Ginx snewx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Looks like 2-2.5 inches http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=BUF&product=NTP&overlay=11101111&loop=yes that's not fake effect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 That makes sense. Check this photo out! Man...it must be painful to be like 4 miles away and get 10" while literally a few neighborhoods away gets 40". Think of the meltdowns on this board, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Man...it must be painful to be like 4 miles away and get 10" while literally a few neighborhoods away gets 40". Think of the meltdowns on this board, lol. My parents live in Amherst (2 miles north of Buffalo) and can see the grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 You can't really judge based on radar estimates. I'm guessing ratios are close to 30:1 in some of that stuff. It's a little bit heavier than some of the LES last year. I'd guess ratios 1:15 to 1:25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Lake Erie getting hammered. Yea it's not synoptic but to experience 4'++++ would be super weenie mode with all the toppings. I just hope that one day the east coast gets a superstorm 93 but stalls out. One assumes that given enough time, any conceivable atmospheric configuration will come to fruition, sort of like the infinite monkey theorem. All we need to do to guarantee the occurrence of a triple phaser/major hurricane merger at 40/70 in January is figure out a way to make earth and ourselves last for infinity. Should be easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 You can't really judge based on radar estimates. I'm guessing ratios are close to 30:1 in some of that stuff.Hamburg Cocorahs had 1.22 in 18 inches so 2 plus with 36 plus seems ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Cold reloaded during next week unleashes again Tday on. Get used to itYup , winter just wants to set in early this year. The signs are there. Hopefully folks have read them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Hamburg Cocorahs had 1.22 in 18 inches so 2 plus with 36 plus seems ok. Early season meso-scale events can have some sneaky moisture in them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 PVD was a +6 yesterday Yeah... the warmth never really made it very far north though... ORH managed a +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Early season meso-scale events can have some sneaky moisture in them.watching vids and plows you can see early on it had meat, probably higher now but none the less insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Yup , winter just wants to set in early this year. The signs are there. Hopefully folks have read them It sure has set in. Those 60s tell the tale for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 It sure has set in. Those 60s tell the tale for next week.it's always funny when you highlight a 36 hr period out of 240 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 it's always funny when you highlight a 36 hr period out of 240 I think it's more pointing out that winter isn't "Setting in"...which implied locking in the cold pattern. I do think we will be biasing cold over the next 10-12 days, but I think Sun/Mon/Tues all come in positive departures next week. Looks pretty cold the weekend of T-day...but then I could see another relaxation after that cold shot to above avg temps again. That's getting pretty far out, so no guarantees there, but it's been the theme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted November 18, 2014 Author Share Posted November 18, 2014 It sure has set in. Those 60s tell the tale for next week. No month does not at least have a record high in the 60s+...winter or not. I hope this isn't a winter that we keep searching out sustained cold. It's still fall though but getting close to early winter. Either way, impressive stuff going on around the country! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 it's always funny when you highlight a 36 hr period out of 240 It's funny when you exaggerate too. It's not a winter pattern locking in with cold and snow. I think my earlier posts explain that going back to yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Yeah I was mentioning last night how CAA was so strong that we'd probably see temps falling during the day. The sun's won the battle with the CAA. Temps have climbed to 27.9/11, ftl. It sure has set in. Those 60s tell the tale for next week. You're brutal. It's beautiful weather if you like cold air between your rain storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 here we go with the agendas.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 It sure has set in. Those 60s tell the tale for next week.1 day of 55-60 and rain the back to BN? Seems ok to this guy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 1 day of 55-60 and rain the back to BN? Seems ok to this guy Looks like 2-3 days. Monday and Tuesday and Sunday is now looking much milder too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Looks like 2-3 days. Monday and Tuesday and Sunday is now looking much milder too. Yep...Sunday has gotten milder for sure as we get closer...and T-day weekend has trended colder. Bit of a trade off. The ensemble guidance is a wreck beyond T-day weekend...it looks like we could relax a bit, but the spread is huge. I wouldn't trust much of anything beyond that range until we get a bit closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Looks like 2-3 days. Monday and Tuesday and Sunday is now looking much milder too. With no snow cover to protect, I enjoy the mild-ups with a clear conscience. 60 vs. 25, it's all the same to me, unless you're trying to build pond ice which this city slicker is not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 It's funny when you exaggerate too. It's not a winter pattern locking in with cold and snow. I think my earlier posts explain that going back to yesterday.please link exaggerated posts TIA. Its a 2 day reload that many said last week would last until the first week of Dec and I believe mid Dec was also mentioned. Of course we have these cutters but the AN posts you made for the two weeks look in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 I think some are getting confused with a pattern not locking in, and a torch pattern. Two very different things and both not at play. Good news is that some subtle signs are there for a return down the road...but at least IMHO..it's far from a locked in pattern for the next two weeks or so. Perhaps more. As was stressed last night..it doesn't mean the interior can sneak in a snow event. Climo says you can do this heading into early December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 please link exaggerated posts TIA. Its a 2 day reload that many said last week would last until the first week of Dec and I believe mid Dec was also mentioned. Of course we have these cutters but the AN posts you made for the two weeks look in trouble. Dude, get Bastardi out of your pants. I said normal to above normal after Thanksgiving to maybe the 10th or so. Maybe I'm a degree off and it sneaks just below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Dude, get Bastardi out of your pants. I said normal to above normal after Thanksgiving to maybe the 10th or so. Maybe I'm a degree off and it sneaks just below.can't back up your statement, no problem. We disagree and lol on your dig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Dude, get Bastardi out of your pants. I said normal to above normal after Thanksgiving to maybe the 10th or so. Maybe I'm a degree off and it sneaks just below. In JB we trust... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 In JB we trust... nice avatar,bummer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 can't back up your statement, no problem. We disagree and lol on your dig. It's backed up in the form of multiple posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 It's backed up in the form of multiple posts.link to my exaggerated posts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Plows getting stuck in Buffalo, fake effect doesn't do that. Meat in them potatoes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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