Nittany88 Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Your negative departures are more difficult thanks to much more wintry climo in mid late November. I mean it's a heckuva lot easier for us in sne with normal max of 50 for the first half of November and even beyond for some to post negatives in the type of regime we've been in. Made some slight changes as I had the initial normals incorrect, but still came with only -0.5F. And Monday if it hits 60F could really send us up. But yeah very true, plus when it gets cold on a west wind, we get inundated with Great Lakes moisture which kills any real nighttime cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Quick scatter plot I made on NA snow cover since 1960 from Rutgers snow lab for week 46. blowing it away this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Some light ip/zr here at the PIT. Didn't realize it until just now that the deck was a little slick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Some light ip/zr here at the PIT. Didn't realize it until just now that the deck was a little slick. just another ho hum double digit departure day in my hood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 I know a lot of you guys have been following along what's been going on in Buffalo. Flood warnings have been issued by the NWS BUF today. In their AFD, they mention that a model run based on weather conditions between Sunday and Monday suggests that 50" of snow would melt under those conditions. If that happens, it will essentially wipe out the entire remaining snow pack. Hard to believe they could go from 80" in spots to gone in less than a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Some light ip/zr here at the PIT. Didn't realize it until just now that the deck was a little slick. We got exactly 2 minutes of that and it was over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Not a word from DIT about the screaming soueaster?, surprised Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Not a word from DIT about the screaming soueaster?, surprised Inversion...it's a very meh setup inland..Maybe SE Mass can grab a few gusts to 50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Inversion...it's a very meh setup inland..Maybe SE Mass can grab a few gusts to 50 i'd watch for mixing in heavy convective elements , CCT seems prime place too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 i'd watch for mixing in heavy convective elements , CCT seems prime place too Hope so..but it looks very meh to me.. Storm isn't strong enough and LLJ doesn't coincide...Coast could rip a few though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Hope so..but it looks very meh to me.. Storm isn't strong enough and LLJ doesn't coincide...Coast could rip a few though wind advisories flying around Monday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Tuesday continues to look like temps drop off and torch is cancelled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Upcoming pattern looks fairly active on the models after Thanksgiving. Lots of shortwaves rolling through with some frequency. Could get on a train of light to moderate events, nickel and dime stuff heading into December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Upcoming pattern looks fairly active on the models after Thanksgiving. Lots of shortwaves rolling through with some frequency. Could get on a train of light to moderate events, nickel and dime stuff heading into December. It's still mild looking to me with Pac flow for a time, but it has that look of sneaky events too...esp up your way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Upcoming pattern looks fairly active on the models after Thanksgiving. Lots of shortwaves rolling through with some frequency. Could get on a train of light to moderate events, nickel and dime stuff heading into December.seems so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Might have to consider some picnic table watches if warranted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Wintery appeal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Feels like a torch out there at a balmy 41. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Feels like a torch out there at a balmy 41. lol, I was thinking that earlier, warmest night of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 lol, I was thinking that earlier, warmest night of the week. Monday is going to feel like a wet summer day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Kevin may finally get the HHH he pined in vain for all summer as the COC preps for Thanksgiving. For one day in November, he'll be experiencing BDL conditions instead of ORH. IT WILL BE UNSEASONABLY MILDWITH HIGHS WELL INTO THE 60S IN MANY LOCATIONS AND DEWPOINTS WILLAPPROACH 60 WITH GUSTY S/SW WINDS TO 30-35 MPH IN THE COASTALPLAIN. 925 MB TEMPS ARE QUITE MILD NEAR +15C WHICH WOULD NORMALLYSUPPORT HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S BUT THINK LOW CLOUDS WILL LIMITHEATING. IF WE CAN GET ANY SUN...70+ WOULD BE POSSIBLE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Kevin may finally get the HHH he pined in vain for all summer as the COC preps for Thanksgiving. For one day in November, he'll be experiencing BDL conditions instead of ORH. IT WILL BE UNSEASONABLY MILD WITH HIGHS WELL INTO THE 60S IN MANY LOCATIONS AND DEWPOINTS WILL APPROACH 60 WITH GUSTY S/SW WINDS TO 30-35 MPH IN THE COASTAL PLAIN. 925 MB TEMPS ARE QUITE MILD NEAR +15C WHICH WOULD NORMALLY SUPPORT HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S BUT THINK LOW CLOUDS WILL LIMIT HEATING. IF WE CAN GET ANY SUN...70+ WOULD BE POSSIBLE There won't be much if any sun tomorrow with screaming south flow off the cold water..land none will hit 70 lots of low level stuff screaming north..but it will feel tropical. I'm gonna put up Christmas lights tomorrow..so they can be buried in snow come T-giving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 There won't be much if any sun tomorrow with screaming south flow off the cold water..land none will hit 70 lots of low level stuff screaming north..but it will feel tropical. I'm gonna put up Christmas lights tomorrow..so they can be buried in snow come T-giving Way too early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Bigtime gradient pattern on the Euro days 8-10.. If we can get on the right side of that it could be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Bigtime gradient pattern on the Euro days 8-10.. If we can get on the right side of that it could be fun. It's a gradient for 2 more weeks at least. I could see a yo-yo pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 It's a gradient for 2 more weeks at least. I could see a yo-yo pattern. Do the ens show the same basic thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Do the ens show the same basic thing? Yeah. They do look on the mild side overall, but the means might not get the daily fluctuations all that well. I'm not sold on a prolong boring pattern either. That boundary will be close by. Hopefully the heights near AK build enough to push it south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 It's a gradient for 2 more weeks at least. I could see a yo-yo pattern. Timeless words from The Boss: Now I been lookin' for a job but it's hard to find Down here it's just winners and losers and Don't get caught on the wrong side of that line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Meanwhile, some signs that the Aleutian low anomaly may be trying to develop in the form of lower heights in between Hawaii and the Aleutians. It's at the end of the euro ensemble so the signal is muted...but it is there. In the meantime, it's going to be a big battle across the nrn tier with cold and storminess vs warmer weather I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 Squirrel explosion in my yard. They have been getting busy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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