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Winter 2014-15 Med/Long Range Discussion


Chicago Storm

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really hard to ignore how consistent euro is on showing a significant storm after Thanksgiving. It hasn't backed off at all. Gfs seems to be out to lunch. This is euro's golden time. It was the only model I think to pick up on the GHD blizzard over a week out when no other models agreed with it. it makes sense to have a big storm with that tight baroclinic zone stretching across the US. Energy from the NW looks to ride right along that and spin up a strong low pressure center. gem yesterday was showing a big overrunning snow event. the extent of that cold air and position of high pressure system will be crucial to decide how far south or how far north this track ends up if the storm verifies. looks like models are showing some energy before the big storm that could bring parts of the Midwest some snow on the developing baroclinic zone.

 

 

As the guy who started the GHD thread :guitar: I also recall the GGEM hinting at it pretty early on.

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Yeah the arctic air dump is more impressive on the Euro and centered well further west coming down into the heart of the CONUS. 

 

Yeah. Very much clown range here, but the op Euro doesn't get parts of North Dakota, South Dakota, and Minnesota to zero degrees on the Saturday after Thanksgiving.

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