BuffaloWeather Posted February 3, 2015 Author Share Posted February 3, 2015 I feel like I'm talking to myself again. This guy is bored on a day off. Getting ready to go to the gym though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 3, 2015 Author Share Posted February 3, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Paved another pathway for the deer. Getting deep back there. Average snowdepth from 16-20 inches. Amazing that you've gotten 170" of snow this season, yet there's only 20" or so on the ground. Especially considering how cold it's been for the past month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 4, 2015 Author Share Posted February 4, 2015 Amazing that you've gotten 170" of snow this season, yet there's only 20" or so on the ground. Especially considering how cold it's been for the past month. Not really. I had 120" in Nov/Early December and it melted in the super thaw. So only 50" or so since then, and there was another mini thaw which really destroyed snow pack. The entire snovember snowpack was obliterated with temps in the upper 60s and sun. Not to mention both of the late Dec/early Jan LES events we had were very high ratio and compacted. 1:25 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Looks like good agreement for a combined 3-6 inches between the Wednesday and Thursday systems. The 18z GFS ticked south with the weekend storm but I wouldn't get concerned yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 4, 2015 Author Share Posted February 4, 2015 Looks like good agreement for a combined 3-6 inches between the Wednesday and Thursday systems. The 18z GFS ticked south with the weekend storm but I wouldn't get concerned yet. Looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 FWIW, I added up my CoCoRaHS data thusfar...76" total for season, very evenly distributed. 23" Nov, 19" Dec, 22" Jan and the 12" Feb so far. I average a bit more than KSYR, around 135" / year since i've lived here, which is a decade now. I shouldn't complain, living in SE CT, those were very typical seasonal averages/totals... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 4, 2015 Author Share Posted February 4, 2015 Lock it in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 4, 2015 Author Share Posted February 4, 2015 FWIW, I added up my CoCoRaHS data thusfar...76" total for season, very evenly distributed. 23" Nov, 19" Dec, 22" Jan and the 12" Feb so far. I average a bit more than KSYR, around 135" / year since i've lived here, which is a decade now. I shouldn't complain, living in SE CT, those were very typical seasonal averages/totals... Just north of Syracuse right? Good spot to be for sure. We average 100-120" here. These two years are anomalies. The two previous years I lived in Orchard Park and those were the years we got like 50" and 70" snowfall totals. Was horrid! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Nothing new to report on tomorrow's two snow events but the GFS and GGEM both went crazy tonight in the 4-6 day range. GFS went back to its northerly solution for the storm on the 8th with 6-10 across the region, but then created a crazy strung out system with a ton of overrunning snow before it finally crawled east out to sea. Then the GGEM came out with a very similar solution. Combined accumulations from the 8th-10th were 1-2 feet for most on both models. Tonight's Euro will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 This one actually looks more accurate for my area as the NOAA one seems a bit conservative! Probably close to 20 OTG so we're still building a glacier! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Euro is also on board with 60 hours straight of precip from the 8th-10th, and that's with the coastal that it forms just barely missing to the east. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 4, 2015 Author Share Posted February 4, 2015 1.5" overnight. Airport got 2.6" nice! NEW YORK...CATTARAUGUS COUNTY...1 SSW FRANKLINVILLE 1.0 700 AM 2/04 COOP OBSERVER...CAYUGA COUNTY...8 SSE AUBURN 2.3 600 AM 2/04 COCORAHS...CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...4 SSW RIPLEY 2.0 600 AM 2/04 COCORAHS4 ENE JAMESTOWN 1.0 700 AM 2/04 COOP OBSERVER1 WNW FREDONIA 0.7 530 AM 2/04 COCORAHS...ERIE COUNTY...3 NE CHEEKTOWAGA 2.6 700 AM 2/04 COCORAHSBUFFALO-NIAGARA INTL 2.6 655 AM 2/04 NWS OFFICE2 SSW BLASDELL 1.5 700 AM 2/04 COCORAHS1 NW KENMORE 1.5 643 AM 2/04 COCORAHS...LEWIS COUNTY...HIGHMARKET 1.0 350 AM 2/04 COOP OBSERVER1 NW CONSTABLEVILLE 0.5 500 AM 2/04 COCORAHS...NIAGARA COUNTY...1 NE LOCKPORT 1.8 700 AM 2/04 COCORAHSNIAGARA FALLS AIRPOR 1.3 700 AM 2/04 COOP OBSERVER...OSWEGO COUNTY...FULTON 1.7 700 AM 2/04 COOP OBSERVERFULTON LOCK O3 1.1 700 AM 2/04 COOP OBSERVER3 NE BENNETTS BRIDGE 1.0 700 AM 2/04 COOP OBSERVER2 SSE PALERMO 0.9 600 AM 2/04 COOP OBSERVER...WAYNE COUNTY...1 E NEWARK 2.0 700 AM 2/04 COOP OBSERVER...WYOMING COUNTY...6 SW WARSAW 0.7 700 AM 2/04 COOP OBSERVER3 W WYOMING 0.6 700 AM 2/04 COOP OBSERVER3 N SILVER SPRINGS 0.5 700 AM 2/04 COOP OBSERVER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 8.4 at roc for the storm seems bogus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 8.4 at roc for the storm seems bogus I don't know, it is consistent with my measurements (I'm probably about 10-15 miles from the airport). I think many of the other reports are over-estimates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 4, 2015 Author Share Posted February 4, 2015 8.4 at roc for the storm seems bogus Agreed. The entire county had 12+ aside from the airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Here's the weird thing about this past storm. I've been living here for a little over 11 years now. The drifts produced by this storm in my driveway (which faces NNW) seemed larger and deeper than any other storm we've had in that time. I would have guessed at least 12-18" fell just based on what I had to clear there. However...in the expansive flat region behind the house (we have 8 acres so there is plenty of obstacle-free space), the average snow depth only increased from 10" to 16-18" during the storm. Add on the 2" that fell before I made the first measurement and that leads to a storm total of 8-10", which is in line with ROC. Snowfall intensity and flake size never appeared to be very great (I was up to check a couple of times during the night). So I don't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leelee Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Same with the drifts in front of my house with Sun/Mon storm. The usual W-SW are shielded, the NE to Nish winds made it the toughest 10" or so we've had to deal with. Meanwhile, I think this 2-3 inch shot tonight is busting for the Metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Same with the drifts in front of my house with Sun/Mon storm. The usual W-SW are shielded, the NE to Nish winds made it the toughest 10" or so we've had to deal with. Meanwhile, I think this 2-3 inch shot tonight is busting for the Metro. bust high or low? The webcams look pretty snowy around Buffalo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2015 Author Share Posted February 5, 2015 bust high or low? The webcams look pretty snowy around Buffalo. Looks good here. Already a few inches of new snow. This weekend into early next week still looks good for quite a few people including yourself Devin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 Looks good here. Already a few inches of new snow. This weekend into early next week still looks good for quite a few people including yourself Devin.yeah with the long duration overrunning event then possible coastal at the beginning of the week it could be pretty epic! Was in the farthest NW part of Rhode Island today (Burrillville) and it was pretty wild. About double the pack that I have here. Prob about 30-35" on the ground there which was pretty epic. There were dump trucks hauling snow all over and people on roofs all over the place. Reminded me of when I was in Buffalo for the November event! That part of the state is vastly different from coastal Rhode Island where I live. Reminds me of the Boston/Colden area of the south towns. Highest elevations in the state found there too. Around 800ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2015 Author Share Posted February 5, 2015 yeah with the long duration overrunning event then possible coastal at the beginning of the week it could be pretty epic! Was in the farthest NW part of Rhode Island today (Burrillville) and it was pretty wild. About double the pack that I have here. Prob about 30-35" on the ground there which was pretty epic. There were dump trucks hauling snow all over and people on roofs all over the place. Reminded me of when I was in Buffalo for the November event! That part of the state is vastly different from coastal Rhode Island where I live. Reminds me of the Boston/Colden area of the south towns. Highest elevations in the state found there too. Around 800ft. Yeah definitely a good season for those around Boston. One of the best in history for sure, especially if the models are correct about these next two weeks. Could see some 40"+ depths which is absurd for places that average a little over that amount in a year. Did you take any pictures, would love to see them. Any good places to ski/board there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leelee Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 bust high or low? The webcams look pretty snowy around Buffalo. Was looking low, but that lake enhanced (I think) burst the last hour made this a solid event. Patience, I do not have. The models did seem to have the main band more robust and north, though. And this weekend is interesting, if nothing else. GEFS ensembles are all over the place yet again. 12z run even had a few giving us a good shot of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 We've gotten 1.5" in a little under 3 hours here. The snowgrowth is actually more impressive right now that at any point during the Sunday-Monday storm. As a bonus while we wait for the 0z models, here are the snow totals from the 12z Euro ensembles. For them to be so on board is extremely encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2015 Author Share Posted February 5, 2015 We've gotten 1.5" in a little under 3 hours here. The snowgrowth is actually more impressive right now that at any point during the Sunday-Monday storm. As a bonus while we wait for the 0z models, here are the snow totals from the 12z Euro ensembles. For them to be so on board is extremely encouraging. Looks great. Most of the models agree with that scenario. We are getting close to heavy snow right now here. Dendrite size has increased dramatically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2015 Author Share Posted February 5, 2015 Pretty good agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 BPW sucks ***, i just had to plow my whole street so people can just navigate thru w/o getting stuck.. :angry: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted February 5, 2015 Share Posted February 5, 2015 0z GFS holds serve with 12-16". Very good agreement on all the models and we're only 3 days out. It also has another storm diving down along the arctic front next Wednesday with 6-10". Interesting. The CMC jumped north, shifting a 2'+ jackpot to the Syracuse area with major mixing issues across the southern tier and Finger Lakes. Hopefully it's just the warm/amped bias manifesting itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2015 Author Share Posted February 5, 2015 1.5" overnight and 4.7" of new fluff today. Still snowing lightly. 6.2" storm total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 5, 2015 Author Share Posted February 5, 2015 BPW sucks ***, i just had to plow my whole street so people can just navigate thru w/o getting stuck.. :angry: Is that Lake effect off Ontario hitting you? It looks really intense on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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