40/70 Benchmark Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 I'm not as experienced with this stuff as you guys on this forum. (As upstate New York sub-forum is dead, it's just me pretty much) But Mr. Niziol posted this on his facebook. Maybe you guys can help me out a little bit. Man, I'd love to get out there and chase the Lake Effect. Awesome. Been looking through your vids for like a half hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Man, I'd love to get out there and chase the Lake Effect. Awesome. Been looking through your vids for like a half hour If you ever decide to come, shoot me a message. My wife usually chases with me but she doesn't even like snow. Always good to have a passionate partner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 1000 plus cape in that environment with low top squalls is ample for moderate Storms,that's wild for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Haven't heard a word about winds.Sooundings have 75 knots at 925 on the cape with temps in the 60s,inversion or not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 23/12 hope I make the teens #nosnowcover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Haven't heard a word about winds.Sooundings have 75 knots at 925 on the cape with temps in the 60s,inversion or not? GFS is pretty bullish on winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 It really has two decent peaks. One with the LLJ, inversion but not a strong one, and another with the deep CAA later Tuesday (temps below freezing and gusting to 30-35 knots). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 It really has two decent peaks. One with the LLJ, inversion but not a strong one, and another with the deep CAA later Tuesday (temps below freezing and gusting to 30-35 knots).I am surprised no one especially on the cape has mentioned it. New Euro is bullish too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 It really has two decent peaks. One with the LLJ, inversion but not a strong one, and another with the deep CAA later Tuesday (temps below freezing and gusting to 30-35 knots).yea that a real Arctic front, not a poser like this past one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 I am surprised no one especially on the cape has mentioned it. New Euro is bullish too Too bad our Euro sounding data is crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 How long will the day 6 Euro storm stay on the charts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Well there's Tippys NJ bomb run 1011 to 972 in 24 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Man, what an ugly set of models to wake up to. Rain, a few well below normal days (though not extreme temp-wise in the absolute sense), and then a couple torch rainers weekend/next week. Jerry's booking his return flight to Denver. 22.6/18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Man, what an ugly set of models to wake up to. Rain, a few well below normal days (though not extreme temp-wise in the absolute sense), and then a couple torch rainers weekend/next week. Jerry's booking his return flight to Denver. 22.6/18 Every single point you posted there is incorrect. LOL You're under a WWA for quite a bit of icing. Couple days next week stay in the 20's Euro has a snow event Friday and rigid weekend 1 mild day ahead of fropa Tgiving week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 The Box p/c out here continues to advertise a pretty meh cool down--not much different than this past weekend. Highs-- Monday -- 34 Tues-- 32 Wed -- 30 Thurs--37 Fri-- 35 Sat-- 35 Not exactly making me quake in my boots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Every single point you posted there is incorrect. LOL You're under a WWA for quite a bit of icing. Couple days next week stay in the 20's Euro has a snow event Friday and rigid weekend 1 mild day ahead of fropa Tgiving week Fail. wwa: * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF UP TO 1 INCH...ALONG WITH A LIGHT COATING OF ICE. * TIMING...WINTRY MIX BEGINS BEFORE SUNRISE MONDAY...AND CHANGES TO RAIN DURING THE MORNING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Fail. wwa: * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF UP TO 1 INCH...ALONG WITH A LIGHT COATING OF ICE. * TIMING...WINTRY MIX BEGINS BEFORE SUNRISE MONDAY...AND CHANGES TO RAIN DURING THE MORNING Quite a bit..May not even hit 33 considering BOX always too warm on temps TonightSnow and sleet, mainly after 3am. Patchy fog after midnight. Low around 27. South wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible. MondaySnow, freezing rain, and sleet before 10am, then rain and sleet between 10am and 11am, then rain after 11am. Patchy fog. High near 34. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than one inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Quite a bit..May not even hit 33 considering BOX always too warm on temps TonightSnow and sleet, mainly after 3am. Patchy fog after midnight. Low around 27. South wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible. MondaySnow, freezing rain, and sleet before 10am, then rain and sleet between 10am and 11am, then rain after 11am. Patchy fog. High near 34. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than one inch possible. I'm glad we're in agreement based on the forecast you posted. There really isn't any icing of note. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 ZFP agrees--won't be a big deal. Tonight Mostly cloudy. Sleet...freezing rain and snow after midnight. Patchy fog after midnight. Little or no snow and sleet accumulation. Not as cool with lows in the upper 20s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Monday Sleet...freezing rain...rain and snow in the morning... Then rain and freezing rain in the afternoon. Patchy fog. Snow and sleet accumulation up to 1 inch. Ice accumulation around a trace. Cold with highs in the mid 30s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent On the upside, I might be able to add my first measurable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 It's November. What do you expect? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 It's November. What do you expect? Why throw 'expectations' around when we have 'weenie dreams' that are so much more enjoyable? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 The Box p/c out here continues to advertise a pretty meh cool down--not much different than this past weekend. Highs-- Monday -- 34 Tues-- 32 Wed -- 30 Thurs--37 Fri-- 35 Sat-- 35 Not exactly making me quake in my boots. amaretto in u coffee? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 16F. Damn..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Might be wrong but pretty sure that history shows in a 4 wave pattern that ridge over the west coast should be deeper and the Pac jet slower.Roughly like an 8 slice pie cut at 45 degree angles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 16F. Damn.....whats the record got to 21 here, on the way up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 whats the record got to 21 here, on the way up Looks like 12F looking at wunderground. Says 1967. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 SWCT WWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Cape cod canal cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Was wondering when someone would mention wind Congrats CC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Don't know what the record for Westerly is for today, but woke up to 20 degrees in downtown Westerly this AM at 6am. Brrr! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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