Powerball Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 I FOUND IT!! Took a long time to find the right CDROM. CONUS_ETA212_SFC_ACCUMSNOWFALL-KUCHERA_84HR.gif CONUS_ETA212_SFC_ACCUMSNOWFALL-KUCHERA_84HR.gif Well, I think it's safe to toss any model solution that has a 18-20"+ bullseye in Detroit proper... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted December 19, 2014 Author Share Posted December 19, 2014 Those did verify for some locations...If I recall correctly the models had 12-18" IMBY for that NYE storm. I got 15-16". That was my best storm that winter. Even better was the models did not go insane with the amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 If I recall correctly the models had 12-18" IMBY for that NYE storm. I got 15-16". That was my best storm that winter. Even better was the models did not go insane with the amounts. I have no further comments on that "storm." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted December 19, 2014 Author Share Posted December 19, 2014 I FOUND IT!! Took a long time to find the right CDROM. Cool I wish I kept the data files some of the models were outputting when you added them up it had incredible totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 I FOUND IT!! Took a long time to find the right CDROM. CONUS_ETA212_SFC_ACCUMSNOWFALL-KUCHERA_84HR.gif CONUS_ETA212_SFC_ACCUMSNOWFALL-KUCHERA_84HR.gif Thanks for posting that. GFS had like 6" here (not sure if it ever caught up). Actual fall was 10.5". Can't remember what the ECMWF did for that storm though I know it had it too far east around 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sokolow Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Via Tom Skilling's FB: dreariest Chicago December since 1975 Another way of looking at it -- the bright side as it were -- is as of yesterday Chicago has racked up ~250% more sunlight hours this December than one would expect in a typical June, on Macquarie Island! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 I really hope the 12z Euro is wrong, or I'll be on here a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 I need my 18z model fix! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Clouds clouds clouds...rain rain ...freezing rain/// fog monster... just get a foot of snow, bring down some cold Canadian high pressure and lets get the sun back in here.. this is stupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Frank's sig mesmerizes me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Clouds clouds clouds...rain rain ...freezing rain/// fog monster... just get a foot of snow, bring down some cold Canadian high pressure and lets get the sun back in here.. this is stupid. I concur, my new motto is 'Snow or sun', we've had very little of either this month, just chilly or cold, steel gray, snowless days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Frank's sig mesmerizes me. My first thought was wtf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 fyi btw.... FROM - NWSTGTO - ALL CUSTOMERSSUBJECT - EMERGENCY FACILITIES MAINTENANCE AFFECTINGNWS HEADQUARTERS INTERNET SERVICE.FOULGER PRATT, BUILDING MANAGER FOR THE SSMC CAMPUS,WILL BE PERFORMING EMERGENCY MAINTENANCE THATREQUIRES A COMPLETE POWER OUTAGE FOR THE SSMC3BUILDING AT THE NOAA CAMPUS IN SILVER SPRING, MD..THE NOAA NOC HAS ADVISED THAT INTERNET SERVICE MAY BESEVERELY DEGRADED FOR ALL OFFICES AT THE NOAA CAMPUSIN SILVER SPRING, INCLUDING NWS HEADQUARTERS, DURINGTHE MAINTENANCE WINDOW. THE TIMES FOR THE EVENT AREAS FOLLOWS.START - 12/20/2014 - 1030 UTC - 0530 AM ESTSTOP - 12/20/2014 - 2330 UTC - 1830 PM EST.THE FOLLOWING OPSNET SERVICES MAY BE SEVERELY DEGRADEDOR UNAVAILABLE DURING THIS MAINTENANCE WINDOW.1 - OPSNET ALTERNATE TRANSPORT -ATP- SERVICE2 - TRANSPORT TO THE INTERNET VIA OPSNET - NDBC, NLSC, NRC, AND PWTC3 - REMOTE ACCESS VIA THE OPSNET SSL VPN SERVICE4 - REMOTE ACCESS VIA THE NOAA CAC VPN SERVICE.THE FOLLOWING NWS TELECOMMUNICATIONS GATEWAY SERVICESMAY BE SEVERELY DEGRADED OR UNAVAILABLE DURING THISMAINTENANCE WINDOW.1 - DOWNLOADS FROM TGFTP.NWS.NOAA.GOV2 - DOWNLOADS FROM WEATHER.NOAA.GOV3 - SELECT DATA SETS RECEIVED VIA THE INTERNET ANDHOUSED ON THESE WEB SITES MAY BE SLOW TO UPDATE.FOULGER PRATT HAS ADVISED THAT THERE IS A HIGH RISKOF FAILURE FOR THE UNDERLYING COMPONENTS, WHICH WOULDCAUSE AN UNPLANNED POWER OUTAGE, REQUIRING A LONGERTIME TO RESTORE SERVICES..FOR QUESTIONS, PLEASE CONTACT US AT 301.713.0992 ORSEND AN EMAIL TO US USING THE ADDRESS TOC.NWSTG -AT-NOAA.GOV.NWSTG/DJT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 screw the haters, this cloudy business rules Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 screw the haters, this cloudy business rules now that's a crew I can party with Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 maybe for the stats peeps... when's the last time there were blizzard warnings in our subforum on Christmas day? I guess, not really including a one county blizzard warning for a LES event. while there may not be feet and feet of snow next week for the system....there could be a spots with 4 to 6 inches with blizzard conditions being met.... just wondering off hand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 I haven't seen the Sun in almost a week, lmao. Been too cloudy and foggy this entire week.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 My trip to Phoenix served one purpose for sure, to confirm that glowing orb of light actually still exists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 maybe for the stats peeps... when's the last time there were blizzard warnings in our subforum on Christmas day? I guess, not really including a one county blizzard warning for a LES event. while there may not be feet and feet of snow next week for the system....there could be a spots with 4 to 6 inches with blizzard conditions being met.... just wondering off hand Can't think of one off the top of my head. The warning archives don't go back extremely far so it may be tough to find out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Already in lose sleep mode over this thing...against my better judgement as I've been battling some sort of sinus/respiratory thing for the past several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Already in lose sleep mode over this thing...against my better judgement as I've been battling some sort of sinus/respiratory thing for the past several days. Take it from an old guy. Get some rest. I used to lose sleep over wx too. As I got older, I found out that the weather would still be there when I got up, I would feel better, and I would be more pleasant to be around. The 0z Euro will be the same whether you look at it at 2:30 AM or 8:30 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted December 20, 2014 Author Share Posted December 20, 2014 Take it from an old guy. Get some rest. I used to lose sleep over wx too. As I got older, I found out that the weather would still be there when I got up, I would feel better, and I would be more pleasant to be around. The 0z Euro will be the same whether you look at it at 2:30 AM or 8:30 AM. Exactly ... yes we are all obsessed with the weather but don't let it possess you!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 maybe for the stats peeps... when's the last time there were blizzard warnings in our subforum on Christmas day? I guess, not really including a one county blizzard warning for a LES event. while there may not be feet and feet of snow next week for the system....there could be a spots with 4 to 6 inches with blizzard conditions being met.... just wondering off hand Cleveland and parts of Northern Ohio were under blizzard warnings Christmas Day just two years ago for a synoptic storm. The synoptic storm was an utter bust here with no blizzard verifying, but indeed there were blizzard warnings on Christmas Day. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 241 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 .HEAVY SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS TO CREATE SEVERE WINTER WEATHER. OHZ007>011-017>019-027-028-036-260345- /O.CAN.KCLE.WS.W.0005.121226T1200Z-121227T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.BZ.W.0001.121226T1200Z-121227T1200Z/ OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON- WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-MARION- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PORT CLINTON...FREMONT...SANDUSKY... LORAIN...CLEVELAND...FINDLAY...TIFFIN...NORWALK... UPPER SANDUSKY...CAREY...BUCYRUS...MARION 241 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. THIS IN AN UPGRADE TO THE WINTER STORM WARNING WHICH WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. * ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW. * TIMING...SNOW WILL SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING. HEAVY SNOW AND WIND GUSTS OF 35 MPH WILL CREATE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. * IMPACTS...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. SOME ROADS MAY BE IMPASSIBLE FROM DRIFTING SNOW. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S. * VISIBILITIES...WILL BE REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES FROM THE COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * WATCH FOR ANY ANNOUNCEMENTS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES CONCERNING YOUR ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. VISIBILITIES WILL BE NEAR ZERO AT TIMES... MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Possibilty of DTW only logging a few Ts of SN for the month grow. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Possibilty of DTW only logging a few Ts of SN for the month grow. Ugh. Chances are growing Nov will end up with more snow than Dec, but I still highly doubt we end the month with a T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Yea DTW should get that crust on the backside that will measure. Highly unlikey DTW gets 0.0" for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Yea DTW should get that crust on the backside that will measure. Highly unlikey DTW gets 0.0" for the month. Plus the pattern is almost surely going into well below normal temps towards New Years. We have to hope to get some good NW flow clippers out of it, but those arent often modeled til several days out. And technically, DTW already has T on several days this month, so its 100% certain they dont get 0.0" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 Plus the pattern is almost surely going into well below normal temps towards New Years. We have to hope to get some good NW flow clippers out of it, but those arent often modeled til several days out. And technically, DTW already has T on several days this month, so its 100% certain they dont get 0.0" lol It would be second time in history that it would finish with a Trace? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 It would be second time in history that it would finish with a Trace?well actually the least snowiest December is 1889 with 0.0"....not a single flake fell. The 2nd is 0.4" in 1894.Lets not even speak of such things though lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 20, 2014 Share Posted December 20, 2014 It would be second time in history that it would finish with a Trace? 11 days to go. Hope not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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