dryslot Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 I believe I'll have the final say on that. Without a doubt you will, I assume its your call for this one, Just don't steal and run with my totals.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Without a doubt you will, I assume its your call for this one, Just don't steal and run with my totals.............. Rip and read. I'm pretty happy with my grids as they stand. I sharpened up Ekster's gradient a bit, and wouldn't be surprised if the zone for decent accumulations ends up even more narrow than I have it. I've got a 2-3" for LEW right now, mostly because they won't waste as much QPF as the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Rip and read. I'm pretty happy with my grids as they stand. I sharpened up Ekster's gradient a bit, and wouldn't be surprised if the zone for decent accumulations ends up even more narrow than I have it. I've got a 2-3" for LEW right now, mostly because they won't waste as much QPF as the coast. Nice, I figured the higher side here, This one has bust potential both directions, If the banding sets up where modeled it will be positive, If not, We know the other result Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Rip and read. I'm pretty happy with my grids as they stand. I sharpened up Ekster's gradient a bit, and wouldn't be surprised if the zone for decent accumulations ends up even more narrow than I have it. I've got a 2-3" for LEW right now, mostly because they won't waste as much QPF as the coast. When do you take over Cheshire/Hillsborough? 12/1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Albany goes "meh" after this morning's rather robust snowfall map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 13, 2014 Author Share Posted November 13, 2014 When do you take over Cheshire/Hillsborough? 12/1? I think it was some random date a bit later...like 12/7? edit: Dec 3rd it looks like http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/notification/scn14-48box_gyx_county.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 There is going to be a few separate jackpots. Might be a little scattered in terms of maxes. Could see somewhere a little north and west doing well due to elevation. Banding somewhere in the eastern half of sne, perhaps lower elevation could due well with enhanced snowfall intensity. I wouldn't mind being in a place like NW RI, ORH, MQE, elevations of orh county. I'm not sold with much confidence here yet in Ne Ma. I would set the bar at 1" here. I think BOS could do quite well tomorrow. Hellish commute surprise en route? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 I think it was some random date a bit later...like 12/7? edit: Dec 3rd it looks like http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/notification/scn14-48box_gyx_county.htm Apparently people don't like to do these things on a Monday, but Wednesday instead. Despite the fact that Monday is conveniently the start of a new month. Would be much easier on the Coop program. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 I'd guess jackpot from 128 south to 195, and west from 95 to rt 3 in interior SE Ma. Secondary max orh hills to ne ct hills favoring orh area over ct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 1-3" here back to the foothills, The higher end coast and coastal plain, Midcoast east to DE Maine, Could jack 4-5" Jackpot always seems to to be The County, Mtns or DE. Rarely our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 I'd guess jackpot from 128 south to 195, and west from 95 to rt 3 in interior SE Ma. Secondary max orh hills to ne ct hills favoring orh area over ct. So my current commute of Duxbury to Narragansett RI. Rt 44 to 495 to 95 S..fantastic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 So my current commute of Duxbury to Narragansett RI. Rt 44 to 495 to 95 S..fantastic Scott mentioned worry of some warmth tainting qpf and losing accum because of it se of bos. I wonder if high totals are quite localized due to the banding they mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Apparently people don't like to do these things on a Monday, but Wednesday instead. Despite the fact that Monday is conveniently the start of a new month. Would be much easier on the Coop program. I like looking at those counties as they relate to my area. Now I will have more reason to look at Gray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 I'd guess jackpot from 128 south to 195, and west from 95 to rt 3 in interior SE Ma. Secondary max orh hills to ne ct hills favoring orh area over ct. I actually think the NE corner of CT will do better than ORH county for this one, unless some mini band type of feature sets up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 eric fisher posting the hrrr this early to public on twitter right now is a Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 I like looking at those counties as they relate to my area. Now I will have more reason to look at Gray We're going to try not to disappoint. There are people responsible for a population of nearly 500,000 that are going to be paying very close attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 eric fisher posting the hrrr this early to public on twitter right now is a Well, he does say it shows midnight... but...yeah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Jackpot always seems to to be The County, Mtns or DE. Rarely our area. I never jack actually, Not the i have that fetish anyways, Just as long as we get our share, I am happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 I like looking at those counties as they relate to my area. Now I will have more reason to look at Gray Yeah, It looks like its going to more of a "Gray" area there now...................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 HRRR.. when should it be used before a snow event? 6 hrs before? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 HRRR.. when should it be used before a snow event? 6 hrs before? That's my understanding... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 That's my understanding... cool.. was looking at the 18z and looked meh for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Think many of us esp interior start off as straight snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 cool.. was looking at the 18z and looked meh for my area. I think an inch is the best case scenario up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 I think an inch is the best case scenario up this way. Right now I agree with you. Could be between an inch or two at best I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 I think an inch is the best case scenario up this way. yeah, not expecting much, mostly for the kids to enjoy in the AM. More of a bonus this early on, after Thanksgiving I want snow all the time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Good map Chris CAR's Version Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Hoping for 1-2 at home. I think that's a compromise knowing the bust risk on each side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Think many of us esp interior start off as straight snow3 p.m. Mesoanalysis for TOL:850T +1 925T +3 FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 Looks like 18z NAM held serve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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