andyhb Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 UK sticking with the stronger solution with a 987 mb low near PIA at 120 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Well something interesting has to happen with these kind of dynamics in place: ^^^Verbatim, probably not anything most in this subforum desire... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Euro pretty robust again with the late weekend system. Down to 978mb near Peoria at 120hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Euro pretty robust again with the late weekend system. Down to 978mb near Peoria at 120hrs. Impressive A lot of the November pressure records in northern IL/southern WI go back decades...almost 100 years in some cases (in areas where they weren't broken by the Nov 1998 storm). I'll post a list if the situation warrants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Looks like it maxes out at 973 over the UP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 The Euro tries to throw a block over the top with a wedge looking ridge pushing into southern Greenland, the result would be a blizzard over Eastern MN and most of NW WI, if not all of Western WI. Edit: Will have to back off the B word for the time being, the 850mb winds don't to mix to the surface very well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Looking past the storm for Sunday/Monday, the Euro looks interesting right after Thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Looking past the storm for Sunday/Monday, the Euro looks interesting right after Thanksgiving. It sure does. I can't see the Euro AO and EPO from Allen's site, but the maps look like a neutral AO if not -, and a strongly negative EPO, at the same time it pops a se ridge, taken per verbatim it would share a lot of love over most of the area. Kiss goodbye to a warm end of Nov if that verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Sorry, a bit lazy didn't save it, so this is a hot link Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Compare the above to the GFS at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 after tday period remains interesting on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 after tday period remains interesting on the euro in all honesty, most of the models don't hate the concept of something in this time period as well .... clearly numerous variances....but the timeslot is liked by most. A quick glance at last nights guidance looks to be leaning pretty hard on a sub 990 coming up through LOT at some point late sunday or early Monday...Sub 980 would be fun to watch unfold and set the stage for the above mentioned post T-Day system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 in all honesty, most of the models don't hate the concept of something in this time period as well .... clearly numerous variances....but the timeslot is liked by most. A quick glance at last nights guidance looks to be leaning pretty hard on a sub 990 coming up through LOT at some point late sunday or early Monday...Sub 980 would be fun to watch unfold and set the stage for the above mentioned post T-Day system I like the wave timing after the sun/mon event, no idea what it's going to look like but where all the past events so far this young season have been sure thing non-events, this at least has some potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 fwiw....neat to see how the spots with no snow really took a temperature hit..... 4 inch depth temps 19NOV.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 12z GFS 973mb over MQT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 12Z GEM has the Black Friday system....999SLP going up through the central Indiana/Ohio border area... it also has the sunday/Monday system at 984 rolling through Northern Indiana and up to NE Michigan as a 980... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 More like Kentucky to Dayton. But yeah, A+ performance today by the GGEM in fantasy land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 yep, that's the one to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 More like Kentucky to Dayton. But yeah, A+ performance today by the GGEM in fantasy land. ggem 228.png ggem.png Gotta love the 0C isotherm on that 228 hr image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Gotta love the 0C isotherm on that 228 hr image. Love...or hate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 12z GEFS looking better, not good but better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Would sure be fun to follow a legit snowstorm threat next week with the time off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 nice to have 2 systems to track/keep an eye on....the one this weekend for more fun anomalous achievements possibly...and the possible black Friday system to maybe roll up the winter model watching sleeves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 12z Euro might be kinda ugly for many for Black Friday. Lots of warmth coming northward at 216 hrs although the trough is still positively tilted so we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 12z Euro might be kinda ugly for many for Black Friday. Lots of warmth coming northward at 216 hrs although the trough is still positively tilted so we'll see. FWIW...the 0z Euro ensembles, or the ones that had a storm, were more wet than white for the majority of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 things updating for me finally... looks good via a snapshot....at least it's still there...12Z ecmwf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 What happens between 216 and 240 I wonder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Looks warm and wet at 228 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 Considering this weekend's system is really gonna shake the tree for our pattern I'm sure the modeled details for the black Friday system will be pretty useless for another 4 or 5 days....but at least "it" seems to have survived another lap of model runs... throwing darts at the wall...but it wouldn't shock me to see the black friday system trend stronger as well over the next 3 days or so (that is of no benefit for me as that would make things less frozen)...but just darts for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 What happens between 216 and 240 I wonder. looks like a heavy rain to an inch of slop scenario, not that it matters at this range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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