BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2015 Author Share Posted January 28, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 GFS is a fully phased bomb for this area. Yeah, widespread 1-2 feet. Of course, had it been much further NW our totals would have been severely limited. Definitely staying up for the Euro tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2015 Author Share Posted January 28, 2015 Yeah, widespread 1-2 feet. Of course, had it been much further NW our totals would have been severely limited. Definitely staying up for the Euro tonight. I might, as the Euro had a great solution at 12z. The GEFS will give us a better idea shortly as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 CMC is a bomb as well, maybe even a bit more amped than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2015 Author Share Posted January 28, 2015 CMC is a bomb as well, maybe even a bit more amped than the GFS. To phased for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leelee Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 CMC has Buffalo temps near 50 by Monday I probably shouldn't follow these models, it's gonna lead to disappointment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2015 Author Share Posted January 28, 2015 CMC has Buffalo temps near 50 by Monday I probably shouldn't follow these models, it's gonna lead to disappointment. Gotta look at the whole picture. Ensembles are the best, not just one operational model. Most of the GEFS had a suppressed look than amped like the GGEM. Will see what the new ones have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2015 Author Share Posted January 28, 2015 Euro much less amplified and more in line with GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Euro is a little south of 12z, and quite fast. All snow for sure, but I'm not sure how much since I don't have a paid subscription. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2015 Author Share Posted January 28, 2015 Euro is a little south of 12z, and quite fast. All snow for sure, but I'm not sure how much since I don't have a paid subscription. Its very progressive, so I don't think much. We need a closed off low like the GFS/GGEM is showing to have any shot at a foot+ storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 This Sunday/Monday system is going to be a real nail biter. 0z GFS today was an absolute crush for WNY/CNY, but by the 12z run it doesnt phase at all and the storm is completely suppressed south. Its going to be a long 12 hours until the next run comes out. I'm heading up to the Adirondacks snowboarding all next week... I need that snow BOMB! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2015 Author Share Posted January 28, 2015 I'm coming with you delta. Gem was a nice hit here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 I'm coming with you delta. Gem was a nice hit here Come on up Man! Whiteface and Gore are the main attractions at this time. I have been a little concerned with the temps over the past few runs (-40 850s!!). That said, the suppressed solution that lacks snow is much milder and progressive. So we either get a lot of snow followed by obscenely cold temps, or not much snow but milder temps. Kind of tough call.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kbruce29 Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 I'm looking to buy a weather station. Any recommendations? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 12z GFS completely tears the system apart with arctic air. We get 2-4" of overrunning snows. The CMC is less amped and transfers to the coast(right over NYC in fact) and spits out well over a foot for most in the region. Edit: And now the Euro is only marginally better than the GFS. Hopefully we can get some trends back in the other direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Not happening this year guys! Disappointment is all we get here in CNY, lol, absolutely pathetic! Good News-First Event- AS THE SHORT WAVE TRACKS OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES EARLY ON DAY2...IT BEGINS EVOLVING INTO A LONG WAVE TROUGH...WHICH CROSSES THEGREAT LAKES AND OH VALLEY THROUGH 30/00Z. THE LONG WAVE TROUGHSTARTS TAKING ON A NEGATIVE TILT AS IT APPROACHES WESTERN NEWENGLAND LATE IN THE PERIOD. STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION (WITH A 35TO 45 KNOT SOUTHWEST FLOW UP THE 290 K ISENTROPIC SURFACE) PUMPS0.50 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES INTO THE AIRMASS. MOISTURE INTHE PRESENCE OF STRONG SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT PRODUCES A LARGE AREAOF 4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS EASTERN OH...WESTERN PA ANDNORTHERN WV. BEHIND THE LONG WAVE TROUGH...LAKE ENHANCEDCONDITIONS DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.MODEL SOUNDINGS EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO SHOWED A 6 TO 9HOUR PERIOD OF CAPPING INVERSION NEAR 775 MB...VERTICAL MOTION INTHE LOWER LAYERS...AND BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS NEAR THE LONG AXIS OFTHE LAKES. THE ADDITIONAL LAKE ENHANCEMENT SHOULD RESULT IN 4 TO 8INCHES OF SNOWFALL EAST OF EACH OF THE LAKES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 12z GFS completely tears the system apart with arctic air. We get 2-4" of overrunning snows. The CMC is less amped and transfers to the coast(right over NYC in fact) and spits out well over a foot for most in the region. Edit: And now the Euro is only marginally better than the GFS. Hopefully we can get some trends back in the other direction. 18Z looks even worse,lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 18Z looks even worse,lol. Yep, If this doesn't come back on 0Z models tonight I think it's safe to say the synoptic snow suck hole covering WNY and CNY continues for the foreseeable future. At least it would be a merciful miss - nothing worse than tracking for several days and wiffing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 Yep, If this doesn't come back on 0Z models tonight I think it's safe to say the synoptic snow suck hole covering WNY and CNY continues for the foreseeable future. At least it would be a merciful miss - nothing worse than tracking for several days and wiffing. Lots of GEFS with an amped solution but it's becoming a lost cause. Nice view of the lakes today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 Anniversary of what gave Buffalo its name today. http://weather.buffalonews.com/2014/12/18/well-know-iconic-buffalo-storms/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 I'm looking to buy a weather station. Any recommendations? The best stations are the Davis weather stations. Look it up on Amazon. They can be quite pricey but well worth it. Save up and spend $250-$300 on a quality one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kbruce29 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 The best stations are the Davis weather stations. Look it up on Amazon. They can be quite pricey but well worth it. Save up and spend $250-$300 on a quality one. I am looking into them. I'm looking to spend like $300. Where would be the best location for one? on the roof? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 I am looking into them. I'm looking to spend like $300. Where would be the best location for one? on the roof? Roof, Tree, anywhere that is far enough away from standing structures that could tamper with readings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Today marks the 38th anniversary of the blizzard of 77, here is the complete newscast broadcast of the blizzard back in 1/31/77. http://weather.buffalonews.com/2015/01/28/blizzard-77-anniversary-jan-28-1977/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 Today marks the 38th anniversary of the blizzard of 77, here is the complete newscast broadcast of the blizzard back in 1/31/77. http://weather.buffalonews.com/2015/01/28/blizzard-77-anniversary-jan-28-1977/ Those commercials. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Today marks the 38th anniversary of the blizzard of 77, here is the complete newscast broadcast of the blizzard back in 1/31/77. http://weather.buffalonews.com/2015/01/28/blizzard-77-anniversary-jan-28-1977/ Kevin O'Connell's forecast 20 minutes in.....moving around the "H" and "L" on the cartoon weather map to show where High and Low pressure systems are going. Then the scrolling forecast for cities across the US with disco music in the background. Classic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 It looks like the GFS bumped significantly north with the monday system, wouldn't be surprised to see big changes over the next couple days. The shortwave involved is still out in the gulf of alaska and seems to be the source of ensemble spread as it rides the west coast ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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