dryslot Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 RGEM came in pretty decent again. Over 0.20" for most of the area with some areas around 0.40" in SE MA. Will, Where do you get it that early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 13, 2014 Author Share Posted November 13, 2014 Will, Where do you get it that early? Gotta use the black and white maps: https://weather.gc.ca/model_forecast/index_e.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 RGEM came in pretty decent again. Over 0.20" for most of the area with some areas around 0.40" in SE MA.Haven't been following this much, but how is the BL when precip arrives tomorrow night. A quick glance at the latest guidance suggests the mid levels are cold enough. Would we need decent rates to get anything more than white rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Gotta use the black and white maps: https://weather.gc.ca/model_forecast/index_e.html Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 RGEM is pretty sweet looking. One thing I noticed is that the sounding on the NAM got pretty cold. BOS got near -2C at 950. That should flip any rain to snow eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 13, 2014 Author Share Posted November 13, 2014 Haven't been following this much, but how is the BL when precip arrives tomorrow night. A quick glance at the latest guidance suggests the mid levels are cold enough. Would we need decent rates to get anything more than white rain? No it should snow...though it may have trouble sticking initially...esp in SE MA and lower elevations. But it will be night which will help some and obviously if it bursts down at a moderate rate or better, then it will stick. It should cool pretty quickly dynamically since 950mb is like -2C once it gets going...won't take long for latent cooling from the melting to bring that down to the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Positive trends. Pretty cold soundings I saw Scott post too. This might be an overachiever compared to what we thought a couple days ago. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Ahh you beat me to it haha.I was trying figure out what RSM was, Ewall ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 13, 2014 Author Share Posted November 13, 2014 I was trying figure out what RSM was, Ewall ugh Congrats on the RGEM...Ginx/NW RI Special. Pretty solid for eastern/SE MA too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Congrats on the RGEM...Ginx/NW RI Special. Pretty solid for eastern/SE MA too. Not bad 1-3" spot 4 with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Congrats on the RGEM...Ginx/NW RI Special. Pretty solid for eastern/SE MA too. Like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 GFS west as well, maps in a moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Meanwhile 0z GFS is west of 18z as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Hello GFS is that a .25 contour I see? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Congrats on the RGEM...Ginx/NW RI Special. Pretty solid for eastern/SE MA too. we don't toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 0z GFS hr 33 18z GFS hr 39 Wetter as well as further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Oh boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Congrats on the RGEM...Ginx/NW RI Special. Pretty solid for eastern/SE MA too. CT River Valley finger of death. lol I don't mind since I'll be in Boston Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Oh boy sneaky over performer, #caughtwithpantsdown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Oh boy Looks like you're going to get your .7", and perhaps a few times over as well if all breaks right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 13, 2014 Author Share Posted November 13, 2014 That's a pretty juiced up GFS run. The GFS soundings actually have a bit of a MAUL that happens to be in the snow growth region just above 600mb. If that actually verified, then it could be a pretty good bust in the positive direction. The NAM sort of had it too, but the saturation only went to about 500mb and not higher like the GFS. I wouldn't quite get out the snow blowers and shovels yet, we'll want to see a bit more data...but that's a promising sign. It would also make it easier to overcome the lowest 1500 feet for the lower elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 That's a pretty juiced up GFS run. The GFS soundings actually have a bit of a MAUL that happens to be in the snow growth region just above 600mb. If that actually verified, then it could be a pretty good bust in the positive direction. The NAM sort of had it too, but the saturation only went to about 500mb and not higher like the GFS. I wouldn't quite get out the snow blowers and shovels yet, we'll want to see a bit more data...but that's a promising sign. It would also make it easier to overcome the lowest 1500 feet for the lower elevations. Good stuff makes it down to n nj as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 13, 2014 Author Share Posted November 13, 2014 Good stuff makes it down to n nj as well? It looked a bit warmer down there, but it looks like it goes to snow at some point. I didn't look closely enough to really see if accumulations occurred. Though they probably would at least in the interior northern NJ hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 sneaky over performer, #caughtwithpantsdownlol #wood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 GGEM is like .15-.3" for all, I'll post it when it comes out on a free site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 I forsee a Kevin to Bob and perhaps up to Scott special. E CT Hills north and east including Providence... East to interior SE MA and perhaps areas of the south coast as the storm ramps up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 BOS sees Coating... over/under? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 BOS sees Coating... over/under? IMO over, I'd say the over/under at BOS is probably in the .75" range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 The ARW blitzes much of SNE with a heavy wet snow as well...decent banding signal...although the ARW tends to be a little aggressive at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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