Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 What was his reasoning? The whole "give credit where credit is due" is reserved for those who actually give a reason and not play the blind squirrel finding a but deal. you are joking right< yea he just weenied threw out numbers, really dude cmon. I am not sticking up for him but he has a daily weekly free Saturday discussion that lays every thing out. I agree he is a hypemeister but cmon man he is not unintelligent. He also has tremendous partners at weather bell who work together , its not just his ideas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Well maybe but he did call for a torch Oct Will and his reasoning behind Nov was dead nuts. Have to give credit when credit is due. I don't read him anymore...so I can't really comment on his reasoning, I only see all the calls he makes that people post on here these days. I just know that he has had a severe cold bias in the winter over the years and a lot of calls for winter storms and heavy snowfall that have not panned out...and made those calls despite a lot of evidence against that forecast...so I don't view him as that credible anymore. Some might call that "Ballsy" or "sticking your neck out on the line"...I call it foolhardy and inaccurate. Every once in a while, you are going to look really smart when always making an extreme call...because every once in a while, the extreme scenario verifies. That doesn't mean accolades need to be distributed out if it's the broken clock syndrome. I mean, perhaps I have the wrong perception. I see all the tweets and blog blurbs posted on here and that's where my impression comes from. I do know that JB is a pretty smart dude and understands large scale forecasting very well, but that in itself doesn't produce accurate forecasts. I did used to read him a lot back in the day when it was free on accuwx...this is like circa late 1990s and early 2000s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 CT is just getting pummeled right now with heavy rain!! And it's a Cold Cold rain for sure...very November like for sure. Makes me wanna cuddle up with my two Bostons and watch an entire season of Breaking Bad, maybe smoke some dope in the process...I dunno, I dunno if I'll have enough time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 you are joking right< yea he just weenied threw out numbers, really dude cmon. I am not sticking up for him but he has a daily weekly free Saturday discussion that lays every thing out. I agree he is a hypemeister but cmon man he is not unintelligent. He also has tremendous partners at weather bell who work together , its not just his ideas. If he ever called for warm winter, I'd buy in more. That would make him great. Going cold and snow every year is what he does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 JB lives to hit the big fly, even with runners on and 2 outs...where he should think about slapping the ball the other way....he swings for the fences. Call it ballsy if you want, I call him retarded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 you are joking right< yea he just weenied threw out numbers, really dude cmon. I am not sticking up for him but he has a daily weekly free Saturday discussion that lays every thing out. I agree he is a hypemeister but cmon man he is not unintelligent. He also has tremendous partners at weather bell who work together , its not just his ideas. All I asked, was the reasoning. He has a horrible bias of snow and cold and I hardly find him credible anymore. I shouldn't have to say more. His track record speaks for itself. I know he knows his stuff which makes it more sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 JB lives to hit the big fly, even with runners on and 2 outs...where he should think about slapping the ball the other way....he swings for the fences. Call it ballsy if you want, I call him retarded. It's really simple - he swings for the $. He starts with the most profitable outcome - snow and cold - and finds the atmospheric clues that could yield said outcome. Then, when he transcribes it, he busts out the flamboyance and weenies it up. /JB Dissection Forever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 It's really simple - he swings for the $. He starts with the most profitable outcome - snow and cold - and finds the atmospheric clues that could yield said outcome. Then, when he transcribes it, he busts out the flamboyance and weenies it up. /JB Dissection Forever Touche. Certainly nobody ever accused of JB not knowing how to make money. Something a bit more back on topic....Friday looks exceptionally cold. The whole week does, but Friday could set a lot of record low maximums I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 What JB knows meteorlogically he loses bein stubborn. Hes smart but he holds onto an idea wayyyyy after model consensus is proving him wrong. That said i do enjoy his write ups and atmospheric avengers daily on weatherbell, i just weed through the BS to get to more meaningful, sensible weather material Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 All I asked, was the reasoning. He has a horrible bias of snow and cold and I hardly find him credible anymore. I shouldn't have to say more. His track record speaks for itself. I know he knows his stuff which makes it more sad. http://www.weatherbell.com/saturday-summary-november-1-2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 It's really simple - he swings for the $. He starts with the most profitable outcome - snow and cold - and finds the atmospheric clues that could yield said outcome. Then, when he transcribes it, he busts out the flamboyance and weenies it up. /JB Dissection Forever Yes, let us get back to the issues. Like the rain! Which is here. AMOUT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Because getting a degree means grilled cheese, tomato soup, and mom's basement for life... mmmk I think some know who that was directed at.................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Touche. Certainly nobody ever accused of JB not knowing how to make money. Something a bit more back on topic....Friday looks exceptionally cold. The whole week does, but Friday could set a lot of record low maximums I think. yea man impressive cold stretch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Euro ensembles have some tepid support for a system along the frontal boundary just offshore next Wednesday/Wednesday night. 9-10 days out though...Thanksgiving itself is looking seasonably cold on the ensembles. It's been trending slightly colder as we get closer...mostly due to higher heights up near AK...so I think that trend has some legs. So no t-shirts and hackeysack for Black Friday and the weekend I don't think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 What's the anticipated timing for the cooler air to work it's way in across the area this evening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Ugh 15 min of rambling. By 11/1 we already started seeing the signs for colder weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Euro ensembles have some tepid support for a system along the frontal boundary just offshore next Wednesday/Wednesday night. 9-10 days out though...Thanksgiving itself is looking seasonably cold on the ensembles. It's been trending slightly colder as we get closer...mostly due to higher heights up near AK...so I think that trend has some legs. So no t-shirts and hackeysack for Black Friday and the weekend I don't think. GEFS also started going higher north of AK too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 36/35 .77" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 lol, wut??? I had been thinking winter would really get going a couple of weeks early in my area...Using Dec 15 as a ballpark date on when things often get going, I moved it back to Dec 1. But what I see around then looks pretty ordinary. In a few days I might change my mind again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Muted warmth as we close in. It's been that way since the summer it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Still 31.9F up here in Central NH. Has not hit freezing yet since the storm started. Very icy appeal outside. Low sun angle really makes for a dark day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 36/35 .77" so far. 38.3/37 0.86" on the local mesosite in Hubb-ville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 We'll see what the weeklies (as lousy as they've been) have to say. Hopefully I'll be home by 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Good to see support from most models for an event next week, now we wait till Sunday to see if it's still there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Our thoughts of a white T-giving seem to be coming back in the model world Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 So the 3-4 day siege of a torched holiday week is morphing into 1 day in the 50's Monday and then a wet rainy Tuesday and then a chance of snow on travel day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 That line is screaming across ct at 60 plus mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 50F torchtastic degrees in the pouring rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Cold rain, 34°F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 50F torchtastic degrees in the pouring rain. your normal high is 53??? congrats on almost making it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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