TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Meanwhile, some signs that the Aleutian low anomaly may be trying to develop in the form of lower heights in between Hawaii and the Aleutians. It's at the end of the euro ensemble so the signal is muted...but it is there. In the meantime, it's going to be a big battle across the nrn tier with cold and storminess vs warmer weather I think. A gradient pattern wouldn't be the worst thing. Is that feature you mentioned something we want too see as we head into December? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 A gradient pattern wouldn't be the worst thing. Is that feature you mentioned something we want too see as we head into December? Aleutian low? Yes that is a key look for a good El Nino winter. Hopefully that signals gets better as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Aleutian low? Yes that is a key look for a good El Nino winter. Hopefully that signals gets better as we get closer. That's what I thought, thanks. In a perfect world we would end up on the right side of a gradient as we continued to build towards a possible flip of the switch in mid to late December. I would rather we yo yo for a while than have straight mild weather for 2-3 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 That's what I thought, thanks. In a perfect world we would end up on the right side of a gradient as we continued to build towards a possible flip of the switch in mid to late December. I would rather we yo yo for a while than have straight mild weather for 2-3 weeks We will have some mild wx for sure I think. Maybe no prolonged, but could yo-yo. It will be interesting to see how it shapes up. The tendency has been a warm 11-15 day look gets a lot colder in the 6-10 day period. However, we won't avoid the mild weather totally it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Nothing like a wintry looking Holiday and holiday weekend. Who cares about the torch when everyone is working. 4-6 would be perfect to me a foot of snow would probably seriously mess up my plans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 There is no torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Monday and Monday night Is a torch. Monday night lows will be close to normal highs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Monday and Monday night Is a torch. Monday night lows will be close to normal highs.t That qualifies as a torch. Of course there will be posts in these spaces about bootleg highs. I make the o-u at 5 considering the usual suspects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
met_fan Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Way too early.Too early to turn them on, but today was a nice day to hang them up - much better than doing it when it's 25 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Perfect fall COC day today, final pre snowstorm leaf cleanup, just a perfect day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Too early to turn them on, but today was a nice day to hang them up - much better than doing it when it's 25 degrees.they look best shining through snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 There is no torch You're torching as we write. Embrace it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Perfect fall COC day today, final pre snowstorm leaf cleanup, just a perfect day Yep, I'm finishing the job myself. I enjoy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Euro in clown range is a torch for the first week of December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Torch today. Right around 60f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Hit 54F for the high here. I was sweating stacking wood. Sun felt good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Euro in clown range is a torch for the first week of December. antagonist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 antagonist. Ensembles agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Early December looks warm...we'll at least see a 4-6 day milder period IMHO...whether we reload quickly or wait a bit longer is up for debate. The ensembles show the pattern starting to reload around Dec 7-8 so we'd probably get cold shotly thereafter...but that is 14-15 days out, so take it with a grain of salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Signal of reload stronger on ensembles late in the cycle. 12/10 onward which to me is perfect timing. Let me know when we want a December thread. I'd like to be the starter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Signal of reload stronger on ensembles late in the cycle. 12/10 onward which to me is perfect timing. Let me know when we want a December thread. I'd like to be the starter.paralegic GFS has a snowstorm on your birthday, classic Leon overrunning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 That milder time definitely was/is modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 What is warm? Like 60's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 What is warm? Like 60's? It doesn't seem that warm. That would be 20+ above normal. It seems to me a overall period of +3 to +8 12/2-8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 What I mean are we talking like 5-7 days of 50's or a couple days in the 40's and 1 warmer day? Big difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 What I mean are we talking like 5-7 days of 50's or a couple days in the 40's and 1 warmer day? Big difference Who knows? Right now it looks like at least 5 days of 45-55 for highs. It can and probably will change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Gotta watch those heights in AK because they have been muting the torch, but this is what I was saying about gradient. It may be north of us for awhile and out in the Rockies as the PNA drops. A lot of moving and shaking regarding all the shifts, but don't be surprised when we talked about it for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I'm thinking we end up with a shortened, muted version of a torch..Sort of like this current one. a day or 2 that could be considered super mild..but of short duration and not a massive torch. There was a time when this whole week was talked about as AN..And that's not counting the Black Friday cutter it had. Just in general it was modeled to be longer and stronger Also snow cover will have to be taken into consideration on muting things as we should have a nice pack over the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I'm thinking we end up with a shortened, muted version of a torch..Sort of like this current one. a day or 2 that could be considered super mild..but of short duration and not a massive torch. There was a time when this whole week was talked about as AN..And that's not counting the Black Friday cutter it had. Just in general it was modeled to be longer and stronger Also snow cover will have to be taken into consideration on muting things as we should have a nice pack over the region In my entire life, I've never seen end to end snowpack form thanksgiving. Not once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I'm thinking we end up with a shortened, muted version of a torch..Sort of like this current one. a day or 2 that could be considered super mild..but of short duration and not a massive torch. There was a time when this whole week was talked about as AN..And that's not counting the Black Friday cutter it had. Just in general it was modeled to be longer and stronger Also snow cover will have to be taken into consideration on muting things as we should have a nice pack over the region It easily could be several+ days and have some yo-yos. You get the sense of yo-yo looping the models. Sometimes amid the crappy look of the pattern, you get a low that yanks cold down in advance of something coming up from the Ohio River valley and you get overrunning too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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