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Lake Effect Snow Belts Discussion Thread


TugHillMatt

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Environment Canada has issued a snow squall warning for Niagara Region across from Buffalo. The warning is vague on snow totals, but the EC 7 day forecast for Fort Erie calls for up to 35cm/11" through Wednesday.

 

FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO
ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA

AT 8:02 P.M. EST MONDAY 17 NOVEMBER 2014.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
SNOW SQUALL WARNING FOR:
=NEW= NIAGARA FALLS - WELLAND - SOUTHERN NIAGARA REGION.

==DISCUSSION==
SNOW SQUALLS ARE EXPECTED. UNDER THE SNOW SQUALL BANDS, VISIBILITIES
WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED DUE TO THE HEAVY SNOW, AND SNOW WILL
QUICKLY ACCUMULATE.


SNOW SQUALL ACTIVITY HAS DEVELOPED IN A COLD WESTERLY FLOW OFF LAKE
ERIE. AREAS NEAR THE ERIE SHORE WILL BE MOST AFFECTED INCLUDING FORT
ERIE AND PORT COLBORNE. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 CM PER 12 HOURS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITY IN SNOW
AND BLOWING SNOW. THE SQUALLS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO TUESDAY.

 

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The TSSN/+SN obs from earlier, just for posterity sake

 

KBUF 180141Z 26017G31KT 1/4SM R23/3000VP6000FT +SN FZFG VV006 M02/M04 A2960 RMK AO2 PK WND 26031/0137 TSB12E41 TS MOVD NE P0003 T10221039
KBUF 180121Z 26019G28KT 1/4SM R23/2000V4000FT +TSSN FZFG BKN004 BKN008 OVC024CB M02/M03 A2961 RMK AO2 PK WND 26028/0117 TSB12 OCNL LTGIC OHD TS OHD MOV NE P0002 T10171028
KBUF 180112Z 26017G27KT 1/2SM R23/2400VP6000FT TSSN FZFG FEW004 BKN008 OVC033CB M02/M03 A2960 RMK AO2 PK WND 27027/0102 TSB12 OCNL LTGIC OHD TS OHD MOV E P0001 T10171028

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They're saying thundersnow possible in West Michigan too. There was an unconfirmed report of it in the suburbs of Grand Rapids. Nothing like Buffalo though, I'm sure.

 

Models have good banding making it all the way to me.... Supposed to make it out this way after 2am.

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