1900hurricane Posted November 22, 2014 Author Share Posted November 22, 2014 Called off my chase several hours ago. Based on what's going on right now, looks like a good call. Low level lapse rates killed off the potential across much of the warm sector, allowing elevated convection to develop above them in the isentropic ascent. SW of I-35/37 is still open for storm development, but wind profiles are pretty bad down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted November 22, 2014 Author Share Posted November 22, 2014 Severe Thunderstorm Watch is up along the Rio Grande. Storms that have taken advantage of the low level upslope flow are getting ready to cross the border. WWUS40 KWNS 222108WWP7SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH PROBABILITIES FOR WS 0557NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK0304 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014WS 0557PROBABILITY TABLE:PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES : 20%PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /F2-F5/ TORNADOES : <02%PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS : 40%PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS : 20%PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS : 40%PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES : 40%PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS : 70%&&ATTRIBUTE TABLE:MAX HAIL /INCHES/ : 2.0MAX WIND GUSTS SURFACE /KNOTS/ : 60MAX TOPS /X 100 FEET/ : 450MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR /DEGREES AND KNOTS/ : 26035PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION : NO&&FOR A COMPLETE GEOGRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE WATCH ANDWATCH EXPIRATION INFORMATION SEE WOUS64 FOR WOU7.$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted November 23, 2014 Author Share Posted November 23, 2014 Yesterday's Storm Reports were pretty pitiful. An Elevated Risk is up for today, specifically for some tornadoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NTXYankee Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Yesterday's Storm Reports were pretty pitiful. An Elevated Risk is up for today, specifically for some tornadoes. Rain amounts weren't close either for the DFW area, some locations received over an inch, but generally amounts were under that. Need a good soaking rain up here as we have missed out several times on that this year and this area in particular has the higher drought conditions to date for Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rolltide_130 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 My grandparents lost an 80-90' water oak and 4 other trees in Quincy, FL, when the line went through earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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