HM Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 only the early March ones happen right? lol...day 8-10 12z Euro has a southern wave, confluence and polar vortex over Quebec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Day 9 looks intriguing in setup.... 1030+ H in Central Plains with a 1003 L in TX (by Dallas)... I love the look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 lol...day 8-10 12z Euro has a southern wave, confluence and polar vortex over Quebec. It's definitely the best looking h5 setup for a chance in these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 10, 2014 Author Share Posted November 10, 2014 I don't think anyone has tossed it. It's pretty marginal temp wise but snow could fall from the sky. I know you didn't toss it. I was just chiming in with the theme of your post. The models seem to be a bit all over the place with that one. Not much consistency on the gfs members with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 It's definitely the best looking h5 setup for a chance in these parts. Pretty annoying that it's November; but, yes it's a great looking 500mb map at this point. Can't wait for a new solution at 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Day 10 998 L in S TN... looks like it wants to transfer with kinks pointing towards the SC/NC coast... just for giggles, 850s are fine till you get down toward RIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Pretty annoying that it's November; but, yes it's a great looking 500mb map at this point. Can't wait for a new solution at 00z. Ensembles have been advertising a transition to a more favorable pattern for the east around the 18th+/- and it hasn't been moving backwards in time. Obviously the 12z euro is going to get some serious weenie attention but having the solution doesn't surprise me much even though we both know not to take it too seriously. Should be a fun week watching the emotional seesaw. I'll ride it a couple times myself I'm sure. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Day 10 998 L in S TN... looks like it wants to transfer with kinks pointing towards the SC/NC coast... just for giggles, 850s are fine till you get down toward RIC That's what a block and wall of 1030hp across the eastern 2/3ds of Canada can do for you...lol. It jumps to the SC coast. A monster for sure. Too bad we'll only be able to enjoy it for the next 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Ensembles have been advertising a transition to a more favorable pattern for the east around the 18th+/- and it hasn't been moving backwards in time. Obviously the 12z euro is going to get some serious weenie attention but having the solution doesn't surprise me much even though we both know not to take it too seriously. Should be a fun week watching the emotional seesaw. I'll ride it a couple times myself I'm sure. lol The cool thing is that we will have plenty more opportunities to come. Not a bad thing to lay down interior snow first anyway this time of year. The Pacific pattern and coupled ocean-air feedback is just about textbook for Mid atlantic/Southeast US for cold/snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 That's what a block and wall of 1030hp across the eastern 2/3ds of Canada can do for you...lol. It jumps to the SC coast. A monster for sure. Too bad we'll only be able to enjoy it for the next 12 hours. Yeah. Ensembles should be interesting just to see how many follow the OP Remember when the Euro had a storm and it stayed there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 That's what a block and wall of 1030hp across the eastern 2/3ds of Canada can do for you...lol. It jumps to the SC coast. A monster for sure. Too bad we'll only be able to enjoy it for the next 12 hours. Is it a CAD setup? From what I'm looking at it resembles it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Is it a CAD setup? From what I'm looking at it resembles it. It's beyond a cad setup. It's a stone cold wall of denial for the storm to cut west of us. ETA: picture worth 1k words Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Yeah. Ensembles should be interesting just to see how many follow the OP Remember when the Euro had a storm and it stayed there? d10 on the 12z gefs is pretty similar with a good setup above us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 MILLER B of a southern stream.. hmmmmmmmm I know I have seen this before..... enjoying for the next 12 hours! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Hmmmm. I'm gonna wait to see what the ensembles say before deciding to stay up for the 00z euro.......can't let Seasonal 00z Euro Disorder start dragging down my energy this early in the season..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Hmmmm. I'm gonna wait to see what the ensembles say before deciding to stay up for the 00z euro.......can't let Seasonal 00z Euro Disorder start dragging down my energy this early in the season..... Haha. Careful, someone will invent a medication for SED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Lmao D10 Euro That looks like a 1996, 2003 hybrid. I'm saving the image before its gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Lmao D10 Euro That looks like a 1996, 2003 hybrid. I'm saving the image before its gone. Yep! We are seeing the same thing! LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Obv that day 10 EURO storm is in fantasy lala land, but at the same time, the GFS & EURO have been showing a split flow developing the last few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 teleconnect, As epic as that is be careful posting EURO QPF maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 No. mageval.ncep.noaa.gov We have the para! Thanks for sharing the link! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 teleconnect, As epic as that is be careful posting EURO QPF maps. What do you mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 As Bruce Almighty would say : B-E-A-UTIFUL Well, the QPF for DC metro area isn't that great on that slide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Well, the QPF for DC metro area isn't that great on that slide. I'm pretty sure it would be 12-24" lol. We would get destroyed if that were to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Well, the QPF for DC metro area isn't that great on that slide. That's because the fantasy storm is just moving in. It would be a destruction by hr 252. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 I'm pretty sure it would be 12-24" lol. We would get destroyed if that were to verify. Hmm..must have misread it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Hmm..must have misread it. The storm was just starting in the last frame, which was the one shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Not much ensemble support for the euro op at all. Majority of members with good precip have a west track. ETA: They do continue to advertise a stormy pattern d10-15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 That's because the fantasy storm is just moving in. It would be a destruction by hr 252. How did you guys do Nov 1968? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 How did you guys do Nov 1968?Nothing at DCA. We did good late Nov through Dec of 1967 for what that is worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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