CapturedNature Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Let's roll.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 and it's only November I can't wait to see how many pages we have next month!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Winter cancelled until 1/1/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Damage In Tolland, on 14 Nov 2014 - 4:11 PM, said: I'm not all convinced that period ends up with a hell bent torch with 60's. We've already seen it tone down a bit and I'd think that may happen even more. Maybe it's AN due to nighttime mins and daytime clouds or something Meh, climo norms for BDL 47/31 ending up 46/29 850 +1 to 0, seems about what Ens showing, maybe a tad warmer, not a torch look, don't fret Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Damage In Tolland, on 14 Nov 2014 - 4:11 PM, said: Meh, climo norms for BDL 47/31 ending up 46/29 850 +1 to 0, seems about what Ens showing, maybe a tad warmer, not a torch look, don't fret Yeah might be one if these deals where we are locked in cool sector then warm sector for 6 hours then bang back to chill. No worries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Pretty chilly out but the air tastes good when it hits my lips. Big KU winter incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Nah, one more day of thongs for Kevin. We shall turn milder for a few. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Cold night incoming 29,4/22 attm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 18z GFS starts I-90 and northward as snow for Monday...looks like could be quick advisory amounts in northern ORH hills and northern Berkshires before a change over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Nah, one more day of thongs for Kevin. We shall turn milder for a few. Rather than catering to Kevin's spin...I think we should just call it what it is. A relaxation to above average temps for a period of 2-3 days and then probably cool back to normal (perhaps slightly below) for T-day weekend. Details below are where the spin usually starts and you can see why: - Maybe we spike to 60 for a day surrounded by 48-54 type temps...hard to say since a storm system is involved and you can't predict the intricacies of it - Sometimes it could be cold November rain on the front side of the storm before warm sectoring - Or it could be SW winds for a day out ahead and playing hackey-sack. - Or it could be overcast with temps of 48 but low temps are 43 so we are +6 for the day. We just don't know yet. But I'll bet on above average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 18z GFS starts I-90 and northward as snow for Monday...looks like could be quick advisory amounts in northern ORH hills and northern Berkshires before a change over. I agree with Ryan, Berks could be looking at an icing situation, nice synoptic snows for you on GFS and trans-longitudinal GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Cold night incoming 29,4/22 attm Dew the Dew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Rather than catering to Kevin's spin...I think we should just call it what it is. A relaxation to above average temps for a period of 2-3 days and then probably cool back to normal (perhaps slightly below) for T-day weekend. Details below are where the spin usually starts and you can see why: - Maybe we spike to 60 for a day surrounded by 48-54 type temps...hard to say since a storm system is involved and you can't predict the intricacies of it - Sometimes it could be cold November rain on the front side of the storm before warm sectoring - Or it could be SW winds for a day out ahead and playing hackey-sack. - Or it could be overcast with temps of 48 but low temps are 43 so we are +6 for the day. We just don't know yet. But I'll bet on above average. Pretty much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 I agree with Ryan, Berks could be looking at an icing situation, nice synoptic snows for you on GFS and trans-longitudinal GFS What did they change on that new GFS? Looks like a better grid? That model is a lot more terrain happy than the current GFS, it prints the localized bullseyes over the peaks where the old model was much more broad based. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 This is the November to remember for Ski buffs for laying down the base, its all about the base. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 What did they change on that new GFS? Looks like a better grid? That model is a lot more terrain happy than the current GFS, it prints the localized bullseyes over the peaks where the old model was much more broad based. Exactly. Much finer resolution... along with other changes with model physics etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 What did they change on that new GFS? Looks like a better grid? That model is a lot more terrain happy than the current GFS, it prints the localized bullseyes over the peaks where the old model was much more broad based. 27 km to 13 km grids plus a whole lot more, seems to me to run a tad warm at the surface so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 I can die, the Sultans narcotic induced rants in March 10 and we finally see good. Thanks Eleanor, knew it would happen some day. https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201411141518-KBOX-NOUS41-PNSBOX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Had some good snow squalls today roll through from steep low level lapse rates and orographics... got a few photos of some of them, but here is one such cell. You'd go from sunshine to 1/4sm +SN and back to sunshine all in like 15 minutes, lol. I was amazed at how low-topped the squalls were, but yet were able to pack such a brief heavy snowfall. The snow growth region must've been perfect up at 4,000-6,000ft as these squalls were bringing huge dendrites. I wonder if MWN would actually have been near the top of these squalls, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 I can die, the Sultans narcotic induced rants in March 10 and we finally see good. Thanks Eleanor, knew it would happen some day. https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201411141518-KBOX-NOUS41-PNSBOX Think of all the chicken coops that will be saved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Gotta start thinking icestorm interior on Monday. Lots if ll cold oozing and trapped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Nice pics PF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Gotta start thinking icestorm interior on Monday. Lots if ll cold oozing and trapped Gonna need a high to keep the cold in down by you. That's not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 This is a funny AFD. NWS FFC (Atlanta) SO SPEAKING OF THE COLD AIR...IT WILL DEFINITELY BE ON THE COOL SIDE OF NORMAL SUNDAY AND MONDAY...BUT WHAT IS IN STORE BEHIND THE EARLY WEEK FRONT IS JUST PLAIN RIDICULOUS. MONDAY NIGHT WE HAVE LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S NORTH TO MID 30S SOUTH...AND FOR TUESDAY HIGHS...BRACE YOURSELVES...LOWER TO MID 30S AT BEST NORTH AND UPPER 40S SOUTH. A HIGH OF 39 IN ATLANTA IN NOVEMBER IS JUST CRAZINESS. BUT...CURRENT BLEND IS ACTUALLY A BIT WARMER /YES WARMER/ THAN CONSENSUS SO WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON TEMPS. JUST KIND OF MISERABLE. EVEN RIDICULOUSLY COLDER TUESDAY NIGHT WITH SOME LOWS DIPPING INTO THE TEENS. SHOULD SEE A BIT OF A MODERATION BY WEDNESDAY WITH THE DEEP TROUGH BEGINNING TO LIFT SOMEWHAT...BUT STILL WAY WAY WAY BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 40S EVERYWHERE. THE NEXT SHOT OF PRECIP MOVES IN AT THE END OF THE EXTENDED AND WITH CURRENT TEMPS WILL HAVE TO AGAIN BE WATCHING P-TYPE. SO IN A NUTSHELL...IF YOU LIKE COLD WEATHER...THIS EXTENDED IS FOR YOU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 That was entertaining...Georgia isn't used to this stuff in the Dead Of Winter, let alone November. I wonder if they will even see these type of temps again this winter? NBC Nightly news just had a story on about the Cold down in Georgia, and how people down that way are going bats buying firewood, cuz they think the winter there is going to be Frigid. Like I said, will it get this cold again there this winter? I wonder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Just went out and saw weenie flakes. LES streamer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 thats how AFD should be written. in laymens terms and straight to the point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Gotta start thinking icestorm interior on Monday. Lots if ll cold oozing and trapped I'm not sure I've ever seen a Northeast US ice storm in November. Not saying it can't happen of course, but its pretty rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 I'm not sure I've ever seen a Northeast US ice storm in November. Not saying it can't happen of course, but its pretty rare. Nov 18 2002. Decent ice in central MA. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/climate/snowrpts/NO180223 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Nov 18 2002. Decent ice in central MA. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/climate/snowrpts/NO180223 Big one in the early 1970s. 1973 I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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