NorEastermass128 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 On 11/24/2014 at 12:49 PM, Bostonseminole said: Ray and I are borderline 1-2 or 4-6..Barring any major shifts, I'd side on the heavier side of your thinking. Plenty cold aloft. CF near BOS. That means we would be 32-33F and snowing while Logan is 35-36F and raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Yeah I'd be surprised if Ray gets under 6 frankly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Look at the nAM and all those north winds. This is going to have a CF right near BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 On 11/24/2014 at 1:06 PM, CoastalWx said: Look at the nAM and all those north winds. This is going to have a CF right near BOS. You may score on this if you're in west portions of Weymouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 On 11/24/2014 at 12:56 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah there is no way a track east of ACK is giving Ray 1-2. No way. Soundings are plenty cold if that track occurs. I don't undersrand that map. Irresponsible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 On 11/24/2014 at 10:58 AM, weathafella said: I knew the move east would be no more than 30-40 miles. I think we're honing in now. Lol on your guys working today on 2-3 hours sleep. That was me 10 years ago...that would be me last night although I did manage 4, this has hallmarks of the great late nov storms in the books, know your climo kind of storm, coastal areas have issues interior yowzer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 On 11/24/2014 at 1:06 PM, CoastalWx said: Look at the nAM and all those north winds. This is going to have a CF right near BOS. If that coastal front is pinned right near BOS, you should have no problem snowing, and we would also have no problem snowing here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 On 11/24/2014 at 12:58 PM, weathafella said: Yeah I'd be surprised if Ray gets under 6 frankly. Yea. My call is 6-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Phil's thoughts First East Coast Winter Storm of The Season November 24, 2014By Phil0 Comments Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 ALB's latest thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 On 11/24/2014 at 11:36 AM, JC-CT said: Ick 4-6?? and its ick?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 On 11/24/2014 at 1:11 PM, Ginxy said: 4-6?? and its ick??Never like being on the wrong side of a tight gradient. You're right though, it's November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 On 11/24/2014 at 12:46 PM, CoastalWx said: BOS may get a few if the GFS is right. CF goes to the city. 700 frotogenesis max there. Could be a surprise dump for Jerry if GFS is right. That cf can do magical things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Albany is pretty bullish. Damn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 From Alb discussion ONE OF THE SIGNIFICANT PLAYERS IN THE STORM...A PV ANOMALY CURRENTLY DIGGING SOUTH ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...IS BECOMING BETTERSAMPLED BY UPPER AIR OBSERVATIONS. THE SECOND MAJOR PLAYER...ENERGYJUST COMING ASHORE IN WESTERN CANADA...WILL BECOME BETTER SAMPLEDTODAY AND TONIGHT. SO...HOPEFULLY MODEL SOLUTIONS WILL BECOME MORETIGHTLY CLUSTERED LATER TODAY OR NIGHT. BUT AT THE VERYLEAST...THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW WITHIN THEWATCH AREA...WITH ADDITIONAL REFINEMENTS IN DETAILS...AMTS...ANDTIMING FORTHCOMING. Model spread seems pretty huge inside 72 hours. Maybe some consensus arrives today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 On 11/24/2014 at 1:09 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: If that coastal front is pinned right near BOS, you should have no problem snowing, and we would also have no problem snowing here That front needs to be SE of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 On 11/24/2014 at 1:11 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Phil's thoughts First East Coast Winter Storm of The Season November 24, 2014By Phil0 Comments Too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON- 347 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS...INTERIOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES. * TIMING...A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BY LATE WEDNESDAY...LAST OVER INTERIOR NEW LONDON COUNTY. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS. * IMPACTS...THE SNOWFALL WILL SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT HOLIDAY TRAVEL...MAKING DRIVING DANGEROUS AT TIMES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 On 11/24/2014 at 1:15 PM, CoastalWx said: That front needs to be SE of me. SE of me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 On 11/24/2014 at 1:15 PM, CoastalWx said: That front needs to be SE of me. On 11/24/2014 at 1:17 PM, amarshall said: SE of me NW of both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Tippy's 14" at ORH seems pretty fair now...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxjim207 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 This is why I love New England weather. Not to steal a cheesy movie quote but I will. "It's the wonder of nature baby!!!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 On 11/24/2014 at 1:11 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Phil's thoughts Remember my text to you yesterday? Carbon copy although we will see what happens today as we could shift that another 50 miles east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 I think Phil's map looks ok for where the rain snow line sets up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 On 11/24/2014 at 1:18 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: NW of both. Not on the NAM, but I was talking to TBlizz about what I would need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 On 11/24/2014 at 1:29 PM, CoastalWx said: Not on the NAM, but I was talking to TBlizz about what I would need. I know, and I was talking to you both about what I need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 On 11/24/2014 at 1:31 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I know, and I was talking to you both about what I need. Dude, you need zero help. This is all WCB lift and moisture. It will be completely oblivious to what's going on 10,000' below. Mark my words, there would be no subsidence exhaust from a CF near BOS IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 At least those that need to travel via 95 should be ok. Wonder how many truck accidents there will be on 84 through Tolland and Vernon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 This may sound silly, but how do you get exact location on the SREF. The map only allows you to pick some locations, and taunton is not one. The sref have been bumping up the mean pretty steadily. Closest point I can find to the taunton attleboro area is Lincoln RI. Mean is about 10" with a ton of spread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 On 11/24/2014 at 12:38 PM, Hazey said: I know it's close in but what are the gfs ensembles saying? Still slightly east of op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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