SnoSki14 Posted November 9, 2014 Share Posted November 9, 2014 KNYC Nov - 5" Dec -- 15" Jan -- 15" Feb -- 25" Mar -- 10" Total -- 70" Seeing snow chances in November already and I think we'll finally get a March to deliver so gonna go all out for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted November 9, 2014 Share Posted November 9, 2014 Nov - 0.1 dec - 5.5 Jan - 6.1 Feb - 9.1 Mar - 3.8 total - 24,5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 9, 2014 Share Posted November 9, 2014 From 24.5" to 107.3"... glad to see we've reached a consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted November 9, 2014 Share Posted November 9, 2014 From 24.5" to 107.3"... glad to see we've reached a consensus. Actually 21.5" is the lowest prediction. And the 107" would exceed 7 out of the past 10 annual snowfalls in Buffalo! Yikes! Here's mine: November - 4 December - 13 January - 12 February - 19 March - 7 April - 1 May - 0 Total - 56 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted November 9, 2014 Share Posted November 9, 2014 Seems like NYC is only allowed two 50+ seasons a decade according to records. We've already had two seasons like that this decade and the decade isn't even half over yet. Maybe I'm missing something but if we get a 3rd 50+ inch season, then that'll be the first time it's ever happened on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 From 24.5" to 107.3"... glad to see we've reached a consensus. Consensus: 65.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Seems like NYC is only allowed two 50+ seasons a decade according to records. We've already had two seasons like that this decade and the decade isn't even half over yet. Maybe I'm missing something but if we get a 3rd 50+ inch season, then that'll be the first time it's ever happened on record. three of the last five seasons had 50" or more...two straight 2009-10 and 2010-11...there was two straight in 1915-16 and 1916-17...two of three 1993-94 and 1995-96...two of three 1872-73 and 1874-75... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Wouldn't you consider 09-10 part the 2000-2010 decade and 10-11 part of this decade. I'm going by the link that was posted on the first page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 November -1.5" December - 10.4" January - 9" February - 14.5" March - 4" April - 1" May - 0 Total - 40.4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 November - .5" December - 5.5" January - 11" February - 24.5" March - 2.5" April - 0" May - 0 Total - 44" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted November 13, 2014 Share Posted November 13, 2014 November: 0.5" December: 12.5" January: 18.5" February: 19.0" March: 3.0" April: 1.0" Total: 54.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LnbWx Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 November - Tr. December - 8" January - 12" February - 15" March - 4" April - 2" Season - ~ 40" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 NYC / Central Park Forecast Snowfall 2014-15 Season: Nov: T Dec: 2.0" Jan: 7.0" Feb: 9.0" Mar: 2.0" Apr: T Total: 20.0 inches The Law of Averages / basic climatology will eventually yield a bad season around here...and 2014-15 will be it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 November - Trace December - 5.5" January - 21" February - 13.8" March - 6.2" Total - 46.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 NYC / Central Park Forecast Snowfall 2014-15 Season: Nov: T Dec: 2.0" Jan: 7.0" Feb: 9.0" Mar: 2.0" Apr: T Total: 20.0 inches The Law of Averages / basic climatology will eventually yield a bad season around here...and 2014-15 will be it. So you're basically using rudimentary statistics and discounting modeled pattern anomalies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted November 16, 2014 Share Posted November 16, 2014 So you're basically using rudimentary statistics and discounting modeled pattern anomalies? Yeah, something like that...in a place like NYC, I think timing and sheer luck are significant factors in how much snow falls each winter. Now, obviously, in a spot like the Sierras...if long range charts show a wet winter...above normal snowfall is basically a given. But there are too many factors that can throw a "snowy" winter forecast off for the NYC area...not the least of which is simple bad timing. The timing has been amazingly good for almost a decade and a half...eventually it has to be off just a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoggyO Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 NYC / Central Park Forecast Snowfall 2014-15 Season: Nov: .75 Dec: 4.0" Jan: 7.5" Feb: 13.0" Mar: T" Apr: T Total: 25.25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Nov 0Dec 0Jan 1.4Feb 1.5Mar 0Apr 0May 0Total - 2.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Nov 0 Dec 0 Jan 1.4 Feb 1.5 Mar 0 Apr 0 May 0 Total - 2.9 This has got to be a troll post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Nov ....0.4Dec.....8.2Jan.....9.0Feb...18.8Mar.....2.2Apr.......0...May......0Total - 38.6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Nov. 3.4 Dec. 5.7 Jan. 10.3 Feb. 13.1 Mar. 2.1 Apr. t Total 34.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Actually 21.5" is the lowest prediction. And the 107" would exceed 7 out of the past 10 annual snowfalls in Buffalo! Yikes! Here's mine: November - 4 December - 13 January - 12 February - 19 March - 7 April - 1 May - 0 Total - 56 Let it snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 For KNYC November- 2.0"" December 3.0" January 18" February 26" March 3.0" April T Total 52 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 For NYCNov 3.1 Dec 2.5 Jan 8.3 Feb 10.1 March 4.2 April T year 28.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 I realize I lost my prediction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 This has got to be a troll post? NYC only recorded 2.8" snowfall in Winter 72-73 so it's within the realm of possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 Nicely done Matt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 30, 2014 Share Posted November 30, 2014 Nice job running this Neg nao. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 This has got to be a troll post?If the Niño goes basinwide and strengthens a bit, it could very well follow 1972-3. That was the winter from which I drew my predictions. I don't want to break any hearts but that's the way I see it. Every one would like a replay of last winter but I just don't see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 December 2014 Snowfall Contest Results - 1 inch officially fell in Central Park in November so we have 2 winners JBG - 0 -------- Winner Pamela - 2.0 --------- (a real ) Winner Keith L.I -2.5 Neblizzard - 3.0 KingofQueens - 3.3 Plfdwxdude - 3.8 Foggy O - 4.0 CFA - 4.9 Nibor - 5.0 PB GFI - 5.5 JulianColton - 5.5 SleetStormNJ - 5.5 Animal - 5.5 LongBeachSurfFreak - 5.7 Uncle W. - 6.6 IntenseBlizzard2014 - 7.0 JM 1220 - 7.5 ag 3 - 7.5 LnbWx - 8.0 TwcMan - 8.2 HudsonValley21 - 8.2 BxEngine - 8.9 REDMKGLI - 9.0 NegNao - 10.3 Sampson - 10.4 RJay - 12.0 IsentropicLift - 12.7 WintersGrasp - 12.7 Eduardo - 12.5 Chietanen - 13.0 NYC Weather Lover - 13.1 cjr231 - 13.6 Snywx - 14.0 SnoSki14 - 15.0 Cik62 - 17.0 nyblizz44 - 17.0 Hailstorm - 19.4 I don't think 1"fell on one day in November at KNYC. I also don't believe that happened in December's "heavy flurries"of December 12. Thus I consider myself the winner of both contests. I do not wish these results however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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