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November Med/Long Range Disco


WinterWxLuvr

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216 gets interesting... good placement of H and moisture laden low in LA

 

ETA:  Snowstorm and the obligatory :o at 240

 

And yes, soundings support all snow at DCA... I checked because I am bored and wanted to see what the precip form would be

 

The high pressure moves in tandem with the low pressure, keeping us in the favorable cold side of the storm for snow

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Canadian is too Amped for the Sunday system resulting in rain...And then it really unleashes some serious COLD...it looks like an inconsistent model right now though, as I believe the last run had the Sunday system too far off the coast.

The GFS is pretty inconsistent too.  Yesterday at 18z, its ensembles barely had anything of note for that time.  Now several of them have at least a system worth watching.  Lots still on the table.....at least for a day or two.

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Some are more inconsistent than others in certain patterns...sure all models will waffle specifically in the long range but you can tell which ones are a little more consistent...The Canadian seems to be the most inconsistent at the present time.

Right there with the GFS which spits out a different H5 pattern every run

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If you guys are interested, Mike Masco from ABC2 in Baltimore just posted a really informative video blog (FaceBook) on the upcoming pattern and possible snow threats.  I'll have to say, I'm pretty damn excited about this pattern.  Really want to see us all score in November.

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We are all waiting for Ian's Euro pbp since he is off of work today and has nothing to do. He told me he thinks this storm in 10 days will be a monster.

Sadly the new GFS has a low in Canada and a mild day here. Probably wrong.  And I'll be out for the Euro. Good luck.

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