Guess the time frame of 2014-15's biggest KU

[dailylurker]

I'm going for January 1-15. At least that's when I hope it is. Low sun angle will help to keep it around. Mid February sun will vaporize snow on contact.

[WVclimo]

Mid-Jan, on the front end of an arctic assault.

[weatherCCB]

Jan. 16 -31

Classic miller A

[Amped]

February 31st

[mattie g]

I'm going to go late-January, but we're not going to score big from a KU. North and east of us will, though. Something like 4-8" and a changeover when north and east get 15-25" and blizzard conditions. Then it'll get cold so we can enjoy the 2" of slop that freezes with the frigid air that follows.

I'm feeling positive tonight.

[TeleConnectSnow]

NOV 20-25th   

[MDstorm]

I'm thinking the biggest KU will be during the end of Jan. I'm also anticipating some FU's along the way.

MDstorm

[Ian]

I'm fairly confident I will measure 20" from a storm this winter.

[Ian]

Can't tell if serious...or sarcastic...

My long range thoughts are not very advanced compared to the long rangers on the board and elsewhere. I go by gut feelings.. though they are educated enough to often not be the worst compared to a random gut feeling. 

 

Persistence is huge.. and right now things are looking quite stacked. I'd definitely go with a "cold" winter whether it's actually cold or we think of it as cold (those lows). See how Nino progresses in the next month or so for the rest. Cold is a good start though.

 

You can't make a call for DCA to get 2x+ normal snow without being a goon if you have a name but there's plenty of evidence that winter goes big or goes home in recent times. We're almost due for a massive HECS based on recent return as well. 

 

50/50? ha. I'm a weenie.

[H2O]

I'm fairly confident I will measure 20" from a storm this winter.

That's a lot of rain

[aldie 22]

Can I take my vote back...it appears we aren't getting one this year :-(

[mappy]

I'm fairly confident I will measure 20" from a storm this winter.

 

sig'd, so i can rub it in your face later when youre wrong. 

[PrinceFrederickWx]

I'm getting the 10/11 vibe where its cold and dry and snows in every direction but here. Oh wait that's already happening isn't it? lol

[HighStakes]

We are way overdue  for a KU in the late Feb. time frame. That's what I'm going for somewhere between the the 20th and 28th.

[clueless]

I hoping January will deliver rather than have a February event where temps are marginal and the sun angle comes to haunt us. Basically looking forward to a season where weenie suicides are far and few between.

[Ian]

sig'd, so i can rub it in your face later when youre wrong.

Good. I am going to be right.

[wxdude64]

That's a lot of rain

Ark building will be in great demand.

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

NEXT!!

 

(OK, March 32nd then, we're a March/April snow town now)

[Ian]

Congrats late november peeps.

 

[clueless]

Congrats late november peeps.

 

Refuse to get suckered into a big November event. Whatever the model porn shows, no sir...

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

Refuse to get suckered into a big November event. Whatever the model porn shows, no sir...

 

First day 10 Unicorn of the season?

 

Yeah, cannot get sucked in, but pretty incredible to see it modeled all the same in late November.

[hosj III]

First flake: 4:48 AM 1/25/15

Last flake: 2:19 PM 1/26/15

[Roger Smith]

Pretty sporty to look for the "biggest" KU, but I think there could be two this winter (perhaps 3-4 in total but two that give heavy snow to the Mid Atlantic states). The best windows would be something like Dec 22-23, Jan 6-7, Jan 19-21, Feb 3-5 and Feb 17-19 but of those I suspect the first and last would be too mild and the middle one might be too far east, so that makes it either Jan 6-7 or Feb 3-5 to verify. I will go with Jan 6-7 for my guess. Could be epic too 1996 style.

[EastCoast NPZ]

KU in the mid-Atlantic?  Now that's funny.  

 

I ride with Debbie.

[Fozz]

I'm fairly confident Parkton and Westminster will measure 20" from a storm this winter.

Fyp

[mattie g]

I'm fairly confident we'll get 20" deck pics from southern PA from a storm this winter.

Probably so. Especially if DC gets 4" of snow followed by 1"+ of QPF slop.

[BiffMcmuscles]

I'm new to this and apologize if this is the wrong formum but what is a KU? I can obviously tell it is a snow storm but what features are specific to a KU. I have searched the Internet high and low but can't seem to find a definition (found a lot of other things that disturbed me though). Answer this and I promise I'll sit quietly in the back ground for the rest of the winter.

PS: Mr. Bob Chill, you're the man!

[gymengineer]

I'm new to this and apologize if this is the wrong formum but what is a KU? I can obviously tell it is a snow storm but what features are specific to a KU. I have searched the Internet high and low but can't seem to find a definition (found a lot of other things that disturbed me though). Answer this and I promise I'll sit quietly in the back ground for the rest of the winter.

PS: Mr. Bob Chill, you're the man!

K= Paul Kocin, U= Louis Uccellini 

A KU storm is weatherboard shorthand for a snowstorm that made it into the general cases section of their Northeast Snowstorms 2 volume book, or would make it into an updated version of the book--- generally it's a snowstorm that dropped >10" of snow in multiple official reporting sites for the cities in the Northeast Metropolis (including DC/Baltimore). But, that's not a firm rule. For example, the trio of snowstorms from January and February 1987 that were less widespread made it into the books as a holdover from a specialized chapter in the original version of the book.

[mattie g]

I'm new to this and apologize if this is the wrong formum but what is a KU? I can obviously tell it is a snow storm but what features are specific to a KU. I have searched the Internet high and low but can't seem to find a definition (found a lot of other things that disturbed me though). Answer this and I promise I'll sit quietly in the back ground for the rest of the winter.

PS: Mr. Bob Chill, you're the man!

No need to sit idly by! Post some obs and the occasional picture - you'll find yourself shooting the sh*t before you know it! Hell...most of us don't really know that much about the weather except that we're interested in it. At least I don't!

[BTRWx]

I'm going with a friend's zip code. February 8, 2015