Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 In my entire life, I've never seen end to end snowpack form thanksgiving. Not once. I'm not saying we'll have that either. Just saying that the snow on Tgiving could help tone things down a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 It's nice to see all the posts about waiting until after the 10th or 15th get ignored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 It's nice to see all the posts about waiting until after the 10th or 15th get ignored. Who's ignoring them? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Signal of reload stronger on ensembles late in the cycle. 12/10 onward which to me is perfect timing. Let me know when we want a December thread. I'd like to be the starter. Agree, get the mild up out of the way early in the month and then have the reload towards end of month when we are into real winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Who's ignoring them? Who do you think? Kevin's demeanor sounds surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 It's nice to see all the posts about waiting until after the 10th or 15th get ignored.. What are we waiting for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 . What are we waiting for? A weenie in a manger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 It's nice to see all the posts about waiting until after the 10th or 15th get ignored. Why is that the target date? What's the reasoning behind it? Is it purely based off of analogs, the ENSO, PDO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Away in a manger no snow overhead... The visions of NAO/EPO dances in his head.... The euro ensembles are warm once again.... The little lord Kevin concocts means to score 10.... One day the MJO awakes in phase 8.... Deep deep winter has appetites to sate.... And little lord Kevin his hands outstretched taut... Proclaims to the heavens it's exactly as we thought.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 this looks pretty nino-like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 look at the moisture feed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Is there a bigger dic khead than Andrew Cuomo, good luck with your own state run weather service, you won't understand that either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Is there a bigger dic khead than Andrew Cuomo, good luck with your own state run weather service, you won't understand that either Yeah his comments were weak sauce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Is there a bigger dic khead than Andrew Cuomo, good luck with your own state run weather service, you won't understand that either Idiot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Why is that the target date? What's the reasoning behind it? Is it purely based off of analogs, the ENSO, PDO? Well myself and others including Will and NJwinter were thinking after that date based on MJO wave activity. Now of course it doesn't rule anything out beforehand, but this is the time where I would not expect much. I haven't seem the EC ensembles today. Hopefully they are trying to rebuild Aleutian low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 There is no torch today was pretty torcharific. was working in the yard in jeans and a t-shirt. would have been comfortable in shorts but i was raking neverending acorns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Well myself and others including Will and NJwinter were thinking after that date based on MJO wave activity. Now of course it doesn't rule anything out beforehand, but this is the time where I would not expect much. I haven't seem the EC ensembles today. Hopefully they are trying to rebuild Aleutian low. Sounds pretty good then and I completely trust your expertise. This entire process feels similar to December 2002 with the possible snow event (though a week earlier) to the mild stretch before the Xmas storm. I don't know how high you guys regard that year and if there is any remote or even direct similarity. Meanwhile a little bit of patience never killed anybody. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 38F. RA. already at .44" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Howdy, folks. Long-time lurker, first time poster here! Excited to be part of the forum. While I don't live in sweet New England, this thread/group of folks is far & away the most informative. Hoping to get a good amount of posting in and start building more of a grasp on all things wx. I'm also unafraid to be a now and again. Be patient with my weather knowledge. I'm a tenderfoot. Here's too a 'ballz-out' winter ahead (I hope)!! Welcome mothman! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Welcome!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Inversion Warmer at my house at 1000' than at work at 440' by 4F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Torch across SNE. Cold hanging tough here. 40F Find the Valley: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 1.01 at work, winds gusted to 37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Still looks like the first half of December is close the shades worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Welcome Mothman, hopefully your brethren have their last hurrah tonight, seen a bunch in the floodlights this morning. . Hers a LR text link to get an idea whats upcoming for your hood, the underlines when clicked produce maps. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kalb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Still looks like the first half of December is close the shades worthy. I am intrigued by the Jerry Birthday surprise on the 1st Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Still looks like the first half of December is close the shades worthy.Think we'll see that window shrink as we get closer. Models will pick it up starting late week/ weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 We may try and reload by th 10th but it looks like a pretty crappy period for several days before that perhaps a week even. We might get a sneaky airmass the first couple days of the month but it lifts out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Up to 60F now. Maxed out at 59F yesterday. Should make a run at 60F tomorrow too. Nice 3 day torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Think we'll see that window shrink as we get closer. Models will pick it up starting late week/ weekend 06 GEFS have a big gradient with only a 2-3 day mildup the entire run. Back to normal not a torch at any rate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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