moneypitmike Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 That's not true...much of the crippling 2008 ice storm occurred with temps around 31F IMBY and pretty heavy rain falling too. It's not easy to do, but if you have a nice source of lower dewpoints feeding into the region to offset latent heat, then it's attainable. Of course, this setup did not have that with a retreating high well off the coast, so light icing was all that was going to happen. Thanks for correcting me. I was under the impression you really needed to be in the 30, especially since air pressure itself has influence on the actual temp that freezing and boiling can take place. Of course, having very cold antecedent conditions helps a lot, too. Something else this storm lacked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 I learned in life a long time ago, if you don't give it all you've got and go all in,, life will swallow you up. You'll end up degreed, working in a different field, eating grilled cheese sandwiches and tomato soup in moms basement every night. Of course if that's what one desires, then more power to them. Because getting a degree means grilled cheese, tomato soup, and mom's basement for life... mmmk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 I'm targeting December 19th for stormy times. Anything before that would be uncivilized. Dec 1 has been in my book for a little while... but now that looks meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Another hijacking. If one wants hype, outrageous prognostications some could read ACCUWX forums. What set this forum aside from that was the knowledge and accuracy of many here. This conduct must be curtailed. Oh well . Appears a warm-up back to N or slightly BN with sw abound. Bring on December for widespread threats and believable hype. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 It has a marginal snow event...but it is essentially another needle-threader. It's too far out to make any useful analysis over it other than the longwave pattern as depicted by ensemble guidance suggests a needle-threader if we were to try and get a snow event. It would be nice to get one right before Thanksgiving, but I'm not holding my breath over this one...not yet anyway. great Euro run, that is the look I wanted to see heading into the end of the month. lets hope the Ens follow up with that 5H look. couple of very warm days could be tropical cobalt sky kind of days or just plain manky . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Because getting a degree means grilled cheese, tomato soup, and mom's basement for life... mmmk whoosh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Dec 1 has been in my book for a little while... but now that looks meh Well, you're just crazy and stabbing in the dark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Another hijacking. If one wants hype, outrageous prognostications some could read ACCUWX forums. What set this forum aside from that was the knowledge and accuracy of many here. This conduct must be curtailed. Oh well . Appears a warm-up back to N or slightly BN with sw abound. Bring on December for widespread threats and believable hype. I missed the hype posts???? anyways KBUF AFD is worried about flooding next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Dec 1 has been in my book for a little while... but now that looks mehlol, wut??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 He long ago pushed all of his chips to the center of the table for an epic winter. I bet he is getting somewhat nervous. he does that most years...it's always funny when it's a dud winter and JB's still barking that it's coming and everyone's outside enjoying record warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 This is the most ridiculous post ever. He went fishing and you all bit as usual.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Half way through October, there was no sign of this extreme cold pattern.. and the snow that has come with it for many around the country. In fact, the forecast for the first half of November was for mild conditions. That obviously did not happen, and we have broken records all over the place in this country, and we are only half way through with the month. Point being, I don't think anybody can say what December 1st could bring, when we can't even know what Turkey Day will bring??? For people to say that December 1st looks Meh...that is the same as saying the first half of November looked Meh on October 17th. And on October 17th, the First half of November did look Meh/Warm. And everybody thinking that was so, was so misled. We have a very Nice looking pattern shaping up according to our Bright and Talented METS here(Will and Scott and the other knowledgeable Peeps that know alot more than I). There optimism gives me comfort, in that good patterns, like all things, take time to Mature, and develop. Things are progressing nicely, enjoy the month of November for what it is...a transition month to our Winter Time Pattern!! Good things come to those who WAIT Gentleman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Awesome velocity loop DIX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Something to look forward to. This Afternoon.......Rain. Patchy fog. Highs in the lower 40s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent. Tonight......Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Rain with a chance of snow in the evening. Snow accumulation around an inch. Lows in the mid 20s. North winds 10 to 15 mph...becoming west after midnight. Gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. 32.3/32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 It's all out freak show around here. American horror story at its finest. Snow can and will cure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 he does that most years...it's always funny when it's a dud winter and JB's still barking that it's coming and everyone's outside enjoying record warmthJB nailed Nov when everybody was warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Something to look forward to. This Afternoon.......Rain. Patchy fog. Highs in the lower 40s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent. Tonight......Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Rain with a chance of snow in the evening. Snow accumulation around an inch. Lows in the mid 20s. North winds 10 to 15 mph...becoming west after midnight. Gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. 32.3/32 Are you icey at all right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 It's all out freak show around here. American horror story at its finest. Snow can and will cure. That's like saying the cats will behave better if you give them some catnip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 JB nailed Nov when everybody was warm We know...he will nail every cold month...but will also miss every warm month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Half way through October, there was no sign of this extreme cold pattern.. and the snow that has come with it for many around the country. In fact, the forecast for the first half of November was for mild conditions. That obviously did not happen, and we have broken records all over the place in this country, and we are only half way through with the month. Point being, I don't think anybody can say what December 1st could bring, when we can't even know what Turkey Day will bring??? For people to say that December 1st looks Meh...that is the same as saying the first half of November looked Meh on October 17th. And on October 17th, the First half of November did look Meh/Warm. And everybody thinking that was so, was so misled. We have a very Nice looking pattern shaping up according to our Bright and Talented METS here(Will and Scott and the other knowledgeable Peeps that know alot more than I). There optimism gives me comfort, in that good patterns, like all things, take time to Mature, and develop. Things are progressing nicely, enjoy the month of November for what it is...a transition month to our Winter Time Pattern!! Good things come to those who WAIT Gentleman. Waiting is for kids standing in the lunch line. We here have our shovels and blowers on standby, and we wait no more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 That's like saying the cats will behave better if you give them some catnip. Lol, but I give cats xanax. They behave afterwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Waiting is for kids standing in the lunch line. We here have our shovels and blowers on standby, and we wait no more. LOL!!! You will wait....and LIKE IT!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 TJFK , something you don"t see every day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Are you icey at all right now? Nope. There's still the smallest evidence on tree branches (quite noticeable in the pines), but it's pouring rain now. I suspect there could be some icy conditions later if things cool quicker than evaporation. On weathertap radar, there's no eastward movement of the rn/sn line. Alas. Edit: there are still some spots of ice in areas of the lawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 We know...he will nail every cold month...but will also miss every warm month. Well maybe but he did call for a torch Oct Will and his reasoning behind Nov was dead nuts. Have to give credit when credit is due. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 We know...he will nail every cold month...but will also miss every warm month. exactly. He has missed some major warmups in the winter or non winters of 01-02, 05-06 and 11-12, his forecast for those years was an F- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Bursts of heavy rain in manchester CT. Raw out and I love it. This is autumn in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Well maybe but he did call for a torch Oct Will and his reasoning behind Nov was dead nuts. Have to give credit when credit is due. I agree with this!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 What was his reasoning? The whole "give credit where credit is due" is reserved for those who actually give a reason and not play the blind squirrel finding a but deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Bursts of heavy rain in manchester CT. Raw out and I love it. This is autumn in SNE. CT is just getting pummeled right now with heavy rain!! And it's a Cold Cold rain for sure...very November like for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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