TheWeatherPimp Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Forgot to post this earlier but this is from the 12z UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Lakes are going to be freezing over soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
London snowsquall Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 BuffaloWeather - just noticed your seasonal snowfall total already above 170" - awesome... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Several snow chances coming up. Gaylord NWS discussions the last few days have, in a humorous way, shown they are not pleased with everything hitting downstate and south this winter. I havent really grasped the fact that if these threats pan out we may exceed last years snow depth. Not duration of deep snow, but actual depth. WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Several snow chances coming up. Gaylord NWS discussions the last few days have, in a humorous way, shown they are not pleased with everything hitting downstate and south this winter. I havent really grasped the fact that if these threats pan out we may exceed last years snow depth. Not duration of deep snow, but actual depth. WOW! 6Z GFS was a nice train of nickle/dime events ... ... I hope it works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Lakes are going to be freezing over soon. Interesting to see as Lake Ontario looks like it has have more ice than normal. Couple things different than last year is the colder air is a bit more east and it has not been nearly as windy. Lake Michigan it still wide open. Huron will likely be done in the next week or 2 baring a GFS/EURO model failure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Will be curious to see what the 12z ECMWF does as the 00z run was a better hit for areas farther north (I-80). It boosted amounts a little for everyone, by about 0.10" or so. 0.30" for LAF. Models have backed off the snow for here for tomorrow. Looks like an inch at best now. Another nice head fake by the mighty Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Interesting to see as Lake Ontario looks like it has have more ice than normal. Couple things different than last year is the colder air is a bit more east and it has not been nearly as windy. Lake Michigan it still wide open. Huron will likely be done in the next week or 2 baring a GFS/EURO model failure. Yeah, it has been colder over in this area than last year where the coldest air was well northwest of us. We got cold here, but nothing compared to the stuff over Lake Superior/Michigan. BuffaloWeather - just noticed your seasonal snowfall total already above 170" - awesome... Thanks! This is the highest amount of snow I've ever witnessed. It's the best back to back year snowfall totals in southern Erie County history I believe. 88 inches of snow in 3 days in November sure does help...I accidently deleted my total from last year when updating my sig with the Snovember snow pictures, but was able to look back and grab the official total in an old thread. The average in my area is 100"-120" a year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 GFS looks good for upper/middle Michigan in the short term/mid range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Models have backed off the snow for here for tomorrow. Looks like an inch at best now. Another nice head fake by the mighty Euro. I think we may do a little better (couple inches?). Won't be fighting precip type this time at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 I think we may do a little better (couple inches?). Won't be fighting precip type this time at least. My p&c from IND says less than an inch. With the trend for drier, it's a good call. Wednesday: Snow likely, mainly after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a temperature falling to around 23 by 5pm. West wind 9 to 13 mph becoming north northwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 My p&c from IND says less than an inch. With the trend for drier, it's a good call. Wednesday: Snow likely, mainly after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a temperature falling to around 23 by 5pm. West wind 9 to 13 mph becoming north northwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. 1.4" to get to 20" for the season. If I had to bet I'd say we make it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 GFS looks good for upper/middle Michigan in the short term/mid range Although that next biggish storm is a little north for my liking. I'd rather it whiff me to the south than bring slop north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 1.4" to get to 20" for the season. If I had to bet I'd say we make it. Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Meh. 15z SREF plumes have a mean of about 2" here with decent clustering in the 2-3" range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 The NMM & ARW both lay down 2-3" for much of Northern and Central Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Sunday system brought me just shy of 36" on the season. Clipper tonight should push us over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Nice little quick hitter for mby. From Izzi GIVEN WE SAW BRIEF SNOWFALL RATES >1IN/HOUR YESTERDAY WITH 1/4SMSNOWS AND THE SETUP LOOKS EVEN BETTER TODAY...SEE NO REASON THAT WEWONT HAVE A REPEAT OF HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES DEVELOP WITH THE BANDINGAGAIN TODAY WITH RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR POSSIBLE. UNLIKEYESTERDAY...THE MESOSCALE BANDING LOOKS TO ALIGN A BIT BETTER WITHTHE MOVEMENT OF THE PRECIP WHICH RAISES THE POTENTIAL FOR SOMELONGER RESIDENCE TIME UNDER THE HEAVY SNOW BAND FOR SOME LOCATIONS.HAVE BUMPED UP SNOW ACCUMS IN THE GRIDS TO 2-5" RANGE SOUTH OF I-80AND HAVE GONE WITH A WINTER WX ADV. WHILE AMOUNTS ARE ON THE LOWERTHRESHOLD OR JUST BELOW ADVISORY THRESHOLD...FELT THE POTENTIAL FOR+SN AND RATES OF 1-2" PER HOUR MADE IT EASY TO JUSTIFY THE HEADLINE.NOT EXPLICITLY FORECASTING THIS TO OCCUR...BUT IF THE HIGHERSNOWFALL RATES MATERIALIZE AS FORECAST THEN IT WOULD NOT TAKETERRIBLY LONG FOR THE BAND TO STALL OUT TO HAVE SNOWFALL AMOUNTSPILE UP TO LOCALLY AROUND 6 INCHES WHICH IS REASONING FOR INCLUSIONOF LOCALLY HEAVIER WORDING IN WSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Wow, either everyone is burned out or very few members in the 3-5 inch zone today. Nice little quick hitter. Little talk of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Wow, either everyone is burned out or very few members in the 3-5 inch zone today. Nice little quick hitter. Little talk of it. I am a bit surprised too. We have a thread for the WI/MI/MN system last night (2-4"). Today's system looks even a little better for parts of IL/IN/OH yet the talk has been very little. Izzy's AFD is excellent! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Eh, it will be a nice consolation prize to pick up a quick 3" or so this afternoon. I'm not too excited after getting singed by the weekend storm and just going to watch it play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 1/4 mile visibility at some locations back west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Looks like today will be similar to yesterday where a thin strip of 4-6" will fall. Already plenty of 4-5+" reports in NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Nice banding for the southern parts of IA right now. Hoping for an inch or so in the LAF. Sweet spot this far east looks to be just to the north of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Temp quickly rising...up to 35˚ here right now. Might have to introduce p-type issues. 12z 4km NAM with a little band of 0.25-0.30" to the north of here. Jackpot in Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 getting some mood flakes from the current clipper here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Nice banding for the southern parts of IA right now. dmx.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Temp quickly rising...up to 35˚ here right now. Might have to introduce p-type issues. 12z 4km NAM with a little band of 0.25-0.30" to the north of here. Jackpot in Indiana. hires_t_precip_indy_8.png Sun is out and the temp on the rise.. Up to 38F now.. Looking good towards the northern part of IN! Nothing like a bit of melted snow to start out as.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Nice banding for the southern parts of IA right now. Pretty sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Sun is out and the temp on the rise.. Up to 38F now.. Looking good towards the northern part of IN! Nothing like a bit of melted snow to start out as.. .NEAR TERM /REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT/... ISSUED AT 953 AM EST WED FEB 4 2015 TEMPERATURES ARE RISING QUICKLY SOUTH OF THE COLD FRONT. HAVE BUMPED TEMPERATURES UP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE AREA. THE FRONT IS JUST ENTERING THE NORTHWEST FORECAST AREA AT THIS TIME...SO TEMPERATURES IN THE NORTHWEST WILL STAY STEADY EARLY THEN FALL. READINGS WILL FALL ELSEWHERE DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. But yeah, north of here looking good. Just hoping to squeeze out an inch here, but with these temps...up to 36˚ here now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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