ag3 Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 You guys are looking at the wrong timeframe. The legit threat is the one after. Ensembles are constantly showing it as a a threat and the 12z GFS now has a bombing low and it coincides with a rising -AO and the deepest PNA ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 I will say this the pattern CAN produce something special for even people down to the coast BUT many pieces must fall into place. We really wont be able to see the teleconnectors, 500mb pattern etc. clearer till monday at the earliest, expect wide model variations through this weekend and beginning of next week before models actually start to get a handle of what may or may not happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 You guys are looking at the wrong timeframe. The legit threat is the one after. Ensembles are constantly showing it as a a threat and the 12z GFS now has a bombing low and it coincides with a rising -AO and the deepest PNA ridge. Yes if I had to pick a better threat then it would be the one after. That one has a very mid winter type feel too it but at the same time could be nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 Yes if I had to pick a better threat then it would be the one after. That one has a very mid winter type feel too it but at the same time could be nothing.Thought the storm that had potential was next weekends storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 Thought the storm that had potential was next weekends storm? Yea it's like day 8-9. The Gfs has it though too warm for snow right now. Noticed the gfs slowing down the front a bit. If that continues then we might see more amplification for the current OTS storm. Overall the fact that these threats are out there is a spectacular given the time of year. The cold just pours on from the gfs in the LR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 Sunday Night -Monday ..the 16-17th on the 12 Z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 18z gfs almost there....like the look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted November 9, 2014 Share Posted November 9, 2014 18z gfs almost there....like the look yes there are at least 3 individual chances of snowfall here on that run http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2014&model_mm=11&model_dd=08&model_init_hh=18&fhour=216¶meter=SNOWIN&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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