HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Down to 34/33 now here. Nothing of note from the front. Let the magical CAD season begin here. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 :weenie: I learned that painful lesson after the conclusion of the Dec 16, 2007 super swfe. My Euphoria over the victory of maintaining snow until ending as drizzle was abruptly dashed as my temp spiked from a benign 33°, up to a the most corrosive, saturated 38° imaginable...as my immaculate ~2' cement pack was battered down to most asethetically unappealing, soggy, pitted, disaster...averaging about 14", with areas where water lie beneath reduced to about 8". The mets comfort you with cries of "the front will be through soon", but make no mistake about it, the downslope dandy cold air advection took about 12 hours to arrive. All the while, locales 10 miles inland maintain protective pack glaze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 This is damn cool These are always fun to run, where our source region of air is from Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-spO2ISHi88Feel free to keep posting wxporn. Please. More updates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-spO2ISHi88That's great man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Crushed in the Buffalo suburbs... BUF_forecast.jpg Not to mention a few of these guys ripping along the lake at 45-50 mph. A couple of these mesos have been popping up through 5,000 feet. Currently, I wouldn't be surprised if there were three separate waterspouts within 5 miles of the shore near Lackawanna. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Chilly breeze out there this morning, meandering flakes, top wind of 20mph 29.4/20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Looks like a bootleg high at midnight of 34.7 will keep this from being a sub-freezing day. Now that I'm in the 20's, some of us might not see 30 for a couple days. Better break out the winter coat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 My old stomping grounds. Tasty. Today: Lake effect snow with some rumbles of thunder possible. Areas of blowing snow. Snow may be heavy at times. Additional accumulation 8 to 16 inches in the most persistent snows. Cold with highs in the lower 20s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent.Tonight: Lake effect snow with some rumbles of thunder possible. Areas of blowing snow. Snow may be heavy at times. Additional accumulation 10 to 19 inches in the most persistent snows. Lows ranging from around 15 on the tug hill to 15 to 20 across the lower elevations. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent.Wednesday: Lake effect snow in the morning...then a chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Some rumbles of thunder are possible. Snow may be heavy at times in the morning. Additional accumulation 5 to 9 inches in the most persistent snows. Cold with highs ranging from the lower 20s on the tug hill to the upper 20s across the lower elevations. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph...becoming south 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent.Wednesday Night: A chance of snow showers in the evening...then snow overnight. Snow may be heavy at times overnight. Late evening lows 20 to 25...then temperatures rising to the mid 20s on the hilltops and to the upper 20s across the lower elevations. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent.Thursday: Lake effect snow. Areas of blowing snow in the afternoon. Snow may be heavy at times. Early afternoon highs ranging from the upper 20s on the hilltops to the lower 30s across the lower elevations...then temperatures falling to the lower 20s on the hilltops and to the mid 20s across the lower elevations. South winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph...becoming southwest. Chance of snow near 100 percent.Thursday Night: Lake effect snow. Lows 10 to 15. Chance of snow 90 percent.Friday: Lake effect snow showers likely. Highs in the lower 20s. Chance of snow 70 percent. Fun times for the folks there. 28.7/20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Not to mention a few of these guys ripping along the lake at 45-50 mph. A couple of these mesos have been popping up through 5,000 feet. Currently, I wouldn't be surprised if there were three separate waterspouts within 5 miles of the shore near Lackawanna. BUF.png Grew up basically where the "West" is in West Seneca on that map. Family still lives there, looking forward to seeing some pictures. Saw an unconfirmed report of 32" in Elma, which is a bit southeast of Metro Buffalo. If that's true, those 4' totals might actually be reached in this event, with round two coming later tomorrow into Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 29.3F/25. Saw a few flakes walking the dog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 I wonder if this will be the kind of day that whatever I drop down to by shortly after sunrise will be my diurnal high with continuing CAA off-setting any warming. If that's the case, I hope it continues to drop a lot. 28.4/20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Grew up basically where the "West" is in West Seneca on that map. Family still lives there, looking forward to seeing some pictures. Saw an unconfirmed report of 32" in Elma, which is a bit southeast of Metro Buffalo. If that's true, those 4' totals might actually be reached in this event, with round two coming later tomorrow into Thursday. BUF buys it, as 32.4" is in their latest PNS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 BUF buys it, as 32.4" is in their latest PNS. Really impressive. That stuff must just blow around like baby powder. 28.1/19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 BUF buys it, as 32.4" is in their latest PNS. Just saw that. Crushed. Lived there for the 38"/24 hr snowfall in '95, this looks to easily surpass that (though the airport is on the wrong side of the band, so unfortunately that record won't be challenged). From Niziol on Facebook: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 It looks like there's a new PWS set up in Tolland (identified as "Old Post RD"). I wonder if Kevin finally got his hooked up? It's reading a couple degrees cooler than the other Tolland stations. 27.7/18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Just saw that. Crushed. Lived there for the 38"/24 hr snowfall in '95, this looks to easily surpass that (though the airport is on the wrong side of the band, so unfortunately that record won't be challenged). From Niziol on Facebook: I've already seen a couple lightning strikes on the NLDN, so they're definitely producing some flashes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Does anyone know what the highest totals have been areas on the Cape have experienced in OES? Obviously a really far cry from LES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Looks like the Lake Ontario band is reaching here. A fresh coating so far and it is snowing nicely at the moment.(light to moderate from the looks of it) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Does anyone know what the highest totals have been areas on the Cape have experienced in OES? Obviously a really far cry from LES. You're probably looking at an order of magnitude. I would need to dig into the numbers a bit more but I would guess that OES you're looking at hundreds of J/kg versus thousands in a good LES event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Looks like the Lake Ontario band is reaching here. A fresh coating so far and it is snowing nicely at the moment.(light to moderate from the looks of it) On weathertap, it shows remnant returns from that band all the way into ME. That other band stretching down the NYS Thruway could possible deliver some flakes into the Berks, maybe as far as Pete. 27.4/18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Looks like the Lake Ontario band is reaching here. A fresh coating so far and it is snowing nicely at the moment.(light to moderate from the looks of it) Okay now I would call it moderate to heavy, nice big flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 You're probably looking at an order of magnitude. I would need to dig into the numbers a bit more but I would guess that OES you're looking at hundreds of J/kg versus thousands in a good LES event. No doubt about that--it's nothing close to an apples-to-apples comparison. My one time in LES was about 10 years ago. I had to stay overnight in Jamestown, NY for a meeting at St. Bonaventure. It was nothing like they're having now of course, but it was still pretty awesome. Also, a real bummer when you left the band and the sun came out. Temp continuing to drop. 27.2/18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 34.2 meh I was thinking below freezing by morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 34.2 meh I was thinking below freezing by morning You probably won't get much warmer than where you are now, so it'll be a chilly day in any case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 32.4 with a couple flurries flying around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 On a brighter note we're getting flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 Actually a slight coating on the wood platform on top of the kids slide, almost looks like graupel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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