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November II Discussion


CapturedNature

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Huge temperature bust potential beyond the week's events ... Clearly Canada will be very cold.  Meanwhile... some sort of split PNA is driving up heights in the deep south, trying to bulge a kind of indian summer appeal into the OV /MA ...maybe even locally. But that creates one helluva gradient near-by.  A waft by a N-door front can mean a 20F or more difference across a very short distance. 

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Huge temperature bust potential beyond the week's events ... Clearly Canada will be very cold.  Meanwhile... some sort of split PNA is driving up heights in the deep south, trying to bulge a kind of indian summer appeal into the OV /MA ...maybe even locally. But that creates one helluva gradient near-by.  A waft by a N-door front can mean a 20F or more difference across a very short distance. 

 

December-winter is finally here!
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Huge temperature bust potential beyond the week's events ... Clearly Canada will be very cold.  Meanwhile... some sort of split PNA is driving up heights in the deep south, trying to bulge a kind of indian summer appeal into the OV /MA ...maybe even locally. But that creates one helluva gradient near-by.  A waft by a N-door front can mean a 20F or more difference across a very short distance. 

True, I remember, sometime in the 90s I think, an obs at the north end of Boston Harbor being at 16F while at the same time the south end was at 50F

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I am envisioning a couple inches OTG as we all sit down to eat the T-giving meal

 

 

Keep dreaming bud

 

 

I think we all envision this but reality likely will provide a different picture.

 

 

Doubt that event before thanksgiving pans out. A marginal thread the needle setup thats still 8-9 days away.

Maybe we pull something out, but the odds are stacked against us.

Prophet

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Yeah I'm thinking slightly negative. Just a glance at some guidance... -6, +5, +12, +7, +3, 0, -4, -6, -7 from today through the end of the month. That's +0.4 over the last 9 days, which should put us at -0.5F or so by the 30th.

 

Finished dead normal +/- 0.0F.

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But the others around us weren't all THAT cold either. And actually Watertown was more above. The Great Lakes moisture (which we get a lot of on early season westerly flow rather than northerly) and its prevention from us radiationally cooling really saved us, and that's evident in the spread below.

 

ART: +1.0F

MSS: +0.3F

BTV: 0.0F

MVL: -0.1F

PBG: -0.7F

GFL: -0.9F

ALB: -1.4F

SLK: -1.8F

MPV: -1.9F

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But the others around us weren't all THAT cold either. And actually Watertown was more above. The Great Lakes moisture (which we get a lot of on early season westerly flow rather than northerly) and its prevention from us radiationally cooling really saved us, and that's evident in the spread below.

ART: +1.0F

MSS: +0.3F

BTV: 0.0F

MVL: -0.1F

PBG: -0.7F

GFL: -0.9F

ALB: -1.4F

SLK: -1.8F

MPV: -1.9F

all of NE was a relative sea of warmth east of the Continental divide.
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