Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 I'm planning a trip somewhere warm if this happens. Highly doubt that verifies. The last time YYZ even got close to minus 30 Celsius was January 1994. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 12z NAM coming in-line with the other models...south. Looking like a solid hit now (with little mixing issues) for WNY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 I think BUF is going to bust with that WSW, this has mixed precip event written all over it unless you live close the L.Ontario shoreline. Hm, well as of now their active product is currently still a watch. But the 12z NAM is backing off the warm solution and has the mix down to some initial snow pellets. It hasn't looked like a truly major storm for Buffalo on any model for a couple of days now, but this is looking more likely than not to verify at minimal levels for warning criteria snow. Would it be a bust for six inches instead of eight, or five instead of nine? Maybe, but that's cutting it pretty fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 12z NAM coming in-line with the other models...south. Looking like a solid hit now (with little mixing issues) for WNY. Looking solid for Rochester in any event. I'm still not sold on anything more than minimal warning verification for Buffalo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 NAM finally got off whatever drugs it was on. The GFS jumped south as well, and the RGEM is slowly catching up. I think the Finger Lakes region will be almost all snow, but the southern tier is on a knife's edge right now. Edit: Here's what I was talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 There is really poor continuity ongoing in the snowfall maps from BGM. BGM has their eastern counties at 10-14 inches; adjacent areas on the ALY maps are at 18-24 inches. I'd take the under.... 10-14 between now and Tuesday morning is probably reasonable, with 14-18 in the higher elevations of the Caskills. I know it's hard or not possible for their forecast graphics to show that sort of granularity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 RGEM through 12z monday: GGEM total snowfall: ukmet total precip: Looking like a jackpot along the south/southeast shore of lake ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Watertown to Syracuse to Albany is jackpot in populated areas. Dacks are going to get slammed as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 I'd take the under... . 10-14 between now and Tuesday morning is probably reasonable, with 14-18 in the higher elevations of the Caskills. I know it's hard or not possible for their forecast graphics to show that sort of granularity. I think you're right on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 This one has high bust potential. Hopefully everyone can cash in a little bit, especially you central/eastern folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 This one has high bust potential. Hopefully everyone can cash in a little bit, especially you central/eastern folks. yeah definitely. Yesterday I was questioning the lack of watches but today I'm thinking the forecast snowfall totals might be overdone hah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 yeah definitely. Yesterday I was questioning the lack of watches but today I'm thinking the forecast snowfall totals might be overdone hah. Albany going big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 After todays 12z suite I'd be surprised if ALB sees >8". I like areas around SYR for 12"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Nice light to moderate fall of decent size snowflakes...not quite "mothball" but large enough to actually look like snow. And the best part, no wind! Picked up about 1" today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Dunkirk is up to 36. That's a little surprising. Not overly concerning but warmer than I expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Latest GFS a tad more south. Through 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Im in that little weenie 3-5" zone right along th south coast of RI while an hour NE in Boston, 18-25". It blows living on the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
champy Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Im in that little weenie 3-5" zone right along th south coast of RI while an hour NE in Boston, 18-25". It blows living on the coast For a couple of years back in 03-04 I lived in Groton/New London CT...few times it would be pouring rain at home and snowing where I worked up north...sucked! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 For a couple of years back in 03-04 I lived in Groton/New London CT...few times it would be pouring rain at home and snowing where I worked up north...sucked!ya it absolutely blows. Trying to buy a house up north in NW Rhode Island where the average snowfall is more like 60" a season versus 25" here. Even this storm is gonna drop 4" here if I'm lucky while N Rhode Island could see well over a foot. Drives me nuts. I hate rain while others just north are pounding snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 Yeah Devin, hopefully you can get to a place more conducive to decent snowfalls. Boston might be having the most historic winter of all time there this year. Latest NAM looks terrible for everyone. That model is just terrible in general, but within this range it does have some credibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I know this one hasn't completely gone down the toilet for WNY, but I'm getting interested in next weekend's cold. I'm wondering if it's even chances if KBUF gets above 0F at all next Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 I know this one hasn't completely gone down the toilet for WNY, but I'm getting interested in next weekend's cold. I'm wondering if it's even chances if KBUF gets above 0F at all next Saturday. I hate the cold with a passion. I'd rather have 100 degs than 0 degs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 GFS goes north as well. Bet WSW get trimmed back. WWA posted for most of WNY due to icey mix/2-4 inches of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 It's been snowing steadily here all evening. We're closing in on 3 inches and there's still plenty of returns upstream of us. The snow should continue most of the night so we could be up to 5 or 6 inches by morning. The 0z GFS brings the 850 freezing line close to us for a while tomorrow afternoon before it collapses back south. With the steadiest snow moving in tomorrow night and continuing most of the day Monday we could be getting close to a foot before it's over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 It's been snowing steadily here all evening. We're closing in on 3 inches and there's still plenty of returns upstream of us. The snow should continue most of the night so we could be up to 5 or 6 inches by morning. The 0z GFS brings the 850 freezing line close to us for a while tomorrow afternoon before it collapses back south. With the steadiest snow moving in tomorrow night and continuing most of the day Monday we could be getting close to a foot before it's over. Nice, didn't even realize it was snowing that good over there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Nice, didn't even realize it was snowing that good over there. I took I 81 from Central Square to Brewerton around 9 and it was completely snow covered. There are reports of accidents starting to come in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I'm starting to get concerned for WNY as well. That 12" amt on Nam and GFS basically evaporated east to syracuse. Rochester still looks to get Winter Storm Warning totals, but closer 8 instead of 16- as was the thought earlier today and yesterday. Still time for changes. Long duration storm. Wish their was less ice on Lk Ontario. We wont get as much help as is typical. I did see the rgem loop, still showed lots of hvy stuff north of I90. fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.