it gives a nod for some EC love. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Man that is just cruel, lol. What a toaster bath from BTV to CAR/FVE to the delight of thousands of other New England weenies haha. Weenies smirking and evilly rubbing hands together, hehehe that'll teach the NW areas to snow while we enjoy partly cloudy skies on northwest winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 RGEM looks pretty juiced so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 3:14 AM, skisheep said: GGEM around 1115-1130, UKIE used to be around 1045 but now we have to wait for Meteocentre which is around 1145-midnight. Ugh. I thought it was before the GFS. I'm usually asleep by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Big MET snow numbers. Popping 8 for BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 0z RGGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 3:18 AM, dryslot said: 0z RGGEM Tossed. Haha, time for sleep. Looks like a doozy for you southern/eastern guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 meso's don't really seem to have a CF do they? unless it's over Cape cod. would think snow amounts would be more uniform from outside 495 to inside 128 nearer to the coast....given super omega thump and N /NNE winds. ..maybe elevations are 30 instead of 33 so they accumulate easier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 RGEM colder, big hit for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 3:21 AM, wxsniss said: RGEM colder, big hit for SNE Crushing snow into coastal plain on that run. what model was a met referencing that he uses for R/S lines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 It could actually be ratios above 10:1 here, never even considered that possibility, been resigning myself to cement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 HOLY RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Rgem looks cold, right down into SE mass. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 3:12 AM, powderfreak said: Lol for a quarter inch of QPF on the NAM? The track didn't change from other guidance, it just got moist. Thats like 30" in town. And forget about up high with the 500-1 ratios!!! Hahaha looking like a good holiday weekend in the mountains! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 On 11/25/2014 at 3:22 AM, cpick79 said: Crushing snow into coastal plain on that run. what model was a met referencing that he uses for R/S lines Semi-powder bomb for elevated inland locales. HubbDave or MPM could be winners for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 RGEM is pretty sweet. Right near the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 ALY might need to lower amounts from their map and shift some of the good stuff to the 495 belt east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Hr 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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