Winter 2014-2015 Pattern Discussion Thread I

[KChuck]

It's possible but it's just as possible(at this time) for it not to happen too. Will the atlantic ever cooperate? Will the pacific become a raging hose? One thing is for sure.......the models won't get a handle on anything in the lr with all this energy floating around. Patience is the key to answering the questions I just posted.

Sounds like a promo for a new TV series, but is it named "As the models turn" or "As the weenies squirm"?

[KChuck]

The same guy who said it wouldn't be cold in December, then immediately switched up and said it would be cold. Then switched back? The same guy who swore the GFS was dead wrong about this storm and there was NO way it would be southern slider? I like DT but the guy does more flips then Mary Lou Retton.

That last comparison made me sprout forth a good belly laugh! +100000

[Cold Rain]

So....how are the weeklies? Must be sucking wind since nobody's posted about them.

And seriously, where is Larry? This is getting a little weird now.

[rosie]

So....how are the weeklies? Must be sucking wind since nobody's posted about them.

And seriously, where is Larry? This is getting a little weird now.

Was wondering about Larry also, it is creepy not seeing his posts.

[Southern Track]

So....how are the weeklies? Must be sucking wind since nobody's posted about them.

And seriously, where is Larry? This is getting a little weird now.

When did he post last?

[packbacker]

So....how are the weeklies? Must be sucking wind since nobody's posted about them.

And seriously, where is Larry? This is getting a little weird now.

They are fine, ridging in west, -EPO, east coast trough but temps verbatim show warm.

[buckeyefan1]

When did he post last?

Monday afternoon around 1:40ish 

[Southern Track]

Monday afternoon around 1:40ish

Hopefully he's just tied up(not literally).

[Cold Rain]

They are fine, ridging in west, -EPO, east coast trough but temps verbatim show warm.

Nice, thanks man.

For those that are interested, big daddy Srain made a nice post in Donny S's thread in the main forum. Good stuff.

[GaWx]

 I'm ok and am sorry some became worried. I guess I had posted so much in recent months that it seemed weird if I didn't post for a couple of days. Actually, there have been many days on which I haven't posted in the past. I've been extremely tied up this week and also have had nothing I felt was worthwhile for posts. I still may not post much (if any) in the next few days.

[Cold Rain]

I'm ok and am sorry some became worried. I guess I had posted so much in recent months that it seemed weird if I didn't post for a couple of days. Actually, there have been many days on which I haven't posted in the past. I've been extremely tied up this week and also have had nothing I felt was worthwhile for posts. I still may not post much (if any) in the next few days.

Yeah, you were posting a lot and then just suddenly gone. It's nobody's business, but we just wanted to makes sure everything was good. In case you missed it, the pattern change appears on track.

[Jon]

Valid 12/31

 

Saw CIPS Tweet this image out:

 

@CIPSAnalogs 11m11 minutes ago

Strong below normal temp signal from Extended CIPS Analogs to ring in the New Year for the eastern U.S.

 

 

Thought I'd add this one...850mb temp mean based on top analogs

[deltadog03]

https://www.facebook.com/ChriswxmanSimmons

 

New model video/trends/discussion.  I even gave some shoutouts as well from here.    Hope y'all like and again...Thank y'all for liking my page, sharing the videos and inviting your friends to like it.  Feedback is ALWAYS welcomed...-Chris 

[FallsLake]

18z GFS kind of sucked if your looking for any wintery threats. The one thing it does show is some really cold air in Canada spilling into the US in the LR; but it looks to have a hard time pushing SE. Just one run but man this jumping back and forth is going to drive us mad.  

[packbacker]

18z GFS kind of sucked if your looking for any wintery threats. The one thing it does show is some really cold air in Canada spilling into the US in the LR; but it looks to have a hard time pushing SE. Just one run but man this jumping back and forth is going to drive us mad.

Several ensemble members had snow as you approached New Years.

[franklin NCwx]

Lots of blocking on the 18z ensembles.

[packbacker]

https://www.facebook.com/ChriswxmanSimmons

 

New model video/trends/discussion.  I even gave some shoutouts as well from here.    Hope y'all like and again...Thank y'all for liking my page, sharing the videos and inviting your friends to like it.  Feedback is ALWAYS welcomed...-Chris

Looks good, can't wait to see you tracking some big winter storms!

[packbacker]

Lots of blocking on the 18z ensembles.

Also, WSI tweeted the GFS has the SOI diving negative, should translate to some increased SS activity down the road.

https://twitter.com/wsi_energy/status/545527395915415552

[Marion_NC_WX]

https://www.facebook.com/ChriswxmanSimmons

 

New model video/trends/discussion.  I even gave some shoutouts as well from here.    Hope y'all like and again...Thank y'all for liking my page, sharing the videos and inviting your friends to like it.  Feedback is ALWAYS welcomed...-Chris 

 

 

Lovin' those videos!!!

[Marion_NC_WX]

Lots of blocking on the 18z ensembles.

 

 

This might be the best blocking signal I've seen in several winters...

 

[BIG FROSTY]

https://www.facebook.com/ChriswxmanSimmons

 

New model video/trends/discussion.  I even gave some shoutouts as well from here.    Hope y'all like and again...Thank y'all for liking my page, sharing the videos and inviting your friends to like it.  Feedback is ALWAYS welcomed...-Chris 

Great Videos Chris!!!

[GaWx]

Yeah, you were posting a lot and then just suddenly gone. It's nobody's business, but we just wanted to makes sure everything was good. In case you missed it, the pattern change appears on track.

 

Thanks, CR!

[deltadog03]

Looks good, can't wait to see you tracking some big winter storms!

Thank you!  I appreciate it.

[deltadog03]

Lovin' those videos!!!

Thank you!  I love makin' the videos for sure.

[deltadog03]

Great Videos Chris!!!

Thanks buddy!  hoping to to send a little snow your way Saturday.

[Eastatlwx]

Chris, your video's are very good and i love watching them! keep them coming

[junebug88]

Love your video's Chris. Thanks for all you do.

[LithiaWx]

https://www.facebook.com/ChriswxmanSimmons

New model video/trends/discussion. I even gave some shoutouts as well from here. Hope y'all like and again...Thank y'all for liking my page, sharing the videos and inviting your friends to like it. Feedback is ALWAYS welcomed...-Chris

Great video, you just save this cliff diver. I'm backing away from the ledge. Thank you.

[griteater]

Valid 12/31

 

Saw CIPS Tweet this image out:

 

@CIPSAnalogs 11m11 minutes ago

Strong below normal temp signal from Extended CIPS Analogs to ring in the New Year for the eastern U.S.

 

Thanks for posting Jon - here's the CIPS page with those maps - http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/EXT_threats.php?reg=EAST&rundt=

[deltadog03]

Thanks you guys!  I do them for yall!  Keep sharing my FB and Twitter pages please.  Trying to reach everyone I can.