RCNYILWX Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I like 2" here tomorrow night. Nice high ratio refresher. Skilling had 1-3" last I saw. I'll take a 2" snowpack refresher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I guess you never know with a 300mb DGZ but 3-4" is too high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 First call for here 3", 3-4" for QC. Hawk looks good for 4-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The American models have gradually trended closer to the farther northeast foreign models, so now they all show Cedar Rapids in the 0.40-0.50" range, which would make 4-5 inches a decent bet here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The American models have gradually trended closer to the farther northeast foreign models, so now they all show Cedar Rapids in the 0.40-0.50" range, which would make 4-5 inches a decent bet here. DVN was thinking 16-18:1 LSRs in their disco this afternoon, so you could be looking at 6"+ if that verifies. I'm thinking 12-15:1 should be about as low as they go considering the depth of the DGZ and thermo profiles. RGEM is most aggressive for both of us, and has been the last few days. It's done pretty well this year, and does have support from the UK and Euro. GFS and NAM coming in more juicy this evening is a good sign as well. Think I'm gonna bump my call for here to 3-4", and 4-5" for the QC. I think CR is likely to get close to 6". Jackpot will probably be in that nice pivot area east of Des Moines along I-80 somewhere near Grinnell. Could be a few 9-11" lollies out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I'll go 2.3" for a call here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 last minute trends seem to be a bit northeast with this one, probably do a bit better synoptically, LE still looks lame. 1.5" sounds right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 been looking at the models, i'm slightly curious to see what the LE enhanced snows will look like later this evening, could see a period of some super high ration fluff if it comes together but i think all the new ice is going to keep things in check Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Latest RAP has 0.50" precip for the QCA, and the HRRR looks a tad northeast of the other models as well. 3-4" call here may be a bit low if trends continue. QC looking good for 5" of fluff, and thinking Hawkeye easily breaks the 6" mark now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Latest RAP has 0.50" precip for the QCA, and the HRRR looks a tad northeast of the other models as well. 3-4" call here may be a bit low if trends continue. QC looking good for 5" of fluff, and thinking Hawkeye easily breaks the 6" mark now. back dooring you way into a decent event over there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Really looking good over here for at least 5-7". The foreign models did pretty well with this system and the american models gradually caved over the last 48 hours. The UK model has been #1 this year. It nailed both of our potent clippers as well as the Superbowl storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 back dooring you way into a decent event over thereBest snow to cut through these parts since 2/1 storm and no thread. I'll go 2.6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Really looking good over here for at least 5-7". The foreign models did pretty well with this system and the american models gradually caved over the last 48 hours. The UK model has been #1 this year. It nailed both of our potent clippers as well as the Superbowl storm. be interested to see how you do, looks like returns just pushing in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Best snow to cut through these parts since 2/1 storm and no thread. I'll go 2.6. you might do ok with this call, 12z NAM probably still a bit south with nice returns south of MSP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 be interested to see how you do, looks like returns just pushing in There's some virga on the front end, but reports suggest it won't take too long to saturate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Decent snow here will probably sneek out a couple inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Mood flakes. Might be enough to dust the bare ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Mood flakes. Might be enough to dust the bare ground. Your time is coming soon...I suspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Liking my 2.3" call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Light mood flakes downtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 fcst sounding off the 12z GFS for 3z at DPA tonight. Very deep DGZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Light mood flakes downtown. Hmmm. Wonder if that's real time sign that the lake will have a positive effects on snowfall rates? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Starting to see lake convergence work its way westward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Latest RAP/HRRR and the radar all looking solid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Haven't spent much time on this one but think we could perhaps get 1.5-2" of fluff here. Ratios should be decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 Forgot to make a call... I'll go 2.5" at ORD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Forgot to make a call... I'll go 2.5" at ORD. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 First flakes in the brook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Forgot to make a call... I'll go 2.5" at ORD. I'll go a little more bullish and say 3.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Approaching 3 inches here. It's a nice clipper, but nothing memorable. It has been mostly very small flakes with a couple better bands thrown in that had decent flakes. I'm expecting to finish at about 5 inches. Some of the models (GFS/NAM) totally bombed with this system. For a long time they had the heaviest snow in sw Iowa, but it ended up in northern Iowa. The Des Moines are is going to get a fair amount less than earlier expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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