Gilbertfly Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 4km NAM showing concurs with the current forecast. Even a southwest suburban bullseye. Bring it! More than a dusting would be fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 With all the wind, our inch of snow has been reduced to about a half inch of crust. Tomorrow will be nice to see the powder falling...Im wondering what ratios would be? I have been thinking around 2" as well...we shall see what the 00z runs hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 18, 2014 Share Posted November 18, 2014 With all the wind, our inch of snow has been reduced to about a half inch of crust. Tomorrow will be nice to see the powder falling...Im wondering what ratios would be? I have been thinking around 2" as well...we shall see what the 00z runs hold. Tomorrow definitely has potential to be an overachiever, from what I can see... Models have been hinting at another I-94 convergence band actually setting up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Bring it! More than a dusting would be fun! Getting some flurry action outside right now. Not sure what it is associated with though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 If we manage to pull off some freezing rain here early Saturday, it would be the first November occurrence since 11/24/2010 (temps were actually a little above freezing then per obs). I'd imagine it's not particularly common here (especially anything significant) but not sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 SWS on the snow expected to impact rush hour tomorrow morning. SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL909 PM CST TUE NOV 18 2014ILZ003>006-008-010>014-020-022-023-INZ001-002-010-011-190900-WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE IL-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-DUPAGE-COOK-KENDALL-WILL-KANKAKEE-LAKE IN-PORTER-NEWTON-JASPER-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCKFORD...BELVIDERE...WOODSTOCK...WAUKEGAN...OREGON...DIXON...DEKALB...AURORA...WHEATON...CHICAGO...OSWEGO...JOLIET...KANKAKEE...GARY...VALPARAISO...MOROCCO...RENSSELAER909 PM CST TUE NOV 18 2014...PERIOD OF SNOW TO IMPACT WEDNESDAY MORNING COMMUTE...LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSSNORTHERN ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA...LIKELY IMPACTING THEMORNING COMMUTE. OCCASIONAL BRIEF BURSTS OF MODERATE SNOW AREPOSSIBLE WITH VISIBILITY FALLING TO UNDER ONE MILE AT TIMES WITHINTHE HEAVIER SNOW. TIMING OF THE SNOW WILL BE IN THE 5 TO 9 AM CSTTIME FRAME...WITH AREAS NORTH AND EAST OF A HARVARD TO ROMEOVILLETO GIFFORD INDIANA LINE LIKELY OBSERVING THE OCCASIONALLY MOREINTENSE SNOWFALL...WHILE THE SNOW POTENTIAL AND INTENSITY TAPERSFURTHER SOUTH. ALTHOUGH ONLY AN INCH TO AN INCH AND A HALF OF SNOWIS POSSIBLE...THE RATHER COLD TEMPERATURES AND BRIEFLY HIGHERSNOWFALL RATES WILL ALLOW FOR ANY SNOW TO ACCUMULATE ON AREAROADWAYS. ALL MOTORISTS SHOULD USE CAUTION AS SLICK CONDITIONS ANDREDUCED VISIBILITY COULD MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Lake effect stratus is gradually expanding eastward from Lake Michigan. DTW's at 13*F, so it may be cutting it close with that record low of 9*F tonight unless the expansion of the stratus slows (or it erodes)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 final call of .7 IMBY tomorrow bust, system riding a bit north of guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 bust, system riding a bit north of guidance Euro nailed this one it seems. Never had much of anything south of the WI/IL line run after run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Some -SN now, but the atmosphere was a bit dry to begin with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Euro nailed this one it seems. Never had much of anything south of the WI/IL line run after run. it's still the king Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Should pick up about 2" here today from the clipper system. Shame to see it all go this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 bust, system riding a bit north of guidance Yep - point had 1 to 1.5", ended up with flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Probably 0.1"-0.2" here in Racine, which was just enough to whiten up the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Got about an inch and a half today. Persistent baby flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Got about an inch and a half today. Persistent baby flakes. Its confusing if we should discuss things like this in the November thread or here . Looks like very uniform amounts. Havent seen too many reports so far, but what we have 1.4" - DTW 1.4" - my backyard 1.4" - FNT 1.5" - you 1.5" - Roseville 1.3" - Howell Squalls now firing up so we may get to 2" of fresh powder on the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 20, 2014 Author Share Posted November 20, 2014 Its confusing if we should discuss things like this in the November thread or here . Looks like very uniform amounts. Havent seen too many reports so far, but what we have 1.4" - DTW 1.4" - my backyard 1.4" - FNT 1.5" - you 1.5" - Roseville 1.3" - Howell Squalls now firing up so we may get to 2" of fresh powder on the day It was a minor system that dropped accumulating snow, so discuss it here. This thread is for any minor system that would normally get a thread, but really doesn't need one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 Its an absolute winter wonderland outside The snow is glistening as if it were a cold January night and the lake effect may very well be active for the next 24 hours on this side of the state even! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 Its an absolute winter wonderland outside The snow is glistening as if it were a cold January night and the lake effect may very well be active for the next 24 hours on this side of the state even! When the last time Detroit had a November with above average snowfall? Obviously we've doubled our average this November, which is a huge turn around from the below average snowfalls recent Novembers have featured... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 When the last time Detroit had a November with above average snowfall? Obviously we've doubled our average this November, which is a huge turn around from the below average snowfalls recent Novembers have featured... http://www.crh.noaa.gov/dtx/cms.php?n=decadetable 08-09, 05-06, 02-03, 2.2/4.3/1.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 http://www.crh.noaa.gov/dtx/cms.php?n=decadetable 08-09, 05-06, 02-03, 2.2/4.3/1.6 One little side note....several decades ago, the November average was closer to 3", but has been cut in half in recent decades, even though average seasonal snowfall has gone up several inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 One little side note....several decades ago, the November average was closer to 3", but has been cut in half in recent decades, even though average seasonal snowfall has gone up several inches. Detroit had some big dogs in the 50s: 1950: 9.2" 1951: 10.1" 1959: 9.6" And several between 4 and 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 Detroit had some big dogs in the 50s: 1950: 9.2" 1951: 10.1" 1959: 9.6" And several between 4 and 6 Yup...isnt that crazy? Whats funny is that the 1950s winters were very mild (they are the snowiest Novembers though). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 This is what the NAM shows over the next 24 hours. Based on the radar, it may get this one right... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 This is what the NAM shows over the next 24 hours. Based on the radar, it may get this one right... This is high ratio stuff too....and models usually underdo LES....I dont want to jinx it but its definitely accumulating VERY effeciently here, and Im south of the band attm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 There looks to be some heavy stuff rolling into the corridor between I-69 and I-94 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 The GFS also picks up on the convergence band nicely between tonight and tomorrow evening... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 Nice little overachiever in southern ON. Hearing many reports in the 3-4" inch range. Picked up about 3" myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 I got an additional 0.8" of fluffy snow this evening so my total on the day was 2.2". DTW came in at 2.1". So pretty outside. Looking like lake effect will flare up again tomorrow and sink south...bring it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 We have 2.5 over here in Eastpointe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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