andyhb Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 ready for the full on sub trop torch Positive departures over Canada over some of these model runs are pretty insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 What a blast... I can do the same things outdoors as I do in late September, nothing. I look forward to 5am morning dog walks without wearing full-on arctic exploration gear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 What a blast... I can do the same things outdoors as I do in late September, nothing. Oh come one that's what most people do 24/7/365. Outdoor people are the minority. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 I look forward to 5am morning dog walks without wearing full-on arctic exploration gear If that was a concern of mine, I'd have moved years ago. Chicago is probably the 2 or 3rd coldest city in the country with more than 500,000 people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Oh come one that's what most people do 24/7/365. Outdoor people are the minority. No snow in winter for me is the difference between a weekend of fun, or browsing the web and sleeping on the couch. A good bowel movement to break up the monotony. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 just looped the 0z models....ugh top 10 coldest November in the making? good call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Anybody know this meteorologist or have any opinions on him, https://bamchase.net/author/BAMMichael/? In one of his latest posts he states, "THERE ARE MANY KEY THINGS IN PLAY THAT COMPUTERS SIMPLY CANNOT SEE..IN MY LATEST LONG RANGE VIDEO LAST NIGHT I WENT INTO DETAIL ON WHY I KNOW DECEMBER WILL END UP COLD AND STORMY BY MID MONTH! FOLKS LOOK AT NOVEMBER FOR EXAMPLE..COMPUTERS SUGGESTED MAJOR WARMTH..WE PICKED UP 2.5″ OF SNOW AND WE WERE VERY COLD!" I don't subscribe to his blog so I am not sure what computers cannot see, but he (or others maybe) can. Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 sounds like a weenie tool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 good call ALEK... @pondo...I didn't see or read his forecast...but I know frequently the pacific gives the models fits ... especially when it's active...not much quality sampling over the big wide blue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 sounds like a weenie tool I know. That's what I am thinking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 good call ALEK... @pondo...I didn't see or read his forecast...but I know frequently the pacific gives the models fits ... especially when it's active...not much quality sampling over the big wide blue Ok, makes sense, but boy that is really going out on a limb on his part! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 If that was a concern of mine, I'd have moved years ago. Chicago is probably the 2 or 3rd coldest city in the country with more than 500,000 people.Agree. It was -15 here last night and I stood in the drive for 30 min watching chimney smoke, star gazing, and enjoying the dead silence of a Winter night. 38 and rain just doesn't cut it for me, no matter how many dogs I had to walk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Agree. It was -15 here last night and I stood in the drive for 30 min watching chimney smoke, star gazing, and enjoying the dead silence of a Winter night sounds suicide inducingly awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*IndyMeso* Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Anybody know this meteorologist or have any opinions on him, https://bamchase.net/author/BAMMichael/? In one of his latest posts he states, "THERE ARE MANY KEY THINGS IN PLAY THAT COMPUTERS SIMPLY CANNOT SEE..IN MY LATEST LONG RANGE VIDEO LAST NIGHT I WENT INTO DETAIL ON WHY I KNOW DECEMBER WILL END UP COLD AND STORMY BY MID MONTH! FOLKS LOOK AT NOVEMBER FOR EXAMPLE..COMPUTERS SUGGESTED MAJOR WARMTH..WE PICKED UP 2.5″ OF SNOW AND WE WERE VERY COLD!" I don't subscribe to his blog so I am not sure what computers cannot see, but he (or others maybe) can. Thoughts? This is the same guy who claimed a "big storm system" was in the works for last week on Facebook. Don't put much thought into it. He has a website and needs the subscriptions. One of those "I can tell you how much snow you will get with this storm... if you subscribe to my subscription!" Eh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 sounds suicide inducingly awful Agreed, that is just to cold for me. I could never live in a place like that. I don't even enjoy the cold, just the snow. 25-32 all winter with snowfall bouts every few days is the dream climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 This is the same guy who claimed a "big storm system" was in the works for last week on Facebook. Don't put much thought into it. He has a website and needs the subscriptions. One of those "I can tell you how much snow you will get with this storm... if you subscribe to my subscription!" Eh... I was afraid of that. Too bad. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 I watched JBs latest video on Weatherbell and he doesn't seem to think it will be as warm as the GFS is depicting for the 12th-17th of the month. I remember watching him back in December 2006 and how he was all over the torch that month, saying it would last until mid January. Essentially, he says the GFS forecasts don't make sense given that, at the same time, it's forecasting a typhoon to re-curve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 JB is a weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 I watched JBs latest video on Weatherbell and he doesn't seem to think it will be as warm as the GFS is depicting for the 12th-17th of the month. I remember watching him back in December 2006 and how he was all over the torch that month, saying it would last until mid January. Essentially, he says the GFS forecasts don't make sense given that, at the same time, it's forecasting a typhoon to re-curve. I don't think it will be quite that warm, but it will be warmer than what it takes to support snow for almost the entire lower 48 below 8000ft elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iu2001grad Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 This is the same guy who claimed a "big storm system" was in the works for last week on Facebook. Don't put much thought into it. He has a website and needs the subscriptions. One of those "I can tell you how much snow you will get with this storm... if you subscribe to my subscription!" Eh... I don't post much so you can take this with a grain of salt. I mainly read and learn from everyone on here. One thing that I have noticed about this guy is that he spends a LOT of time getting defensive about his forecasts and -it seems-having "fights" with himself on twitter. I don't take him too serious-it seems more of a cult/club type group of people that follow him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 I don't post much so you can take this with a grain of salt. I mainly read and learn from everyone on here. One thing that I have noticed about this guy is that he spends a LOT of time getting defensive about his forecasts and -it seems-having "fights" with himself on twitter. I don't take him too serious-it seems more of a cult/club type group of people that follow him. Holy crap. We share the same birthday. Same date and year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 JB is a weenie He might be but he nailed November perfectly well before anyone else did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iu2001grad Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Holy crap. We share the same birthday. Same date and year. Ha! That is funny I am definitely a Taurus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 2, 2014 Author Share Posted December 2, 2014 He might be but he nailed November perfectly well before anyone else did.You disappoint me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 It seems like models often rush pattern changes but in this case with the typhoon, maybe it won't be pushed back. Regarding JB, I always wonder if he shapes his thoughts to try to fit the forecast (in this case, December) or believes what he's saying... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 It seems like models often rush pattern changes but in this case with the typhoon, maybe it won't be pushed back. Regarding JB, I always wonder if he shapes his thoughts to try to fit the forecast (in this case, December) or believes what he's saying... I think you know the answer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 You disappoint me. Easy. Seeing how he does for this month and if he's wrong I'll shut up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 sounds suicide inducingly awful Come on - a little over the top? To each his own. Some people are introverts and enjoy/appreciate solitude...clearly you aren't one of them. Unfortunately (for me at least) our culture caters to extroverts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 It seems like models often rush pattern changes but in this case with the typhoon, maybe it won't be pushed back. Regarding JB, I always wonder if he shapes his thoughts to try to fit the forecast (in this case, December) or believes what he's saying... yeah...I haven't read or listened to a JB forecast since it became for sale...but those that forecast for the masses have to do this to an extent. Even the WPC forecasts frequently say that despite leaning towards a different solution in their longer range, they don't change much for continuality sake. I know it's kind of apples and oranges...but that's my take on it...either way, I tend not to trust his forecasts too much when people post them for the reason you outlined...what is the derivative...but that's not a shot on his accuracy, because I don't know what his results have shone anyways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted December 2, 2014 Share Posted December 2, 2014 Agree. It was -15 here last night and I stood in the drive for 30 min watching chimney smoke, star gazing, and enjoying the dead silence of a Winter night. 38 and rain just doesn't cut it for me, no matter how many dogs I had to walk. Sounds awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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