eyewall Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 Watches up but I doubt BTV makes the 6 with shadowing and ptype problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 Nice Jayhawk! Where's the moose picture? Ah, yes ... the moose. On my way over to Moosilauke on the Kancamagus Highway, I saw something in the road a ways away and soon figured out it was a moose. I slowed way down in an effort to get near it for a photo op. It didn't dash into the woods like I figured, just kinda circled around in the incoming lane. I took some pics and then inched the car closer. I parked right next to it, maybe 10' away. We shared a stare-down for a couple minutes and I was on my merry way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 7, 2014 Author Share Posted December 7, 2014 Watches up but I doubt BTV makes the 6 with shadowing and ptype problems. You may rip when that initial WCB lifts north...models are really keying in on NE Kingdom shadowing but not CPV as such. Your issue there will be temps there in the CPV bottom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 You may rip when that initial WCB lifts north...models are really keying in on NE Kingdom shadowing but not CPV as such. Your issue there will be temps there in the CPV bottom. Temps are definitely going to be an issue but the ski areas should get a major pounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 Nice cool evening. 13.8F at 6pm. Solid glacier snowpack that will not be going anyplace soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 Down to 14f and dropping quick. Be nice to have this cold hanging around for the deluge coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ono Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 Dropping very quickly. 7F here. Should be interesting to see how this incoming system pans out. Seems like any projections are due to change a fair bit over the coming days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 Nice pics guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Other than when socked-in, I see Moosilauke every day--nice shots as always. Picked up 3.4" in the last event with some sleet & ZR thrown in too. 9-10" of snow otg here--with some density too. Down to 6F already tonight with a big fat moon on the rise. Our low for the season so far is 2F. Just might eclipse that by dawn tomorrow. All eyes on mid-week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Watches up but I doubt BTV makes the 6 with shadowing and ptype problems. I've added the BTV NWS maps below for the watches and initial projected accumulations through 7:00 A.M. Wednesday: The general call for snow in the Winter Storm Watch text is for 6-12" with snowfall rates up to 2"/hr Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening. Our current point forecast calls for accumulations in the 4-10" range through Tuesday night, and then various formulations of snow, sleet, and rain for Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VtWxWatcher Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 The Davis console beeped tonight for the first time, 0.4F.... stars look great tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 9F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Gallup Mills with the clubhouse lead in BTV's WFO with -6F. MPV at 1F and MVL at the magical 0F mark. My battery died in my thermo and I'm not going to change it right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 6F so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
borderwx Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 -6F and the house is popping, I guess what we lack in snow we make for in cold had to get off the hill and head to Williston yesterday, amazing the differences in snow depth along the way, from 2-3" here, 6" in Eden, etc. Gonna be a fun week by the looks of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 8, 2014 Author Share Posted December 8, 2014 Nice inversion this morning...I can clearly see it as the snowmaking moisture is getting trapped under it about a third of the way up the slope. Profile goes like this: 3,600ft...12F 2,600ft...10F 1,550ft...-1F 750ft...-3F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 5F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 -4F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 I've added the latest BTV NWS advisory and projected accumulations maps for the storm that's expected to affect the area starting tomorrow. Since yesterday's map, the Winter Storm Watches have expanded southward to cover all of Vermont as well as westward in Northern New York. Projected accumulations through 7:00 A.M. Wednesday are up a bit in North-Central Vermont, with areas in the 8-10" and some 10-14" shading. Some 14-18" shading that was down in the southern part of the state has been lowered, but there are some 14-18" areas shown now along the northern tier of New York State: NYZ028>031-034-035-VTZ001>012-016>019-082100- /O.CON.KBTV.WS.A.0007.141209T1200Z-141210T2200Z/ EASTERN CLINTON-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN- WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE- WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE- CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND- WINDSOR-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON- EASTERN RUTLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...STAR LAKE... SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID... PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS... NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE... ST. JOHNSBURY...MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD... RANDOLPH...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION... ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON... EAST WALLINGFORD...KILLINGTON 347 AM EST MON DEC 8 2014 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON CONTINUES THE WINTER STORM WATCH...FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS OF NEW YORK...THE ENTIRE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...AND THE REMAINDER OF VERMONT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY WET SNOW AND SLEET. * ACCUMULATIONS...THE POTENTIAL FOR 6 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW WILL EXIST ALONG WITH POSSIBLE ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET. * MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATE...1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR TUESDAY NIGHT. * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW SPREADS FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY...THEN BECOMES HEAVY TUESDAY NIGHT. SLEET WILL MIX IN LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BECOME DIFFICULT DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VISIBILITIES WILL DROP SHARPLY IN THE HEAVY SNOW. IN ADDITION...THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW AND SLEET MAY ALSO LEAD TO POSSIBLE POWER OUTAGES. * WINDS...EAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ON WEDNESDAY. * TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. LOWS 25 TO 30 TUESDAY NIGHT. * VISIBILITIES...REDUCED TO A QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES TUESDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION. && $$ EVENSON Our local forecast here calls for accumulations in the 6-12" range through tomorrow night, with potentially additional accumulations during the remainder of the week with the mixed bag of precipitation types. Starting tomorrow, the weather looks fairly active and wintry, even for the valleys: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Definitely a challenging forecast without question. I see they have bumped BTV to 8-10. The overnight Euro was still a mess with what I think was 3 lows. HPC eventually brings a low center to BTV like yesterday's Euro had on Thu morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Definitely a challenging forecast without question. I see they have bumped BTV to 8-10. The overnight Euro was still a mess with what I think was 3 lows. HPC eventually brings a low center to BTV like yesterday's Euro had on Thu morning. Just a headache to forecast. A large part of me wants to say "weather, likely a large portion of which will be snow, will happen from tuesday through thursday....beyond that ask the gods" I've seen cut off lows produce 4feet of snow. I've also seen them produce 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Wondering about the over under of snow needed tomorrow for my 4 inch hard crusty pack to hold thru weeks end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 I did not have internet for most of yesterday and it has been soooo slow for a week now- thanks Fairpoint! Can someone give a brief synopsis of what we are looking at for a setup for this week. i know there is the low moving through the Great Lakes at this time. Does it cause the front end slug or is a new low forming which will lead to that. I know a low is supposed to form do loop de loops and stall until June. Can someone do a little summary? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 8, 2014 Author Share Posted December 8, 2014 I did not have internet for most of yesterday and it has been soooo slow for a week now- thanks Fairpoint! Can someone give a brief synopsis of what we are looking at for a setup for this week. i know there is the low moving through the Great Lakes at this time. Does it cause the front end slug or is a new low forming which will lead to that. I know a low is supposed to form do loop de loops and stall until June. Can someone do a little summary? Surface low off the NJ coast tracks into New England very slowly. Our best chance for accumulating snow is on the front end before switching to sleet and rain as it warms up aloft. Then it's like a day of 30-35F drizzle or pellets, before going back to light snow on Thursday. Most interesting time period will be like 12pm-12am tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Just a headache to forecast. A large part of me wants to say "weather, likely a large portion of which will be snow, will happen from tuesday through thursday....beyond that ask the gods" I've seen cut off lows produce 4feet of snow. I've also seen them produce 2". And so everyone will forecast somewhere in between and hope for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Low was about -12, heard of a -21 from Ashland, so places like Big Black and Estcourt Station must've been around -25. Could this event wind up like Patriot's Day 2007? Not the seteup but the result, which at my place was 5" snow plus 5" rain. (Not that qpf is that huge - 2 + 2 would be more likely than 5 + 5.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Low was about -12, heard of a -21 from Ashland, so places like Big Black and Estcourt Station must've been around -25. Could this event wind up like Patriot's Day 2007? Not the seteup but the result, which at my place was 5" snow plus 5" rain. (Not that qpf is that huge - 2 + 2 would be more likely than 5 + 5.) WOW! That is cold! How often does it get lower than -10F in December? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 WOW! That is cold! How often does it get lower than -10F in December? Including today, 14 days, occurring in 8 of my 17 Decembers here. Last year was my first time to see -20s in Dec. I've recorded 68 subzero mornings, plus 8 more right at zero, and only Dec 2006 failed to get that cold. (Minumum that year, Farmington's mildest of 121 Decembers, was 6.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Including today, 14 days, occurring in 8 of my 17 Decembers here. Last year was my first time to see -20s in Dec. I've recorded 68 subzero mornings, plus 8 more right at zero, and only Dec 2006 failed to get that cold. (Minumum that year, Farmington's mildest of 121 Decembers, was 6.) Oh, so it's nothing special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 8, 2014 Share Posted December 8, 2014 Oh, so it's nothing special There's a 15-acre field that slopes up from across the road at my place, and cold air draining from there settles at the house because the other 3 sides of the dooryard are surrounded by dense forest. The folks living near the high end of that field are probably 5-10F milder on prime radiational cooling nights, though only 1/4 mile away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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