WNash Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 You're not far from my in-laws in Gardenville then - they're near Fourteen Holy Helpers. In the northern part of the Southtowns snow belt, but they get dumped on pretty often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Looks like you guys are getting hammered there! Enjoy it! Love watching the webcams, even if it is mostly full of pure whiteouts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leelee Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 That's just a few miles east of me, drive there often. Only bad part about this area is we get edged a lot on these bands, like today. And both of the November snowpocalyses, the first which just came north enough and the second which didn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 Looks like you guys are getting hammered there! Enjoy it! Love watching the webcams, even if it is mostly full of pure whiteouts . Unfortunately I will be coming to Buffalo in the coming days to attend my grandmothers wake and funeral, but it will be nice to see snow, considering only 0.9" has fallen here in Rhode Island all season long. I am so sorry to hear about your grandma man. May she rest in peace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Looks like you guys are getting hammered there! Enjoy it! Love watching the webcams, even if it is mostly full of pure whiteouts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 We miss you here in WNY Devin. I was supposed to train you into a beast, but you left me to Rhode Island. But with a good reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 We are getting buried here. Those 35-40 DBZ returns are no longer moving south. Looks like some sort of convergence zone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 We miss you here in WNY Devin. I was supposed to train you into a beast, but you left me to Rhode Island. But with a good reason. I'm still waiting for those wind turbines he promised us lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 I'm still waiting for those wind turbines he promised us lol. Haha. I remember that. The ones we put near Cleveland to direct the winds up the fetch of the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 This event is unreal guys. Totally unexpected here. Snowfall rates are insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 Updated map seems about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 My cars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 I have some good video will post later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 12.3 inches on the day as of 10 PM. 1.8" earlier and 10.5" from 4-10pm. Still snowing heavily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 This event is unreal guys. Totally unexpected here. Snowfall rates are insane.thanks guys, how much are you up to BuffaloWeather? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leelee Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Wow, nice. Didn't expect amounts anywhere near that in the Southtowns. That band has held together nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 thanks guys, how much are you up to BuffaloWeather? 12.3" as of 10pm. Should push 15" easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 Getting heavy rates again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 A meso-low formed which caused the winds to back one last time. heavy snow here again. How do you even predict this stuff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 BREAKING: I-90 westbound closed from Exit 53 (I-190) to Exit 59 (Dunkirk) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 BREAKING: I-90 westbound closed from Exit 53 (I-190) to Exit 59 (Dunkirk) That decision should've been made couple hours ago, i feel bad for whoever is stuck out there on the thruway.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leelee Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 That's all the way into the city to Clinton, wow must be a lot of people stuck or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 That decision should've been made couple hours ago, i feel bad for whoever is stuck out there on the thruway.. Its freezing. Whoever is stuck on the freeway better have a lot of gas to make it until the morning. The last bit of snow is going over as we speak, should be gone within the hour will take final daily total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 16.4" total for the event. 1-2 inches to 16.4" Unreal! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 No thunder Not surprised! The wait continues. Only about an inch fell this morning, just enough to cover the ground (mostly) and make it look like the way it feels out there...brutal! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 BUF Weather - clean out your spare bedroom, I'll be crashing there this weekend.... . THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW AMOUNTS WILL EVENTUALLY BECOME SIGNIFICANT BYTHE END OF THE PERIOD. THE 60-72 HOUR CIPS ANALOGS SUGGESTING THEPOTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL FEET OF SNOW OFF BOTH LAKES...WITH THE MOSTSIGNIFICANT TOTALS SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN. THIS EVENT HASTHE POTENTIAL TO VERY DISRUPTIVE TO TRAVEL WITH POSSIBLE CLOSURES OFMAJOR HIGHWAYS...INCLUDING THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY AND INTERSTATE81. AS FOR THE LAKE EFFECT SPECIFICS...OFF LAKE ERIE...LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKING TO SOUTH SOUTHWEST WILL FOCUSLAKE ENHANCED SNOWFALL INITIALLY NORTH OF THE BUFFALO AREA. VEERINGFLOW BEHIND THE SHORTWAVE WILL FOCUS A SIGNIFICANT LAKE BAND ON ASOUTHWEST FLOW INTO THE BUFFALO METRO AREA BY DAYBREAK FRIDAYMORNING...AS OVER-LAKE INSTABILITY SHARPLY INCREASING WITHEQUILIBRIUM LEVELS NEARING 10K FEET. COMBINATION OF SNOWFALL RATESIN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR AND WIND GUSTS OVER 30 MPH WILL MAKEFOR EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS DURING THE FRIDAY MORNINGCOMMUTE. THE BAND WILL LIKELY SWING THROUGH FAIRLY QUICKLY AS THEFLOW CONTINUES TO VEER TO A MORE WEST SOUTHWEST ORIENTATION BY MIDDAY WITH A SIGNIFICANT LAKE BAND SETTING UP ACROSS THE DISTANTBUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERNTIER...REMAINING THERE WELL INTO SATURDAY. ONCE THE LAKE BAND SETSUP...THE OVER-LAKE INSTABILITY BECOMES EXTREME WITH LAKE INDUCEDCAPES OVER 500 J/KG AND EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS NEAR 12K FEET. THESEINSTABILITY FIELDS WOULD SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR INTENSE SNOWFALLRATES IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES PER HOUR. WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 30 MPHWILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH NEARWHITEOUT CONDITIONS. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUEDACCORDINGLY FOR AREAS EAST OF LAKE ERIE...INCLUDING THE METROBUFFALO ALTHOUGH IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE MOST SIGNIFICANT SNOWSAREA LIKELY ACROSS THE DISTANT BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS INTO THE WESTERNSOUTHERN TIER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 Omg.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leelee Posted January 7, 2015 Share Posted January 7, 2015 Interesting change... all model output I see has winds quickly shifting W Friday and more into Southern Tier at least. Should be fun to follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 7, 2015 Author Share Posted January 7, 2015 BUF Weather - clean out your spare bedroom, I'll be crashing there this weekend.... . THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW AMOUNTS WILL EVENTUALLY BECOME SIGNIFICANT BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE 60-72 HOUR CIPS ANALOGS SUGGESTING THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL FEET OF SNOW OFF BOTH LAKES...WITH THE MOST SIGNIFICANT TOTALS SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN. THIS EVENT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO VERY DISRUPTIVE TO TRAVEL WITH POSSIBLE CLOSURES OF MAJOR HIGHWAYS...INCLUDING THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY AND INTERSTATE 81. AS FOR THE LAKE EFFECT SPECIFICS... OFF LAKE ERIE...LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKING TO SOUTH SOUTHWEST WILL FOCUS LAKE ENHANCED SNOWFALL INITIALLY NORTH OF THE BUFFALO AREA. VEERING FLOW BEHIND THE SHORTWAVE WILL FOCUS A SIGNIFICANT LAKE BAND ON A SOUTHWEST FLOW INTO THE BUFFALO METRO AREA BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY MORNING...AS OVER-LAKE INSTABILITY SHARPLY INCREASING WITH EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS NEARING 10K FEET. COMBINATION OF SNOWFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR AND WIND GUSTS OVER 30 MPH WILL MAKE FOR EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS DURING THE FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE. THE BAND WILL LIKELY SWING THROUGH FAIRLY QUICKLY AS THE FLOW CONTINUES TO VEER TO A MORE WEST SOUTHWEST ORIENTATION BY MID DAY WITH A SIGNIFICANT LAKE BAND SETTING UP ACROSS THE DISTANT BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER...REMAINING THERE WELL INTO SATURDAY. ONCE THE LAKE BAND SETS UP...THE OVER-LAKE INSTABILITY BECOMES EXTREME WITH LAKE INDUCED CAPES OVER 500 J/KG AND EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS NEAR 12K FEET. THESE INSTABILITY FIELDS WOULD SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR INTENSE SNOWFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES PER HOUR. WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 30 MPH WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ACCORDINGLY FOR AREAS EAST OF LAKE ERIE...INCLUDING THE METRO BUFFALO ALTHOUGH IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE MOST SIGNIFICANT SNOWS AREA LIKELY ACROSS THE DISTANT BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS INTO THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. Top Analogs: http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/threats.php?reg=EC&rundt= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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