dendrite Posted November 29, 2014 Share Posted November 29, 2014 MAV has sucked on the big cold rad nights up here lately, but regardless, here's the 12z MAV mins for tomorrow AM... HIE -11F LEB -8F BML -6F IZG -5F 1V4 -4F VSF -3F MPV -2F HUL -2F CON -1F EEN -1F AFN -1F MVL -1F SFM 2F LCI 6F BTV 6F PWM 8F MHT 8F Some of those don't pass the smell test (LEB vs BML), but regardless it looks like a damn cold night shaping up. The MET and 2m temps aren't much warmer than those MAV numbers. MOS fail again last night. I think BML came closest to their progged low with at least -3F this morning. Got down to 7.9F here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 29, 2014 Author Share Posted November 29, 2014 MOS fail again last night. I think BML came closest to their progged low with at least -3F this morning. Got down to 7.9F here. Didn't have a chance here...MVL was reporting -SN again this morning. Hard to radiate with the persistent flurry in progress. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 29, 2014 Share Posted November 29, 2014 A no-glasses (thus blurry) peek at the max-min showed the low at -3. Assuming the full-vision check at my obs time confirms, that's the lowest I've had here in 17 Novembers. Chilly on the deer stand (and I was several hours behind all the activity, once again.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 29, 2014 Share Posted November 29, 2014 Toasty warm night of 12.4F here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 29, 2014 Share Posted November 29, 2014 3.0°F was the low here last, Cold in the woods this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 29, 2014 Share Posted November 29, 2014 Ex-wife got her power back on three hours ago. CMP says the remaining peeps should be on tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted November 29, 2014 Share Posted November 29, 2014 Beautiful day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 29, 2014 Share Posted November 29, 2014 I usually get the snow off all the overhangs of the roof so I don't get ice dams. Got to 30F today and lots of icicles and a 2" ice dam. I'm lazy and counting on Sun and Monday thaw to take the snow away. Now I don't think it will happen. Probably cold air daming (lots of daming in this post) will keep me cold for most of tomorrow and then not enough time for a good thaw before next cold air. All in all there should be melting off and on this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 29, 2014 Author Share Posted November 29, 2014 What an amazing day in the mountains...I mean the northern Greens are just plastered with snow and rime. Bluebird skies, calm winds, and great snow....gotta pinch myself that its only November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 29, 2014 Share Posted November 29, 2014 3.0°F was the low here last, Cold in the woods this morningNice. We torched to a low of 14.7f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 29, 2014 Share Posted November 29, 2014 Nice. We torched to a low of 14.7f Exactly the same as GYX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 Exactly the same as GYX. I see CON is back up. What happened down there? Outage related? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 I see CON is back up. What happened down there? Outage related? Most likely it was at least indirectly related. We could dial in and it was still reporting, so the issue was somewhere else down the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 We've been out and about a lot around the holiday, but I've finally been able to run the liquid analyses on the past two storms. Totals for period: 13.4” Snow/0.73" L.E. Storm #1 totals: 11.6” Snow/0.63" L.E. Storm #2 totals: 1.8” Snow/0.10" L.E. I couldn’t separate the snow from the two storms, so I'm going with the average density, but it was all fairly fluffy so I suspect the numbers are close. Anyway, barring any substantial sublimation, the numbers from here indicate that the ratio was 18.4:1, or 5.4% H2O. In terms of accumulation, Storm #1 was collected in one roughly 12-hour block instead of 6-hour blocks, so there might have been a bit of additional accumulation reported if the smaller interval was used, and Storm #2 was collected on top of the accumulation from Storm #1, so there may have been a bit of compression there that would cause the same issue. Overall though, the numbers seem pretty consistent with surrounding stations within similar microclimate/mountain valley locations as I look through the CoCoRaHS snow and liquid equivalent maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 I was just checking on the forecast, and as we move toward December, it looks like the pattern will stay fairly active. There appear to be four upcoming chances for snow along with some other wintry precipitation: Tonight: A WARM FRONT NOW OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL PUSH ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY TONIGHT...WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR LIGHT SNOW TO INITIALLY SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION. STRONG LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION ON SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 KTS WILL ALLOW PRECIPITATION TO TRANSITION FROM LIGHT SNOW TO SLEET/ICE PELLETS. Monday: FOR MONDAY: COLD FRONT WILL HAVE PUSHED THROUGH THE NORTH COUNTRY WITH SHARPLY FALLING TEMPS THE GENERAL THEME. BTV-4 FROUDE NUMBER PROGS SUGGEST WEAKLY BLOCKED FLOW SO ANY LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS WILL DOT THE NORTHERN GREENS...THOUGH MOISTURE DEPTH WILL BE RATHER SHALLOW. Wednesday: CONDITIONS WILL CHANGE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY AS LOW LEVEL FLOW TURNS AROUND TO THE SOUTHWEST AND WARMER AIR ALOFT MOVES INTO THE REGION. MOISTURE WILL ALSO BE MOVING IN AND UPSTREAM THERE WILL BE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING DOWN FROM CANADA. THIS WILL ENHANCE THE FORCING OVER THE AREA AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD DEVELOP OVER THE AREA...ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY. AT THIS TIME...THE THERMAL PROFILE SUGGESTS MIXED PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE ENOUGH COLD AIR MOVES IN AND CHANGES ALL THE PRECIPITATION TO SNOW SHOWERS. Saturday: ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN ON SATURDAY AND ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME SNOW...WITH A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE LARGER VALLEYS. Obviously the presence/timing of those latter events is subject to more change, but at least there's plenty of potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 Exactly the same as GYX. That's close to a hilltop, also. Temp down to low teens here, will bump up soon as clouds/WAA arrives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 That's close to a hilltop, also. Temp down to low teens here, will bump up soon as clouds/WAA arrives. We're on a weenie hilltop on the border of Gray and New Gloucester. Stuck right between two small river valleys (Royal River and Chandler Brook), we're the tallest thing around for at least a mile in any direction. Thermometer sits just a tickle below 400 feet elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 30, 2014 Author Share Posted November 30, 2014 The mild air is close by...just on the otherside of the mountain now. Still sitting with wet bulbs on the east side in the low to mid-20s, but the warmth is building and will start spilling over soon. Its fascinating to me how snowmaking is going on and still semi-productive, while just on the otherside of the mountain its well above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 Raymond Pond has been trying to lock up with some ice last couple days. Probably won't fully "catch" with the warmer weather coming tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 A few pics from yesterday out in the woods hunting, Truck therm was a balmy 2.0°F when i stepped out a 6:15 am, Deep winter as the snow in the woods in places was up to my knees with a good 15" in places, Lot of people riding the fields up there with snowmobiles which really makes my thumb itch........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 Here's a time lapse I made from late Tuesday through the storm on Weds, ending Thursday night. The snow on Weds moved in quick. http://youtu.be/Y1v2dEJlzN0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 A few pics from yesterday out in the woods hunting, Truck therm was a balmy 2.0°F when i stepped out a 6:15 am, Deep winter as the snow in the woods in places was up to my knees with a good 15" in places, Lot of people riding the fields up there with snowmobiles which really makes my thumb itch........... Nice. I saw a lot of snowmobile tracks last couple days through fields, road crossings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 Here's a time lapse I made from late Tuesday through the storm on Weds, ending Thursday night. The snow on Weds moved in quick. http://youtu.be/Y1v2dEJlzN0 That was pretty sweet John Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
j24vt Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 1.6" yesterday morning at 8am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 12:30pm 33.1F really trying to warm up. See blue sky well south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 What a mess. All three of my sandcherries are mangled, white hibiscus is a pile of sticks, hydrangea lost the front half. One of the two big saucer magnolias by my front steps split at the base which will remove about 1/3rd of the canopy. Depending on how it looks this spring, I might end up having to removing both. The white pines across the street again unloaded all over that poor house for the 4th time since 2008. The good news for them is that most of the giant limbs are basically gone now. THE BRADFORD PEARS ACROSS THE STREET THAT ARE STARTING TO BLOCK MY VIEW ARE SOMEHOW FINE THOUGH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 10.5" on the ground still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 30, 2014 Author Share Posted November 30, 2014 Bummer Eek. Sounds like an ice storm type damage, not snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 What a mess. All three of my sandcherries are mangled, white hibiscus is a pile of sticks, hydrangea lost the front half. One of the two big saucer magnolias by my front steps split at the base which will remove about 1/3rd of the canopy. Depending on how it looks this spring, I might end up having to removing both. The white pines across the street again unloaded all over that poor house for the 4th time since 2008. The good news for them is that most of the giant limbs are basically gone now. THE BRADFORD PEARS ACROSS THE STREET THAT ARE STARTING TO BLOCK MY VIEW ARE SOMEHOW FINE THOUGH. Post up some pics please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 33.9F 2pm. This is when I don't like cold air damming. I seem to be about the coldest places in New England. Some sun would have helped. Like eek about 10" of snow on the ground, should keep compacting but will we see bare ground before the next storm?. It would be nice so the wildlife can eat some ground cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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