Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 pavlov be churning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 23 here as well Tan record is 21, go for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 lol...23/11 here too. 18° here this morning with patchy snow perhaps helping. 20.9 my hacienda, shiver me timbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Tan record is 21, go for it 22 now. With any luck, we should do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted November 16, 2014 Author Share Posted November 16, 2014 20.9 my hacienda, shiver me timbers Nice! BOX's call for lows around is going to bust high (I think), considering we're at those levels now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Nice! BOX's call for lows around is going to bust high (I think), considering we're at those levels now. Models and NWS offices all across the country have busted way high on lows this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 De-icing on Denver meant a 5 minute connection. Harrowing! Happy to be back in BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 De-icing on Denver meant a 5 minute connection. Harrowing! Happy to be back in BOS. bos 35 while the rest of us in the countryside low 20s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 The stuff out of Wisconsin is pretty nuts...granted its lake effect and isolated but some areas got crushed. 50.1" storm total in Gile, Wisconsin per NWS Duluth...from social media. Somewhere in Michigan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 bos 35 while the rest of us in the countryside low 20s It will feel like 75 to me..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Scooter's boss at WSI starting to sound alarms..white/icy T-giving? Michael Ventrice @MJVentrice 6m 6 minutes ago Check out possible Thanksgiving eve storm: Strong high pressure to the north.. getting worried this will be impactful Cleveland? Cold day on Monday. Congrats MPM on ice As part of the Common Core, they now are teaching new physics where water freezes at 33*. 20.9 my hacienda, shiver me timbers Nice! De-icing on Denver meant a 5 minute connection. Harrowing! Happy to be back in BOS. Welcome back, Jerry--must feel like the tropics. 26.3/18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Cleveland? As part of the Common Core, they now are teaching new physics where water freezes at 33*. Just let it go, like a kid who can not catch a fly ball, you either put him on the infield or bench him, there is only so much you can teach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 That Euro control run Nov 29th fantasy storm is a thing of beauty. 988 off of Hatteras to 958 east of Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Wow that warm over there...I've got 33F on my thermometer for a high but not sure what MVL had. Doesn't look like MPV went above freezing.Never went above 27F at camp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 That Euro control run Nov 29th fantasy storm is a thing of beauty. 988 off of Hatteras to 958 east of Cape Cod. where do you get that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 where do you get that? Weatherbell It's weird, for such a low pressure and a good track it doesn't throw back a lot/if any precip to DC,NYC,PHL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Cleveland? As part of the Common Core, they now are teaching new physics where water freezes at 33*. Nice! Welcome back, Jerry--must feel like the tropics. 26.3/18 Thanks Mike. Always nice to be in your own bed. Not a warm November around here. But Denver threw colder wx than I'll see in Boston this year for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 The euro ensembles actually aren't too bad looking in the 11-15 day. Overall trend the last few days has been a bit better. Not great, but could be worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 20 degrees. Cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 The euro ensembles actually aren't too bad looking in the 11-15 day. Overall trend the last few days has been a bit better. Not great, but could be worse. Yeah each day it gets incrementally better to me. Not frigid but certainly not warm in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Yeah each day it gets incrementally better to me. Not frigid but certainly not warm in general. More of the GOAK trough and still some ridging in the arctic. That helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Yeah each day it gets incrementally better to me. Not frigid but certainly not warm in general. sounds like my oh forget it some day when I pass she"ll hack into here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 More of the GOAK trough and still some ridging in the arctic. That helps. like I said before when you were looking for Tom Bradys bum, persistent Aleutian low, hanging around the Pavlov dog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Man western NY and the lake belts are going to get a great start to winter this week...places like Watertown and Buffalo. Monday they'll get a synoptic snow to lay down some base, then just get crushed with west and southwest flow lake effect all week with this early cold shot. Should help get the bands into the more populated areas too, I would think. Yeah, I am quite excited for this one. Looks like it might be shaping up to be an historic event. Here is a list of all the warnings/hazard discussions so far for this event. ..LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM ESTTHIS EVENING......LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGHWEDNESDAY MORNING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECTSNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGHWEDNESDAY MORNING.* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ERIE...CHAUTAUQUA...AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. GREATEST AMOUNTS FOR THE ADVISORY ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE.* TIMING...ADVISORY THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. WATCH FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.* ACCUMULATIONS...ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. SNOW POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING 1 TO 2 FEET OR MORE IN PERSISTENT BANDS MONDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES THIS EVENING.* IMPACTS...THROUGH EARLY EVENING...OCCASIONAL MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES. THIS INCLUDES THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY FROM HAMBURG TO DUNKIRK AND THE 219 FROM ORCHARD PARK TO SPRINGVILLE. FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK VERY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY MAKE FOR VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL AT TIMES. THE AREA FROM NORTHEAST OHIO INTO NW PENNSYLVANIA ANDSW NEW YORK…INCLUDING BUFFALO AND ERIE AND THE TUG HILL PLATEAU OF NEW YORK EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO ALL COULD BE SEEING VERY HEAVY SNOWFALL AND NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY ON MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF WEDNESDAY`S CLIPPER SYSTEM...ANOTHERSIGNIFICANT SHOT OF COLDER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION FOR THE BALANCE OF THE WORK WEEK. COUPLED WITH WHAT SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT MOISTURE...THIS WILL IN ALL LIKELIHOOD RESULT IN A SECOND ROUND OF SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS EAST-NORTHEAST AND/OR EAST OF THE LAKES WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH LAKE ONTARIO PERHAPS HAVING THE MORE FAVORABLE SETUP DURING THIS TIME FRAME. I also chase most LES events around the area and keep a youtube account for the videos if anyone likes watching videos of some lake effect snow. (My passion) Enjoy! If you don't want to go through all the videos here are my favorite top 2. https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3LutXF6kA73itxjVZ9h7-w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 like I said before when you were looking for Tom Bradys bum, persistent Aleutian low, hanging around the Pavlov dog I would like to see that low closer to the Aleutians, but it's not terrible. Of course it could change as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Hey Buffalo soldier check out the soundings for ur hood, epic, severe T storm like stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 one thing for sure, Wed-Thur thanksgiving week looks stormy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Hey Buffalo soldier check out the soundings for ur hood, epic, severe T storm like stuff I'm not as experienced with this stuff as you guys on this forum. (As upstate New York sub-forum is dead, it's just me pretty much) But Mr. Niziol posted this on his facebook. Maybe you guys can help me out a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 I'm not as experienced with this stuff as you guys on this forum. (As upstate New York sub-forum is dead, it's just me pretty much) But Mr. Niziol posted this on his facebook. Maybe you guys can help me out a little bit. Niziol covers it pretty well there. He's got the modified soundings based on lake temps (because the land temps will ultimately be cooler and less unstable) as this is where the instability and LES is originating from. Generally speaking LES is a pretty shallow event, but getting clouds tops to 20 kft is pretty impressive. That's a recipe for plenty of vertical motion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 Niziol covers it pretty well there. He's got the modified soundings based on lake temps (because the land temps will ultimately be cooler and less unstable) as this is where the instability and LES is originating from. Generally speaking LES is a pretty shallow event, but getting clouds tops to 20 kft is pretty impressive. That's a recipe for plenty of vertical motion. Thank you! I had 4-5 events last year with thunder-snow. Hopefully this one has a longer duration of thundersnow instead of just 1 or 2 claps so I can get a nice video of it. Thundersnow is tough to capture! I think I got it on video twice last season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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