weatherbo Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 The next two weeks look quite interesting, nothing to be bummed about. Lots of disturbances, chances of a nice heavy dose of snow from the second low in Michigan. For IMBYers, if you complain about missing out on big dogs, prepare yourself for lots of disappointment. Took me 13 years to crack 12 inches. If snow is that big of a deal to you, do what myself and others did, find a hobby that makes chasing snow worthwhile. My love of winter predates my snowmobile hobby. In all fairness, you must have the most understanding and supportive wife and kids possible. Idk how you manage so many weekends trips away from home in the winter and even be planning a Christmas trip as well. I'd bet money if you go north at Christmas, you'll be going solo. Most husbands balls are in a vice. Not to mention the money it takes to support your hobby. So more easily said than done! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 In all fairness, you must have the most understanding and supportive wife and kids possible. Idk how you manage so many weekends trips away from home in the winter and even be planning a Christmas trip as well. I'd bet money if you go north at Christmas, you'll be going solo. Most husbands balls are in a vice. Not to mention the money it takes to support your hobby. So more easily said than done! Oh, I won't be going on Christmas day, hell no. I'm thinking the 27-30th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 What's hilarious about all of this is that we've been saying "maybe next system" since the failure of the system this past Tuesday. "The system on the 20th is the one to watch out for..." "The system on the 25th is the one to watch out for..." "The system on the 27th-28th is the one to watch out for..." Needless, we have a long winter ahead of us if the fact that we've been saying "maybe next system" for the past few systems is any sign... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 If I hear one more thing about les I'm going to scream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 If I hear one more thing about les I'm going to scream. Children may not get the reference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted December 18, 2014 Author Share Posted December 18, 2014 Yeah, everybody gets hyped up with 168-240hr model data while we can have large swings in the 96-144hr time frame. I blame it on the lack of activity. Everybody is waiting to cash in their chips. They see a Euro-bomb at 168-192hr range, they lose it. Exactly ... it is like the people that get totally excited about the NAM in the 48-84 hour range ... . Glad I don't do that to myself anymore. I learned the hard way from my days on Eastern that the models are nothing more than porn. Looks great but not reality. I got my hopes up to many times for these awesome storms being modeled. Heck some were show 12 hours before the storm started that MBY would get near 30" totals but then one little factor the models didn't see and boom 10-12". I would be pissed. Yep pissed I got 10-12 heck a couple times even 15". But the models were all dead set on EPIC near 30" totals that I could enjoy a great snowstorm. Now ... I just enjoy every flake that falls. If I get a Flizzard for Christmas ... I'll take it ... ... certainly can't change it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Exactly ... it is like the people that get totally excited about the NAM in the 48-84 hour range ... . Glad I don't do that to myself anymore. I learned the hard way from my days on Eastern that the models are nothing more than porn. Looks great but not reality. I got my hopes up to many times for these awesome storms being modeled. Heck some were show 12 hours before the storm started that MBY would get near 30" totals but then one little factor the models didn't see and boom 10-12". I would be pissed. Yep pissed I got 10-12 heck a couple times even 15". But the models were all dead set on EPIC near 30" totals that I could enjoy a great snowstorm. Now ... I just enjoy every flake that falls. If I get a Flizzard for Christmas ... I'll take it ... ... certainly can't change it. Models had your backyard with 30" only 12 hours out (the se MI big dog hellhole )? How many times did that happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Models had your backyard with 30" only 12 hours out (the se MI big dog hellhole )? How many times did that happen? Probably zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Exactly ... it is like the people that get totally excited about the NAM in the 48-84 hour range ... . Glad I don't do that to myself anymore. I learned the hard way from my days on Eastern that the models are nothing more than porn. Looks great but not reality. I got my hopes up to many times for these awesome storms being modeled. Heck some were show 12 hours before the storm started that MBY would get near 30" totals but then one little factor the models didn't see and boom 10-12". I would be pissed. Yep pissed I got 10-12 heck a couple times even 15". But the models were all dead set on EPIC near 30" totals that I could enjoy a great snowstorm. Now ... I just enjoy every flake that falls. If I get a Flizzard for Christmas ... I'll take it ... ... certainly can't change it. meltdown watch issued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 If I hear one more thing about les I'm going to scream. Waaa.... Waaa.... I don't want to hear about the most geographically unique weather phenomenon in the midwest.... Waaa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 It's gonna get ugly.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Waaa.... Waaa.... I don't want to hear about the most geographically unique weather phenomenon in the midwest.... Waaa I will take les over nothing. Especially on Christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 It's gonna get ugly.. Understandably so, but it's turning into a IMBY tug of war. sort of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 If I hear one more thing about les I'm going to scream. I guess you're going to scream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 I guess you're going to scream It's like living in Oklahoma and getting into a fuss over tornado talk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 It's like living in Oklahoma and getting into a fuss over tornado talk. It's like hanging out at the mall and someone is talking about clothes all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Reading some stuff in the other subforums has been interesting. Contrary to what you may think, a number of them are actually rooting for a massive lakes bomb in the hope that it would lead to a better pattern down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted December 18, 2014 Author Share Posted December 18, 2014 Models had your backyard with 30" only 12 hours out (the se MI big dog hellhole )? How many times did that happen? It happened a few times. Just looking at the winter 07-08 alone there were couple storms that happened: the Dec storm in the 12-36 hour range and I know one of the February storms did also. But storm I got 11-12" out of them. That winter was actually a great winter with about 100" total IMBY but I hated that every major event had a hiccup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Waaa.... Waaa.... I don't want to hear about the most geographically unique weather phenomenon in the midwest.... Waaa What's so great about LES? Ooooooooo, cold air over warm water....ooooooooooooo. It's meteorological cheating. Why not just buy yourself a snow machine and call it a day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 It happened a few times. Just looking at the winter 07-08 alone there were couple storms that happened: the Dec storm in the 12-36 hour range and I know one of the February storms did also. But storm I got 11-12" out of them. That winter was actually a great winter with about 100" total IMBY but I hated that every major event had a hiccup Ah, the NAM for the December 15-16, 2007 storm. The 00z run either on the 14th or 15th dumped 20"+ here. Tim saved it but don't know if he still has it. IIRC, the NAM was basically on its own with the insane totals. Easier to take than a widespread model fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 18, 2014 Share Posted December 18, 2014 Reading some stuff in the other subforums has been interesting. Contrary to what you may think, a number of them are actually rooting for a massive lakes bomb in the hope that it would lead to a better pattern down the road. There's that possibility, or we could simply set ourselves up for more boring weather via a dry/cold NW flow and suppression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted December 18, 2014 Author Share Posted December 18, 2014 Ah, the NAM for the December 15-16, 2007 storm. The 00z run either on the 14th or 15th dumped 20"+ here. Tim saved it but don't know if he still has it. Harry might have it too. If I recall correctly one of the models had Battle Creek well over 30" ... I could be mixing that with the February storm. I am not sure if it was the NAM but I recall some EPIC model forecasts. EDIT: I used to have those saved but don't have that computer anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 I don't wana watch. I can't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Children may not get the reference. "Oh my! Turkeys are falling from the sky! Oh, the humanity." Five accidents due to icy bridges in our county this afternoon with, get this, 0.2" of snow. EDIT: I can see the great "fake snow" debate reigniting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 "Oh my! Turkeys are falling from the sky! Oh, the humanity." Five accidents due to icy bridges in our county this afternoon with, get this, 0.2" of snow. EDIT: I can see the great "fake snow" debate reigniting. I always lol at that debate. Most assume all le is 30:1. My last event was 12:1. I actually like high ratio snow tho. Awesome to watch, and the cleanup is a breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Harry might have it too. If I recall correctly one of the models had Battle Creek well over 30" ... I could be mixing that with the February storm. I am not sure if it was the NAM but I recall some EPIC model forecasts. EDIT: I used to have those saved but don't have that computer anymore. ..or NYE '08 storm? I believe that was showing some pretty big totals at one point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 ..or NYE '08 storm? I believe that was showing some pretty big totals at one point. Those did verify for some locations... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted December 19, 2014 Share Posted December 19, 2014 Harry might have it too. If I recall correctly one of the models had Battle Creek well over 30" ... I could be mixing that with the February storm. I am not sure if it was the NAM but I recall some EPIC model forecasts. EDIT: I used to have those saved but don't have that computer anymore. I FOUND IT!! Took a long time to find the right CDROM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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