Geos Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 lol, Geos. I sat here trying to figure it out, and concluded I would get about 7 inches according to the RGEM. Then I scrolled down and saw your map. I would be right in the jackpot for Michigan! 7 to 8 inches. Yeah it's just mm/2.54" for the conversion. Up and over 0.40" for this system now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Sharp gradient on the NAM. Part of LOT's advisory area would be in trouble. Yeah. Riding the border here, a NAM like solution leaves me with a DAB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 last few frames of the loop are pretty solid.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 29.19" at IND...new record low for the month of November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Wow. Now is the NAM just being the NAM, or is there going to be that sharp of a cutoff? Grand Rapids could potential have a dusting, while I am nearing a half foot 35 miles to the northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 anybody have the hi res 4km NAM snow map to compare with the regular NAM map posted earlier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 anybody have the hi res 4km NAM snow map to compare with the regular NAM map posted earlier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 hires_snow_acc_michigan_20.png Everyone along and south of I-80 in IL won't have any fingernails left by tomorrow morning lol. Wow. Tricky tricky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 00z RGEM is a little lighter with the snows for the QCA compared to the 12z run. Best snows fall up in Cheese country. Still sticking with my 1-2" call for QCA/here. To me it looks like we'll quickly change over to snow shortly after sunrise. May rip for a short time, but looks to quickly lift north of here by late morning. The residual light snows that develop behind the main deform band by midday across much of the area may end up giving us more accum than the brief burst of snow after the changeover. All in all it's looking like a non-event here by winter standards, but for November it's hard to complain. Would have been fun to get a solid 3-5" storm though like some of the models have indicated over the past few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Thanks for posting all these maps Geos, good luck all on this event. We have a high wind warning in effect here for gust up to 60 MPH. Should be fun with the amount of moisture that is in the soil from the recent Lake effect event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 You could probably make a case for warnings in Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 No problem Buffalo Weather. Don't know why I'm posting the globals this late in the game, but here is the GFS anyways. Need a slight jog southwards or else it's going to be a nail bitter here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 From ABC7Chicago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Thanks for posting all these maps Geos, good luck all on this event. We have a high wind warning in effect here for gust up to 60 MPH. Should be fun with the amount of moisture that is in the soil from the recent Lake effect event. I would love to get the 6 to 8 inches of cement snow the models are showing. Perhaps it can put down a nice base. How much snow do you have left over there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 I would love to get the 6 to 8 inches of cement snow the models are showing. Perhaps it can put down a nice base. How much snow do you have left over there? 18 inches. The highest base I got to was 50 inches with 6-6.5 SWE within the snow. The highest recorded was 59 inches in Elma. These 3 days are perfect snow torching conditions here. The snow piles are still incredible though. It feels like I'm driving in a tunnel down most streets in Hamburg. They still have giant snow throwers going down the road to make the streets wider. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 From ABC7Chicago Seems reasonable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Skimpy on the accumulations from ABC and too light given the advisories and other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Skimpy on the accumulations from ABC and too light given the advisories and other guidance. Jerry 'no snow' Taft must be working. He's the biggest anti-weenie of all time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 P&C now shows snow likely wording here tomorrow with total accums of up to 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Jerry 'no snow' Taft must be working. He's the biggest anti-weenie of all time. It's Schwartz. But I think those totals are too low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Skimpy on the accumulations from ABC and too light given the advisories and other guidance. The GFS is almost that skimpy and the NAM has a difficult cutoff for the Chicago metro area as well. Recent trends are ending the snow a bit sooner for both Chicago and Milwaukee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 The GFS is almost that skimpy and the NAM has a difficult cutoff for the Chicago metro area as well. Recent trends are ending the snow a bit sooner for both Chicago and Milwaukee. My point was it looks too low, given everything else out there. Trying to nail down the exact location of where the deformation band will rotate through the longest is a long shot even 24 hours out! lol 3z RAP might be coming in a tad south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 WREX: Not sure about this one, primarily over Iowa... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 might have to up my thoughts on 2 inches in the air and 1 inch of accums locally here.....maybe double each category .... not trending well at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Jerry 'no snow' Taft must be working. He's the biggest anti-weenie of all time. No, that's Rich "thundershower" Luterman... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 WREX: Not sure about this one, primarily over Iowa... Maybe I shouldn't be too hard on the graphic...the WREX weekend met is an NIU senior.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chances14 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 No, that's Rich "thundershower" Luterman... he should trademark that word Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Solid 1-3" across the cheese state. NAM certainly being the NAM... Almost as sharp of a gradient as the lake effect snow over near Buffalo. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Just to show what the RAP has in mind @ 1pm. Couple degrees cooler and this could be a bigger deal for a lot of areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 Surface low down ~985 mb as of 5z, which is on the deeper side of much of the recent guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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