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Lake Effect Snow Belts Discussion Thread


TugHillMatt

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  On 2/14/2015 at 8:35 PM, Hoosier said:

HRRR simulated reflectivity has the band entirely offshore by 8z.  That would be a turn of events.

 

Edit:  composite reflectivity doesn't, though

 

 

attachicon.gif1ref_t7sfc_f14.png

 

I've noticed that pretty frequently with the HRRR's 1 km reflectivity.  Not sure why it does that but it never verifies like that.

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  On 2/14/2015 at 9:54 PM, Thunder Road said:

I've noticed that pretty frequently with the HRRR's 1 km reflectivity.  Not sure why it does that but it never verifies like that.

 

Yeah, seems odd.  Airmass will be drying out overall and inland extent should diminish considerably, but low level flow still decently strong overnight so it doesn't really make sense for the band to shift offshore. 

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  On 2/14/2015 at 11:01 PM, blackrock said:

8 to 10 new inches of snow around here since last night. Been snowing heavily all day. GRR NWS is calling for 5 to 10 inches more just on Monday.

 

They are talking about a meso-low likely forming and hitting the area. If that happens, we will have between 2 and 3 feet on the ground.

snow settles. snow upon snow upon snow compacts. 3' is actually pretty hard to come by... especially in the LP.
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  On 2/14/2015 at 11:57 PM, weatherbo said:

snow settles. snow upon snow upon snow compacts. 3' is actually pretty hard to come by.

 

My area had a 1 foot glacier on the ground already. 8 to 10 inches yesterday into today, and then another 5 to 10 inches on Monday. Easily attainable to reach 2 feet or more on the ground.

 

I have recorded between 2 and 3 feet on the ground every winter here for the time that I've lived here, except for the mild winter of 11-12.

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  On 2/15/2015 at 12:15 AM, blackrock said:

My area had a 1 foot glacier on the ground already. 8 to 10 inches yesterday into today, and then another 5 to 10 inches on Monday. Easily attainable to reach 2 feet or more on the ground.

 

I have recorded between 2 and 3 feet on the ground every winter here for the time that I've lived here, except for the mild winter of 11-12.

wow that's awesome. I didn't think it got 3' routinely south of Grayling.
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  On 2/15/2015 at 12:37 AM, weatherbo said:

wow that's awesome. I didn't think it got 3' routinely south of Grayling.

 

Oh yeah. The area from Allegan to Holland to Muskegon usually has a several week period each winter where the snow pack builds up pretty high. It all averages out because that same period the next winter could have much less. It comes at different times of the winter. We get to over 2 feet...it's just less consistent than up in the Gaylord area.

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  On 2/15/2015 at 12:47 AM, blackrock said:

Oh yeah. The area from Allegan to Holland to Muskegon usually has a several week period each winter where the snow pack builds up pretty high. It all averages out because that same period the next winter could have much less. It comes at different times of the winter. We get to over 2 feet...it's just less consistent than up in the Gaylord area.

 

Can add Van Buren ( Bloomingdale ) to that.. Ofcourse many of those areas from Bloomingdale up towards you average 95-105" or so..

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